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Wave heights
I've been kind of interested in some of the posts about Lake Erie conditions
to see references to 12 foot waves. I know the waves are shorter and steeper there due to the lighter water and shallow depths. Twelve footers would considered pretty big however, even on the ocean. I've been pretty involved in past years with marine safety and accident investigation projects and this gave me a chance to look into wave height reports. There is a pretty consistent tendency for even experienced seaman to over estimate wave heights by about 100 percent. There is a way to estimate wave height with fair accuracy. I've done it and then looked at what I know to be six foot waves a minute or two later and still been unable to convince my brain that I was not looking at twelve footers. There are some physical as well as perceptual reasons for this. For reasons that are more psychological, there is also a tendency to overestimate heel angles by about the same proportion. This has influenced accident investigations when observations have been accepted as fact. If you'd like a good sea story, and to get some idea where I'm coming from, read "Pride of the Sea" by Tom Waldron. My name pops up frequently through this story of the loss of the "Pride of Baltimore." A drier, but in some ways more technically interesting book is, "Tall Ships Down" by Daniel S. Parrott. I also have a couple lines of page numbers after my name in the index of this book and was involved in the post mortum of three of the five accidents discussed. If you saw the History Channel "Deep Sea Detectives" show about the sinking of the ship that took Admiral Byrd's aircraft to Antarctica, you also saw me at the end discussing her loading and stability. I just mention these things because I'll be pretty active in this news group now that I'm getting back into sailing and cruising and people may as well know who I am. -- Roger Long |
Welcome back, Roger. Glad to have you here. Wait around a bit and hoary will
tell you of the 40 foot waves menancing Annapolis. I've been kind of interested in some of the posts about Lake Erie conditions to see references to 12 foot waves. I know the waves are shorter and steeper there due to the lighter water and shallow depths. Twelve footers would considered pretty big however, even on the ocean. I've been pretty involved in past years with marine safety and accident investigation projects and this gave me a chance to look into wave height reports. There is a pretty consistent tendency for even experienced seaman to over estimate wave heights by about 100 percent. There is a way to estimate wave height with fair accuracy. I've done it and then looked at what I know to be six foot waves a minute or two later and still been unable to convince my brain that I was not looking at twelve footers. There are some physical as well as perceptual reasons for this. For reasons that are more psychological, there is also a tendency to overestimate heel angles by about the same proportion. This has influenced accident investigations when observations have been accepted as fact. If you'd like a good sea story, and to get some idea where I'm coming from, read "Pride of the Sea" by Tom Waldron. My name pops up frequently through this story of the loss of the "Pride of Baltimore." A drier, but in some ways more technically interesting book is, "Tall Ships Down" by Daniel S. Parrott. I also have a couple lines of page numbers after my name in the index of this book and was involved in the post mortum of three of the five accidents discussed. If you saw the History Channel "Deep Sea Detectives" show about the sinking of the ship that took Admiral Byrd's aircraft to Antarctica, you also saw me at the end discussing her loading and stability. I just mention these things because I'll be pretty active in this news group now that I'm getting back into sailing and cruising and people may as well know who I am. -- Roger Long |
WaIIy wrote:
On Sun, 19 Dec 2004 17:56:54 GMT, "Roger Long" wrote: I've been kind of interested in some of the posts about Lake Erie conditions to see references to 12 foot waves. I know the waves are shorter and steeper there due to the lighter water and shallow depths. Twelve footers would considered pretty big however, even on the ocean. I've been pretty involved in past years with marine safety and accident investigation projects and this gave me a chance to look into wave height reports. There is a pretty consistent tendency for even experienced seaman to over estimate wave heights by about 100 percent. I lived on Lake Erie (near Cleveland) for 6 years and near the lake for 50 years and have never see or reliably heard of 12 footers. The highest I have been in are 7- 8 footers and wouldn't like to do that again. .... But, if there are a lot of 7-8 waves in a confused pattern, wouldn't that mean that on occasion there would be a 10 footer from constructive interference? IIRC, Van Dorn has a chapter in predicting the frequency of wave heights. If the "significant wave height" is 8 feet, then there will be some 10-12 footers. |
In article , WaIIy To wrote: On Sun, 19 Dec 2004 17:56:54 GMT, "Roger Long" wrote: I've been kind of interested in some of the posts about Lake Erie conditions to see references to 12 foot waves. I know the waves are shorter and steeper there due to the lighter water and shallow depths. Twelve footers would considered pretty big however, even on the ocean. I've been pretty involved in past years with marine safety and accident investigation projects and this gave me a chance to look into wave height reports. There is a pretty consistent tendency for even experienced seaman to over estimate wave heights by about 100 percent. I lived on Lake Erie (near Cleveland) for 6 years and near the lake for 50 years and have never see or reliably heard of 12 footers. The highest I have been in are 7- 8 footers and wouldn't like to do that again. Lake Erie is notorious due to the closeness of the waves. Everything is a chop 1ft-2ft-6ft chop. Of course, when it is rolling or fairly flat, it's wonderful (if quite brown). I grew up on the northwest end of Lake Erie and was out on it frequently in my younger days. It wasn't dangerous so much for wave height as short period. I've been on it in 6 footers that felt like they were on a 2 second period, and did similar things to the boat. It was NOT fun. -- -- Karl Denninger ) Internet Consultant & Kids Rights Activist http://www.denninger.net My home on the net - links to everything I do! http://scubaforum.org Your UNCENSORED place to talk about DIVING! http://www.spamcuda.net SPAM FREE mailboxes - FREE FOR A LIMITED TIME! http://genesis3.blogspot.com Musings Of A Sentient Mind |
In article , Jeff Morris wrote: WaIIy wrote: On Sun, 19 Dec 2004 17:56:54 GMT, "Roger Long" wrote: I've been kind of interested in some of the posts about Lake Erie conditions to see references to 12 foot waves. I know the waves are shorter and steeper there due to the lighter water and shallow depths. Twelve footers would considered pretty big however, even on the ocean. I've been pretty involved in past years with marine safety and accident investigation projects and this gave me a chance to look into wave height reports. There is a pretty consistent tendency for even experienced seaman to over estimate wave heights by about 100 percent. I lived on Lake Erie (near Cleveland) for 6 years and near the lake for 50 years and have never see or reliably heard of 12 footers. The highest I have been in are 7- 8 footers and wouldn't like to do that again. ... But, if there are a lot of 7-8 waves in a confused pattern, wouldn't that mean that on occasion there would be a 10 footer from constructive interference? IIRC, Van Dorn has a chapter in predicting the frequency of wave heights. If the "significant wave height" is 8 feet, then there will be some 10-12 footers. Yep. I did the crossing from Clearwater to Appalachicola in 6-8s a couple of years ago, and there were definitely some 10s and a couple of 12s in there. The latter were easily identified - the crests were well above my sight line, which is roughly 16' off the water. That crossing sucked. -- -- Karl Denninger ) Internet Consultant & Kids Rights Activist http://www.denninger.net My home on the net - links to everything I do! http://scubaforum.org Your UNCENSORED place to talk about DIVING! http://www.spamcuda.net SPAM FREE mailboxes - FREE FOR A LIMITED TIME! http://genesis3.blogspot.com Musings Of A Sentient Mind |
Thanks for admitting up front you have no understanding what we're
talking about. This saves a lot of time. Now shut up before you embarrass yourself again. JAXAshby wrote: jeffies, knock it off. if you don't understand the meaning of the term "wave height" get your wife to explain it to you. stop argueing with two guys who clearly do know what the term means. From: Jeff Morris Date: 12/19/2004 2:36 PM Eastern Standard Time Message-id: WaIIy wrote: On Sun, 19 Dec 2004 17:56:54 GMT, "Roger Long" wrote: I've been kind of interested in some of the posts about Lake Erie conditions to see references to 12 foot waves. I know the waves are shorter and steeper there due to the lighter water and shallow depths. Twelve footers would considered pretty big however, even on the ocean. I've been pretty involved in past years with marine safety and accident investigation projects and this gave me a chance to look into wave height reports. There is a pretty consistent tendency for even experienced seaman to over estimate wave heights by about 100 percent. I lived on Lake Erie (near Cleveland) for 6 years and near the lake for 50 years and have never see or reliably heard of 12 footers. The highest I have been in are 7- 8 footers and wouldn't like to do that again. ... But, if there are a lot of 7-8 waves in a confused pattern, wouldn't that mean that on occasion there would be a 10 footer from constructive interference? IIRC, Van Dorn has a chapter in predicting the frequency of wave heights. If the "significant wave height" is 8 feet, then there will be some 10-12 footers. |
jeffies, do check with your wife. tell you what you believe the term means,
and let her help you out. if she is patient, maybe you can come back here better informed. if she is sick and tired of your antics she may tell you to sit in the corner for a while. btw, jeffies, you have already told the two newcomers you don't have a clew what you are talking about re wave height but that you are more than insistent that you do. way to go, dog pile. way to go. From: Jeff Morris Date: 12/19/2004 3:48 PM Eastern Standard Time Message-id: Thanks for admitting up front you have no understanding what we're talking about. This saves a lot of time. Now shut up before you embarrass yourself again. JAXAshby wrote: jeffies, knock it off. if you don't understand the meaning of the term "wave height" get your wife to explain it to you. stop argueing with two guys who clearly do know what the term means. From: Jeff Morris Date: 12/19/2004 2:36 PM Eastern Standard Time Message-id: WaIIy wrote: On Sun, 19 Dec 2004 17:56:54 GMT, "Roger Long" wrote: I've been kind of interested in some of the posts about Lake Erie conditions to see references to 12 foot waves. I know the waves are shorter and steeper there due to the lighter water and shallow depths. Twelve footers would considered pretty big however, even on the ocean. I've been pretty involved in past years with marine safety and accident investigation projects and this gave me a chance to look into wave height reports. There is a pretty consistent tendency for even experienced seaman to over estimate wave heights by about 100 percent. I lived on Lake Erie (near Cleveland) for 6 years and near the lake for 50 years and have never see or reliably heard of 12 footers. The highest I have been in are 7- 8 footers and wouldn't like to do that again. ... But, if there are a lot of 7-8 waves in a confused pattern, wouldn't that mean that on occasion there would be a 10 footer from constructive interference? IIRC, Van Dorn has a chapter in predicting the frequency of wave heights. If the "significant wave height" is 8 feet, then there will be some 10-12 footers. |
Twelve footers would considered pretty big however, even on the ocean.
ROFL! |
What's this fetish you have with my wife you have, jaxie? More of your
jealousy showing? Do we need a restraining order? JAXAshby wrote: jeffies, do check with your wife. tell you what you believe the term means, and let her help you out. if she is patient, maybe you can come back here better informed. if she is sick and tired of your antics she may tell you to sit in the corner for a while. btw, jeffies, you have already told the two newcomers you don't have a clew what you are talking about re wave height but that you are more than insistent that you do. way to go, dog pile. way to go. From: Jeff Morris Date: 12/19/2004 3:48 PM Eastern Standard Time Message-id: Thanks for admitting up front you have no understanding what we're talking about. This saves a lot of time. Now shut up before you embarrass yourself again. JAXAshby wrote: jeffies, knock it off. if you don't understand the meaning of the term "wave height" get your wife to explain it to you. stop argueing with two guys who clearly do know what the term means. From: Jeff Morris Date: 12/19/2004 2:36 PM Eastern Standard Time Message-id: WaIIy wrote: On Sun, 19 Dec 2004 17:56:54 GMT, "Roger Long" wrote: I've been kind of interested in some of the posts about Lake Erie conditions to see references to 12 foot waves. I know the waves are shorter and steeper there due to the lighter water and shallow depths. Twelve footers would considered pretty big however, even on the ocean. I've been pretty involved in past years with marine safety and accident investigation projects and this gave me a chance to look into wave height reports. There is a pretty consistent tendency for even experienced seaman to over estimate wave heights by about 100 percent. I lived on Lake Erie (near Cleveland) for 6 years and near the lake for 50 years and have never see or reliably heard of 12 footers. The highest I have been in are 7- 8 footers and wouldn't like to do that again. ... But, if there are a lot of 7-8 waves in a confused pattern, wouldn't that mean that on occasion there would be a 10 footer from constructive interference? IIRC, Van Dorn has a chapter in predicting the frequency of wave heights. If the "significant wave height" is 8 feet, then there will be some 10-12 footers. |
jeffies, you sure are a slow thinker. your wife, yo-yo, balances your
checkbook for you. she must, for you are not capable of doing so. From: Jeff Morris Date: 12/19/2004 5:00 PM Eastern Standard Time Message-id: What's this fetish you have with my wife you have, jaxie? More of your jealousy showing? Do we need a restraining order? JAXAshby wrote: jeffies, do check with your wife. tell you what you believe the term means, and let her help you out. if she is patient, maybe you can come back here better informed. if she is sick and tired of your antics she may tell you to sit in the corner for a while. btw, jeffies, you have already told the two newcomers you don't have a clew what you are talking about re wave height but that you are more than insistent that you do. way to go, dog pile. way to go. From: Jeff Morris Date: 12/19/2004 3:48 PM Eastern Standard Time Message-id: Thanks for admitting up front you have no understanding what we're talking about. This saves a lot of time. Now shut up before you embarrass yourself again. JAXAshby wrote: jeffies, knock it off. if you don't understand the meaning of the term "wave height" get your wife to explain it to you. stop argueing with two guys who clearly do know what the term means. From: Jeff Morris Date: 12/19/2004 2:36 PM Eastern Standard Time Message-id: WaIIy wrote: On Sun, 19 Dec 2004 17:56:54 GMT, "Roger Long" wrote: I've been kind of interested in some of the posts about Lake Erie conditions to see references to 12 foot waves. I know the waves are shorter and steeper there due to the lighter water and shallow depths. Twelve footers would considered pretty big however, even on the ocean. I've been pretty involved in past years with marine safety and accident investigation projects and this gave me a chance to look into wave height reports. There is a pretty consistent tendency for even experienced seaman to over estimate wave heights by about 100 percent. I lived on Lake Erie (near Cleveland) for 6 years and near the lake for 50 years and have never see or reliably heard of 12 footers. The highest I have been in are 7- 8 footers and wouldn't like to do that again. ... But, if there are a lot of 7-8 waves in a confused pattern, wouldn't that mean that on occasion there would be a 10 footer from constructive interference? IIRC, Van Dorn has a chapter in predicting the frequency of wave heights. If the "significant wave height" is 8 feet, then there will be some 10-12 footers. |
JGS wrote:
On Sun, 19 Dec 2004 18:29:14 GMT, WaIIy wrote: On Sun, 19 Dec 2004 17:56:54 GMT, "Roger Long" wrote: I've been kind of interested in some of the posts about Lake Erie conditions to see references to 12 foot waves. I know the waves are shorter and steeper there due to the lighter water and shallow depths. Twelve footers would considered pretty big however, even on the ocean. I've been pretty involved in past years with marine safety and accident investigation projects and this gave me a chance to look into wave height reports. There is a pretty consistent tendency for even experienced seaman to over estimate wave heights by about 100 percent. I lived on Lake Erie (near Cleveland) for 6 years and near the lake for 50 years and have never see or reliably heard of 12 footers. The highest I have been in are 7- 8 footers and wouldn't like to do that again. Lake Erie is notorious due to the closeness of the waves. Everything is a chop 1ft-2ft-6ft chop. Of course, when it is rolling or fairly flat, it's wonderful (if quite brown). See: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=45005 Look at the data significant wave height: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/images/climplot/45005_wh.jpg Looks like it came close to a 12 footer at least on one occasion. Perhaps in the Central Basin it may have reached 12'. But you're right, a 12 footer seems quite rare if it ever did quite make it. If you look at the text data you'll see that that the "significant wave height" only reached 4 meters (13 feet) once in a 20 year period. However, it did get over 3 meters several times a year, and over 2 meters numerous times. Of course, the worst weather is in the Spring and Fall (and the the buoy is pulled in the Winter) so the Summer sailor will not likely see these conditions. "Significant wave height" is the average of the higher third of all waves, measured over the course of an hour. If that is 3 meters, then the average of the highest tenth of all waves would be about 4 meters. Thus, many individual 12 foot waves have happened, though usually no one was there to witness them. Anyone who goes out when the wave height is 6 feet (as it was the last time I was on Lake Ontario) will likely see some 8 footers and maybe, if they're out all day, a few 10 footers. BTW, in a hurricane significant wave height will get much larger - 10 meters would easily be possible. |
JAXAshby wrote:
jeffies, you sure are a slow thinker. your wife, yo-yo, balances your checkbook for you. she must, for you are not capable of doing so. Balance a checkbook? What's that? |
ask your wife, dood. she'll tell you once again, unless she is growing weary
from repeating always repeating what she told you last week. jeffies, you sure are a slow thinker. your wife, yo-yo, balances your checkbook for you. she must, for you are not capable of doing so. Balance a checkbook? What's that? |
JGS wrote:
On Sun, 19 Dec 2004 17:43:05 -0500, Jeff Morris wrote: Snipped See: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=45005 Look at the data significant wave height: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/images/climplot/45005_wh.jpg Looks like it came close to a 12 footer at least on one occasion. Perhaps in the Central Basin it may have reached 12'. But you're right, a 12 footer seems quite rare if it ever did quite make it. If you look at the text data you'll see that that the "significant wave height" only reached 4 meters (13 feet) once in a 20 year period. However, it did get over 3 meters several times a year, and over 2 meters numerous times. Of course, the worst weather is in the Spring and Fall (and the the buoy is pulled in the Winter) so the Summer sailor will not likely see these conditions. "Significant wave height" is the average of the higher third of all waves, measured over the course of an hour. If that is 3 meters, then the average of the highest tenth of all waves would be about 4 meters. Thus, many individual 12 foot waves have happened, though usually no one was there to witness them. Anyone who goes out when the wave height is 6 feet (as it was the last time I was on Lake Ontario) will likely see some 8 footers and maybe, if they're out all day, a few 10 footers. BTW, in a hurricane significant wave height will get much larger - 10 meters would easily be possible. Jeff Thanks for that clarification. The significant wave height data did not have a clear legend for interpretation. (I didn't poke through the site too much) I appreciate your time to explain it. Wally is right though, the chop sure can get rough and my dear wife doesn't like it then. Guess I am, and will always be, a "fair weather" boater. I noticed elsewhere on the site that they used 20 minutes as the sampling period, not one hour. The concept of "the average of the higher third" is a little hard to understand. I find it interesting that it sort of corresponds with the old adage "the highest wave is the seventh." |
jeffies, once again you show one and all you are not to be left alone without
adult supervision. from the noaa site comes this quote: "The term parametric refers to the prediction of parameters that describes a single representative wave. " ask your wife, jeffies, just what the words "single" and "representative" mean. here is the complete site: http://nauticalcharts.noaa.gov/csdl/op/cbwavesd.htm kriste, jeffies, it took less than 30 seconds on google to find a specific quote that once again you are wrong. what a fumb duck. From: Jeff Morris Date: 12/19/2004 5:43 PM Eastern Standard Time Message-id: JGS wrote: On Sun, 19 Dec 2004 18:29:14 GMT, WaIIy wrote: On Sun, 19 Dec 2004 17:56:54 GMT, "Roger Long" wrote: I've been kind of interested in some of the posts about Lake Erie conditions to see references to 12 foot waves. I know the waves are shorter and steeper there due to the lighter water and shallow depths. Twelve footers would considered pretty big however, even on the ocean. I've been pretty involved in past years with marine safety and accident investigation projects and this gave me a chance to look into wave height reports. There is a pretty consistent tendency for even experienced seaman to over estimate wave heights by about 100 percent. I lived on Lake Erie (near Cleveland) for 6 years and near the lake for 50 years and have never see or reliably heard of 12 footers. The highest I have been in are 7- 8 footers and wouldn't like to do that again. Lake Erie is notorious due to the closeness of the waves. Everything is a chop 1ft-2ft-6ft chop. Of course, when it is rolling or fairly flat, it's wonderful (if quite brown). See: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=45005 Look at the data significant wave height: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/images/climplot/45005_wh.jpg Looks like it came close to a 12 footer at least on one occasion. Perhaps in the Central Basin it may have reached 12'. But you're right, a 12 footer seems quite rare if it ever did quite make it. If you look at the text data you'll see that that the "significant wave height" only reached 4 meters (13 feet) once in a 20 year period. However, it did get over 3 meters several times a year, and over 2 meters numerous times. Of course, the worst weather is in the Spring and Fall (and the the buoy is pulled in the Winter) so the Summer sailor will not likely see these conditions. "Significant wave height" is the average of the higher third of all waves, measured over the course of an hour. If that is 3 meters, then the average of the highest tenth of all waves would be about 4 meters. Thus, many individual 12 foot waves have happened, though usually no one was there to witness them. Anyone who goes out when the wave height is 6 feet (as it was the last time I was on Lake Ontario) will likely see some 8 footers and maybe, if they're out all day, a few 10 footers. BTW, in a hurricane significant wave height will get much larger - 10 meters would easily be possible. |
Do you have any idea what that means, jaxie? No? We didn't think so.
It has very little to do with the issue at hand. You continue to embarrass yourself. Here's the link that defines the terms used in the buoy data. http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/measdes.shtml Where it explains "Significant wave height (meters) is calculated as the average of the highest one-third of all of the wave heights during the 20-minute sampling period." It turns out that individual wave data is not sent from the buoys, it is transformed by FFT into frequency data before being transmitted. (Sorry about the FFT reference, jaxie. Don't let it bother you, you wouldn't understand it.) JAXAshby wrote: jeffies, once again you show one and all you are not to be left alone without adult supervision. from the noaa site comes this quote: "The term parametric refers to the prediction of parameters that describes a single representative wave. " ask your wife, jeffies, just what the words "single" and "representative" mean. here is the complete site: http://nauticalcharts.noaa.gov/csdl/op/cbwavesd.htm kriste, jeffies, it took less than 30 seconds on google to find a specific quote that once again you are wrong. what a fumb duck. From: Jeff Morris Date: 12/19/2004 5:43 PM Eastern Standard Time Message-id: JGS wrote: On Sun, 19 Dec 2004 18:29:14 GMT, WaIIy wrote: On Sun, 19 Dec 2004 17:56:54 GMT, "Roger Long" wrote: I've been kind of interested in some of the posts about Lake Erie conditions to see references to 12 foot waves. I know the waves are shorter and steeper there due to the lighter water and shallow depths. Twelve footers would considered pretty big however, even on the ocean. I've been pretty involved in past years with marine safety and accident investigation projects and this gave me a chance to look into wave height reports. There is a pretty consistent tendency for even experienced seaman to over estimate wave heights by about 100 percent. I lived on Lake Erie (near Cleveland) for 6 years and near the lake for 50 years and have never see or reliably heard of 12 footers. The highest I have been in are 7- 8 footers and wouldn't like to do that again. Lake Erie is notorious due to the closeness of the waves. Everything is a chop 1ft-2ft-6ft chop. Of course, when it is rolling or fairly flat, it's wonderful (if quite brown). See: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=45005 Look at the data significant wave height: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/images/climplot/45005_wh.jpg Looks like it came close to a 12 footer at least on one occasion. Perhaps in the Central Basin it may have reached 12'. But you're right, a 12 footer seems quite rare if it ever did quite make it. If you look at the text data you'll see that that the "significant wave height" only reached 4 meters (13 feet) once in a 20 year period. However, it did get over 3 meters several times a year, and over 2 meters numerous times. Of course, the worst weather is in the Spring and Fall (and the the buoy is pulled in the Winter) so the Summer sailor will not likely see these conditions. "Significant wave height" is the average of the higher third of all waves, measured over the course of an hour. If that is 3 meters, then the average of the highest tenth of all waves would be about 4 meters. Thus, many individual 12 foot waves have happened, though usually no one was there to witness them. Anyone who goes out when the wave height is 6 feet (as it was the last time I was on Lake Ontario) will likely see some 8 footers and maybe, if they're out all day, a few 10 footers. BTW, in a hurricane significant wave height will get much larger - 10 meters would easily be possible. |
jeffies, that is the problem when you google trying to prove you are not dumber
than a shoe box. you read the terms but miss the exact meaning of the words. English, at least English as used by people who graduated high school, is a foreign language to you. jeffies, ever watch a foreign immigrant trying to catch a taxi cab across town? you are even more off base. From: Jeff Morris Date: 12/19/2004 7:04 PM Eastern Standard Time Message-id: Do you have any idea what that means, jaxie? No? We didn't think so. It has very little to do with the issue at hand. You continue to embarrass yourself. Here's the link that defines the terms used in the buoy data. http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/measdes.shtml Where it explains "Significant wave height (meters) is calculated as the average of the highest one-third of all of the wave heights during the 20-minute sampling period." It turns out that individual wave data is not sent from the buoys, it is transformed by FFT into frequency data before being transmitted. (Sorry about the FFT reference, jaxie. Don't let it bother you, you wouldn't understand it.) JAXAshby wrote: jeffies, once again you show one and all you are not to be left alone without adult supervision. from the noaa site comes this quote: "The term parametric refers to the prediction of parameters that describes a single representative wave. " ask your wife, jeffies, just what the words "single" and "representative" mean. here is the complete site: http://nauticalcharts.noaa.gov/csdl/op/cbwavesd.htm kriste, jeffies, it took less than 30 seconds on google to find a specific quote that once again you are wrong. what a fumb duck. From: Jeff Morris Date: 12/19/2004 5:43 PM Eastern Standard Time Message-id: JGS wrote: On Sun, 19 Dec 2004 18:29:14 GMT, WaIIy wrote: On Sun, 19 Dec 2004 17:56:54 GMT, "Roger Long" wrote: I've been kind of interested in some of the posts about Lake Erie conditions to see references to 12 foot waves. I know the waves are shorter and steeper there due to the lighter water and shallow depths. Twelve footers would considered pretty big however, even on the ocean. I've been pretty involved in past years with marine safety and accident investigation projects and this gave me a chance to look into wave height reports. There is a pretty consistent tendency for even experienced seaman to over estimate wave heights by about 100 percent. I lived on Lake Erie (near Cleveland) for 6 years and near the lake for 50 years and have never see or reliably heard of 12 footers. The highest I have been in are 7- 8 footers and wouldn't like to do that again. Lake Erie is notorious due to the closeness of the waves. Everything is a chop 1ft-2ft-6ft chop. Of course, when it is rolling or fairly flat, it's wonderful (if quite brown). See: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=45005 Look at the data significant wave height: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/images/climplot/45005_wh.jpg Looks like it came close to a 12 footer at least on one occasion. Perhaps in the Central Basin it may have reached 12'. But you're right, a 12 footer seems quite rare if it ever did quite make it. If you look at the text data you'll see that that the "significant wave height" only reached 4 meters (13 feet) once in a 20 year period. However, it did get over 3 meters several times a year, and over 2 meters numerous times. Of course, the worst weather is in the Spring and Fall (and the the buoy is pulled in the Winter) so the Summer sailor will not likely see these conditions. "Significant wave height" is the average of the higher third of all waves, measured over the course of an hour. If that is 3 meters, then the average of the highest tenth of all waves would be about 4 meters. Thus, many individual 12 foot waves have happened, though usually no one was there to witness them. Anyone who goes out when the wave height is 6 feet (as it was the last time I was on Lake Ontario) will likely see some 8 footers and maybe, if they're out all day, a few 10 footers. BTW, in a hurricane significant wave height will get much larger - 10 meters would easily be possible. |
OK, jaxie, please, explain. You've implied several times that I'm
wrong, but you haven't even hinted at why. All you've done is provide a meaningless link. Do you have anything meaningful to contribute? No? We didn't think so. JAXAshby wrote: jeffies, that is the problem when you google trying to prove you are not dumber than a shoe box. you read the terms but miss the exact meaning of the words. English, at least English as used by people who graduated high school, is a foreign language to you. jeffies, ever watch a foreign immigrant trying to catch a taxi cab across town? you are even more off base. From: Jeff Morris Date: 12/19/2004 7:04 PM Eastern Standard Time Message-id: Do you have any idea what that means, jaxie? No? We didn't think so. It has very little to do with the issue at hand. You continue to embarrass yourself. Here's the link that defines the terms used in the buoy data. http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/measdes.shtml Where it explains "Significant wave height (meters) is calculated as the average of the highest one-third of all of the wave heights during the 20-minute sampling period." It turns out that individual wave data is not sent from the buoys, it is transformed by FFT into frequency data before being transmitted. (Sorry about the FFT reference, jaxie. Don't let it bother you, you wouldn't understand it.) JAXAshby wrote: jeffies, once again you show one and all you are not to be left alone without adult supervision. from the noaa site comes this quote: "The term parametric refers to the prediction of parameters that describes a single representative wave. " ask your wife, jeffies, just what the words "single" and "representative" mean. here is the complete site: http://nauticalcharts.noaa.gov/csdl/op/cbwavesd.htm kriste, jeffies, it took less than 30 seconds on google to find a specific quote that once again you are wrong. what a fumb duck. From: Jeff Morris Date: 12/19/2004 5:43 PM Eastern Standard Time Message-id: JGS wrote: On Sun, 19 Dec 2004 18:29:14 GMT, WaIIy wrote: On Sun, 19 Dec 2004 17:56:54 GMT, "Roger Long" wrote: I've been kind of interested in some of the posts about Lake Erie conditions to see references to 12 foot waves. I know the waves are shorter and steeper there due to the lighter water and shallow depths. Twelve footers would considered pretty big however, even on the ocean. I've been pretty involved in past years with marine safety and accident investigation projects and this gave me a chance to look into wave height reports. There is a pretty consistent tendency for even experienced seaman to over estimate wave heights by about 100 percent. I lived on Lake Erie (near Cleveland) for 6 years and near the lake for 50 years and have never see or reliably heard of 12 footers. The highest I have been in are 7- 8 footers and wouldn't like to do that again. Lake Erie is notorious due to the closeness of the waves. Everything is a chop 1ft-2ft-6ft chop. Of course, when it is rolling or fairly flat, it's wonderful (if quite brown). See: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=45005 Look at the data significant wave height: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/images/climplot/45005_wh.jpg Looks like it came close to a 12 footer at least on one occasion. Perhaps in the Central Basin it may have reached 12'. But you're right, a 12 footer seems quite rare if it ever did quite make it. If you look at the text data you'll see that that the "significant wave height" only reached 4 meters (13 feet) once in a 20 year period. However, it did get over 3 meters several times a year, and over 2 meters numerous times. Of course, the worst weather is in the Spring and Fall (and the the buoy is pulled in the Winter) so the Summer sailor will not likely see these conditions. "Significant wave height" is the average of the higher third of all waves, measured over the course of an hour. If that is 3 meters, then the average of the highest tenth of all waves would be about 4 meters. Thus, many individual 12 foot waves have happened, though usually no one was there to witness them. Anyone who goes out when the wave height is 6 feet (as it was the last time I was on Lake Ontario) will likely see some 8 footers and maybe, if they're out all day, a few 10 footers. BTW, in a hurricane significant wave height will get much larger - 10 meters would easily be possible. |
JAXAshby wrote:
I am a SOCIOPATH and come here to prove it. |
Roger Long wrote:
I've been kind of interested in some of the posts about Lake Erie conditions to see references to 12 foot waves. I know the waves are shorter and steeper there due to the lighter water and shallow depths. Twelve footers would considered pretty big however, even on the ocean. I've been pretty involved in past years with marine safety and accident investigation projects and this gave me a chance to look into wave height reports. There is a pretty consistent tendency for even experienced seaman to over estimate wave heights by about 100 percent. Years ago, when I used to fly tests for the US Navy, part of the test report was the sea state. Even though it's not the same as wave height, sea state is closely related to wave height, wind speed, etc. It's more a "roughness" measure and is determined from the air by the density of whitecaps and goes from 0 to 9, but we usually wouldn't conduct tests in anything higher than 5. It was usually a coordinated test, me in the air and some surface and/or subsurface assets. The number I came up with from 200 to 1000 feet up was almost invariably at least one lower than what the boat came up with bobbing on the surface. Steve |
The method for getting accurate wave height data from a boat is to know the
height above the waterline of some points at different heights. You then stand on one and stretch or crouch until you find yourself looking across the tops of the waves when the boat is in the trough. It usually takes a few waves to get an average but it's quite striking when you get the right position. You then measure from eye to feet and add it to the height known. That's the average wave height. The first time you do this, you'll probably find yourself lying flat on the deck trying to get the right angle. Like I said, waves always look a lot higher than they really are. It's almost impossible to measure the height if individual waves. However, if you know the average wave height, you can then proportion by eye and get a reasonable estimate. I still wouldn't trust my own estimates just looking quickly without going through the above procedure. There are just too many illusions and too few reference points. I've often been amused to have even fairly experienced sailors say that the waves must be eight feet. I usually don't point out that our eyes are perhaps six feet above the surface and we can still see all the tops when we are down in the trough. -- Roger Long "Steven Shelikoff" wrote in message ... Roger Long wrote: I've been kind of interested in some of the posts about Lake Erie conditions to see references to 12 foot waves. I know the waves are shorter and steeper there due to the lighter water and shallow depths. Twelve footers would considered pretty big however, even on the ocean. I've been pretty involved in past years with marine safety and accident investigation projects and this gave me a chance to look into wave height reports. There is a pretty consistent tendency for even experienced seaman to over estimate wave heights by about 100 percent. Years ago, when I used to fly tests for the US Navy, part of the test report was the sea state. Even though it's not the same as wave height, sea state is closely related to wave height, wind speed, etc. It's more a "roughness" measure and is determined from the air by the density of whitecaps and goes from 0 to 9, but we usually wouldn't conduct tests in anything higher than 5. It was usually a coordinated test, me in the air and some surface and/or subsurface assets. The number I came up with from 200 to 1000 feet up was almost invariably at least one lower than what the boat came up with bobbing on the surface. Steve |
Roger Long wrote:
The method for snip Your question has certainly sparked a bunch of babble, with a few key ideas... If you would like one of last years answers, take a look at the site: http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=45005 then select the link labeled "significant wave ht" about 7/8 down the page. This suggests April and October are the most likely for larger waves, all under 4 meters in west Lake Erie. Depending on how much you to explore, you will find other sources with different answers... All of which are perhaps rhetorical, your new boat will probably be uncomfortable well under the max. and you will probably have the good sense to hide from them until you can be comfortable in the seaway. I've numerous friends confirm the great lakes are often more difficult for the shorter period than open ocean. In your 32, and depending on your crews stomachs, you might find about 1.5meter to be your limit on your trip. No matter if it is 1 or 5, a green crew is about worthless...most certainly not having fun. Hope you fully enjoy the delivery, with your history on the water it should be a good trip... Skip |
I have seen crew on the boat I have been on report waves as 8 feet high, when
the wave did not come above the boat's freeboard, and crew on other boats in the same water at the same time report waves of 20 feet. All in water that won't support 8 foot waves without breaking. The method for getting accurate wave height data from a boat is to know the height above the waterline of some points at different heights. You then stand on one and stretch or crouch until you find yourself looking across the tops of the waves when the boat is in the trough. It usually takes a few waves to get an average but it's quite striking when you get the right position. You then measure from eye to feet and add it to the height known. That's the average wave height. The first time you do this, you'll probably find yourself lying flat on the deck trying to get the right angle. Like I said, waves always look a lot higher than they really are. It's almost impossible to measure the height if individual waves. However, if you know the average wave height, you can then proportion by eye and get a reasonable estimate. I still wouldn't trust my own estimates just looking quickly without going through the above procedure. There are just too many illusions and too few reference points. I've often been amused to have even fairly experienced sailors say that the waves must be eight feet. I usually don't point out that our eyes are perhaps six feet above the surface and we can still see all the tops when we are down in the trough. -- Roger Long "Steven Shelikoff" wrote in message ... Roger Long wrote: I've been kind of interested in some of the posts about Lake Erie conditions to see references to 12 foot waves. I know the waves are shorter and steeper there due to the lighter water and shallow depths. Twelve footers would considered pretty big however, even on the ocean. I've been pretty involved in past years with marine safety and accident investigation projects and this gave me a chance to look into wave height reports. There is a pretty consistent tendency for even experienced seaman to over estimate wave heights by about 100 percent. Years ago, when I used to fly tests for the US Navy, part of the test report was the sea state. Even though it's not the same as wave height, sea state is closely related to wave height, wind speed, etc. It's more a "roughness" measure and is determined from the air by the density of whitecaps and goes from 0 to 9, but we usually wouldn't conduct tests in anything higher than 5. It was usually a coordinated test, me in the air and some surface and/or subsurface assets. The number I came up with from 200 to 1000 feet up was almost invariably at least one lower than what the boat came up with bobbing on the surface. Steve |
On Mon, 20 Dec 2004 02:56:36 GMT, "Roger Long"
wrote: The method for getting accurate wave height data from a boat is to know the height above the waterline of some points at different heights. You then stand on one and stretch or crouch until you find yourself looking across the tops of the waves when the boat is in the trough. It usually takes a few waves to get an average but it's quite striking when you get the right position. You then measure from eye to feet and add it to the height known. That's the average wave height. I'm reassured. That's the approach I take when trying to make estimates and I'm usually fairly consistent with what the Coast Guard is broadcasting. I was wondering if you had some other secret trick. I've often been amused to have even fairly experienced sailors say that the waves must be eight feet. I usually don't point out that our eyes are perhaps six feet above the surface and we can still see all the tops when we are down in the trough. Losing all the shoreside lights in the troughs can be quite dramatic, and they are definitely higher off the water than the rest of the wave crests. Ryk |
On Sun, 19 Dec 2004 18:29:14 GMT, WaIIy
wrote: I lived on Lake Erie (near Cleveland) for 6 years and near the lake for 50 years and have never see or reliably heard of 12 footers. The highest I have been in are 7- 8 footers and wouldn't like to do that again. Lake Erie is notorious due to the closeness of the waves. Everything is a chop 1ft-2ft-6ft chop. Of course, when it is rolling or fairly flat, it's wonderful (if quite brown). Lake Ontario is not dissimilar. Wave heights given on the Canadian marine weather channels are for mid-lake...the place where the longest fetch will produce the highest waves. I have been out in sustained south to west to north 40 knot winds off Toronto. After a very short time this produced six-seven foot waves (with a 30 mile fetch up lake) or four-five from the south (23 miles). By contrast, the strongest winds were from the north (40-45 knots sustained in an October gale), but the waves were two feet or so due to the short (1-2 mile) fetch. Probably the worst (and the rarest) is a north-east to east gale due to the 200 mile fetch. I went west to east right into the teeth of a sustained 30 knot September gale and got very choppy six-footers. We have an aft-cockpit sloop and with a No. 3 and a double reefed main we were making hull speed close hauled. Lots of falling down waves and green water on deck, but as it was sunny, it was fun. Took all day (seven hours, maybe) to get eight NM back to our club due to the long boards we had to make inshore and then off again. Terrific sailing, however. To sum up: it depends where you are in the Great Lakes and where the wind (obviously mainly westerlies) is coming from. A huge wind with little fetch can give you a great run down the lakes on beam reaches. R. |
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On Sun, 19 Dec 2004 17:56:54 GMT, "Roger Long"
wrote: Twelve footers would considered pretty big however, even on the ocean. ============================================== Roger, if you can believe the NOAA weather buoys, 12 footers on the open ocean are almost routine anytime the wing is blowing 25+, and that happens with a great deal of frequency. |
On Mon, 20 Dec 2004 18:57:23 -0500, "Bruce on horizon"
wrote: Check out some real waves :) http://seriesdrogue.com/stormyseas/ There was one tanker shot there I thought she was going straight to the bottom. My father was in the British Merchant Marine and said the worst part of a storm was when the wave period was rapid enough to produce crests shorter than the ship's length. More than once during the war, large frieghters snapped in half because they spanned two crests, he's said. Everything's relative. You wouldn't notice a bad day on Lake Erie at sea (unless you were on a rapidly shoaling inlet, I suppose). The thing about Great Lakes waves is their very short period and irregular presentation, usually called "heavy chop" or "square waves". If five midgets are rapidly pummeling a heavyweight fighter with short, sharp blows, he'll feel it and he'll eventually go down. Same on the Great Lakes, with the caveat that the small-boat crew in a blow can become physically exhausted by the whipping motion before the boat fails them in any serious way. You see this at C&C regattas in heavy air, where people come back from a day's racing with busted arms, sprains and smacked heads, because the motion can get so violent in those three-to-five foot "square waves". The Great Lakes have a pretty good record of taking down big, capable ships. Learn to sail them in horrible weather on a lightweight boat and I have heard it said you will be well on the way to mastering offshore heavy weather. |
12 average or 12 max? What I'm talking about here is 12 foot, wind driven
waves, average height so that wave after wave is in the twelve foot range. This means that the occasional big sea will be 18 to 20 feet. These will be intimidating conditions to the average coastal sailor. They are not uncommon overall but not frequently encountered by people who listen to weather forecasts and have a choice about going out. The distinction between swell and waves is significant. A 12 foot, long period swell would hardly hamper a 30 foot boat at all whereas wind driven 8 footers could give it a real beating. There is much more to it than the measurement from trough to crest which is what got me asking about Lake Erie in the first place. -- Roger Long "Wayne.B" wrote in message ... On Sun, 19 Dec 2004 17:56:54 GMT, "Roger Long" wrote: Twelve footers would considered pretty big however, even on the ocean. ============================================== Roger, if you can believe the NOAA weather buoys, 12 footers on the open ocean are almost routine anytime the wing is blowing 25+, and that happens with a great deal of frequency. |
Subject: Wave heights
From: "Roger Long" There is a way to estimate wave height with fair accuracy. Do you mean knowing your height of eye and using that to measure the wave height? Capt. Bill |
A National Weather Service table shows probable wave heights of 12 feet
being produced by 27 to 28 knot winds. These heights are for fully developed seas and it takes several hours for them to build up. Another common over estimation is wind speed. I was quite surprised when I started carrying a pocket wind gauge with me while sailing. We tend to perceive wind force rather than speed; especially when observing the response of a sailboat. Adding a bit less than half to the wind speed doubles its pressure. If a breeze feels twice as strong as one we know to be 15 knots, most people would call it 30 knots whereas it would actually only be 21. The formula is Velocity squared x .0041. -- Roger Long |
"Roger Long" wrote in message ... ( snip ) There is much more to it than the measurement from trough to crest which is what got me asking about Lake Erie in the first place. Roger Long Hi Roger. In my more than 40 years of boating on the Great Lakes there is one thing that I have learned about boating on Lake Erie. I do not take my 9 meter power boat out into the waves of Lake Erie if the forecast is for waves of over one meter. My boat is a Doral and I know that it can take the pounding, but, I can not! Jim Carter, Port Captain "The Boat" Bayfield |
On Tue, 21 Dec 2004 11:31:58 GMT, "Roger Long"
wrote: If a breeze feels twice as strong as one we know to be 15 knots, most people would call it 30 knots whereas it would actually only be 21. ============================= Somewhere between 30 and 35 knots the wind begins to rip off the wave tops and send them through the air like the stream from a fire hose. I've found it to be an infallible guide to near gale force conditions. Also, the rigging begins to howl like a banshee in that wind range and above. |
Roger Long wrote:
I've been kind of interested in some of the posts about Lake Erie conditions to see references to 12 foot waves. I know the waves are shorter and steeper there due to the lighter water and shallow depths. Twelve footers would considered pretty big however, even on the ocean. Like my new pal Wally, I've been on, in and over Lake Erie for 50 years. I worked as a lifeguard at Pt. Pelee National Park for 5 years in the mid- 70's and we used to see lots of 6ft-8ft days. It was great for body-surfing but not so hot for sailors. One day we watched a guy in what looked like a Sirius 15 or 17 trying a beam reach to outrun a westerly squall. Lee shores can be a bitch. When he finally got pushed into the breakers, his small boat got pitched over and he got tossed out. You can imagine the scene when a boat with a 20ft mast is being turned turtle in 5 ft of water. The next breaker lifted the boat up and onto the tip of the mast, which snapped under the pressure. As the boat dropped, the broken section of the mast punched a hole through the hull. Most impressive! He was wearing a PFD and got pushed safely in the last 200ft or so to shore, but the boat was beaten to pieces over the next few hours. I can only recall one event where the waves may have reached the 12 foot level and maybe even higher. In the 80's there was a ENE storm that ran up the length of the lake. When it hit the eastern shore of Pt. Pelee, it washed away approximately 1 mile of the tip. It also knocked flat a construction block building situated behind cedars approximately 100 feet back from, and about 6ft higher than the water's edge. It also ripped out about 1500 ft of asphalt roadway also located well back from the water's edge. I think 12 footers are once in a lifetime events on Erie, but I could be wrong. |
the wind starts blowing the tops off waves in streaks of foam about 24 knots.
Somewhere between 30 and 35 knots the wind begins to rip off the wave tops and send them through the air like the stream from a fire hose. I've found it to be an infallible guide to near gale force conditions. Also, the rigging begins to howl like a banshee in that wind range and above. |
Those are streaks on the water surface. He's talking about the tops blowing
off and keeping right on going. It really gets your attention the first time you see it. -- Roger Long "JAXAshby" wrote in message ... the wind starts blowing the tops off waves in streaks of foam about 24 knots. Somewhere between 30 and 35 knots the wind begins to rip off the wave tops and send them through the air like the stream from a fire hose. I've found it to be an infallible guide to near gale force conditions. Also, the rigging begins to howl like a banshee in that wind range and above. |
what ever would you expect from bunch of canucks. the tops of waves are blown
off in streaks of foam starting about 24 knots. That that 35 knots or 85 knots, or whatever makes you think that little chickie is going to be so impressed when you tell her about your seagoing adventure that she is going to strip off her clothes and drop back to the floor, her legs in the air and open. From: Jack Dale Date: 12/21/2004 7:28 PM Eastern Standard Time Message-id: On 22 Dec 2004 00:15:39 GMT, (JAXAshby) wrote: the wind starts blowing the tops off waves in streaks of foam about 24 knots. Somewhere between 30 and 35 knots the wind begins to rip off the wave tops and send them through the air like the stream from a fire hose. I've found it to be an infallible guide to near gale force conditions. Also, the rigging begins to howl like a banshee in that wind range and above. Here is a site with wind speeds and wave heights: http://lavoieverte.qc.ec.gc.ca/meteo...eaufort_e.html On a delivery from Honolulu to Vancouver Island, after we picked up the westerlies, we were broad reaching in 25 - 30 knots with gusts to 35. Our estimate of wave height (trough to crest) was 12-15 feet. Jack _________________________________________________ _ Jack Dale Swiftsure Sailing Academy Director/ISPA and CYA Instructor http://www.swiftsuresailing.com _________________________________________________ _ |
Roger, you said it yourself right from the start. most people (and even more
so on this ng) over report wave height by a factor of 2x to 3x and wind strength by almost as much. I have seen people reefed when no whites are anywhere, and tell tales later of 25 knots gusting to 35. Those are streaks on the water surface. He's talking about the tops blowing off and keeping right on going. It really gets your attention the first time you see it. -- Roger Long "JAXAshby" wrote in message ... the wind starts blowing the tops off waves in streaks of foam about 24 knots. Somewhere between 30 and 35 knots the wind begins to rip off the wave tops and send them through the air like the stream from a fire hose. I've found it to be an infallible guide to near gale force conditions. Also, the rigging begins to howl like a banshee in that wind range and above. |
On Wed, 22 Dec 2004 01:30:40 GMT, "Roger Long"
wrote: Those are streaks on the water surface. He's talking about the tops blowing off and keeping right on going. It really gets your attention the first time you see it. ================== Oh yes. It also gets your attention when it hits you or flys horizontally through your companionway. |
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