On Apr 20, 12:38*pm, "Wilbur Hubbard"
wrote:
The "experts" wrong two years ago when they predicted a very active Atlantic
hurricane season.

Why should we sailors put any store in forecasts that are demonstrable poor
guesses?

Dr. William Gray is out of touch with reality. For one thing he lives in
Colorado - which has never experienced a hurricane. If he were serious he
would move to
Wilbur Hubbard

My dearest Willbur.

Me thinks your off base here. two things:
1) living in colorado has nothing to do with a persons meterological
credentials. I live in the PNW and instruct nearly 100 state
university studnts each term. Humm now how do I do that? with my ass
on a boat? In fact I could even live in CO (god forbid) and still
teach my 100 students, or FL for that matter.

2) If you belived in Global Weather Change the reason for getting a
prediction wrong on a GLOBAL scale is obvious for such an inlightened
person as your self. Its all statistics and modeling. Then throw in an
event that is not in the data base (you may call it history) and it
screws up the prediction.

On a last note, both YOU and SKip seem to have a real hard on for
NOAA weather. I on the other hand, an intellegent person having
compleed sucessfully several graduate level statistis courses have
the uderstanding to use the data from the Ocean Prediction Center with
excellent results.

Ya might try the most important weather predection instrument you
have.....................................

THE WINDOW......... now just take a good look !

Bob