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JAXAshby
 
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Default LIGHTNING STRIKE PROBABILITY

pair a lox, wanna tell us again about your EE degree in physics? your estimate
does not match up with the math you use to portray your estimate. fine EE you
are, and in physics yet.

btw, if 4% to 20% of all sailboats mooring in the State of Florida get struck
by lightning each year, no insurance company on the planet would insure any
boat in the State of Florida without a HUGE increase in premium as compared to
the State of Georgia or the State of Alabama or the State of Texas of the State
of ...


The Florida Sea Grant Programs paper "Lightning and Sailboats"
estimates that between 4% and 20% of sailboats moored in FL get struck
each yr. Mooring is very close to the case of being a LONE sailbaot I
describe. This is well in accord with my estimates.

Various web sites show the FL strike desnity being 10-30 strikes/km^2.

A LONE tall tree with 5%/yr chance of being struck could live at least
15 yrs having less than 50% chance of being hit. Note that in Central
Florida, there are few tall hills and fewer with lone tall trees.

My analysis appears to be correct.








 
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