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Paul L wrote:
I like your analysis on new boats. Makes sense that they will increase in price, beyond inflation, as demand/volume goes down. There doesn't seem to be any great 'productivity' gains being applied to building new boats that would drive the prices down like desktop PCs. The market for boats is miniscule compared to the market for PCs and cars...there are only 12 million registrered boats in the whole country...not very many in a population of 300 million. But the cost of building 'em is even higher than the costs of building cars and PCs. That gives boat builders on two choices: charge more for 'em, or go out of business--which a lot of have done. 90% of the names today belong to companies who bought little more than the rights to put those names on their boats...Cape Dory, Chris Craft (now owned by a UK company), Trojan, Carver, Bertram, just to name a few. Pearson is gone altogether...so is Columbia, California and at least a dozen more. That's why the favorite joke among boat builders is, "How do you make a million $$ in the boat business? Start with $2 million and get out quick!" Proucdtion has already been moved overseas. So what does this really mean for the used boat market? Less new boats coming on the market, prices go up, less overall demand, prices go down. ??? Used boat prices are tied to the economy....the minute it starts to get soft, people start unloading non-essentials, flooding the market, driving price down. When it's strong, people buy non-essentials like boats...no glut, higher prices. However, unlike the real estate market, boat prices never get ridiculously high, they only recover to normal--adjusted for inflation--for age and condition. They can, however, get ridiculously low in bad times. Great for people who have cash and want to buy...not so great if you have a boat and have to sell. Peggie ---------- Peggie Hall Specializing in marine sanitation since 1987 Author "Get Rid of Boat Odors - A Guide To Marine Sanitation Systems and Other Sources of Aggravation and Odor" http://shop.sailboatowners.com/detai...=400&group=327 http://www.seaworthy.com/html/get_ri...oat_odors.html |
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