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![]() Jonathan Ganz wrote: You're not dealing with reality here. Sure winds can be higher than predicted. That has nothing to do with being prepared for and expect conditions different from what is "predicted." By definition, it's only a guess. So what you're saying is that because light winds are predicted, you don't bring foul weather gear and a sail change. You just go with the prediction. Sounds stupid to me. Nope. Not at all. I would want to be prepared for any potential circumstance, but I would plan on motoring and/or sailing back to port if conditions worsened unexpectantly. If that was not possible, I think the Macgregor, with reefed or no sails, and storm anchor, could survive with the best of them. Not comfortably, but it would survive. By the way, Johathan, are you going to buy one of the heavy-weather Satori's? "Jim Cate" wrote in message ... Jonathan Ganz wrote: That's a stupid question. Unexpected winds??? What kind of sailor would not expect conditions such as this? A stupid or inexperienced one. Is there anyone on this ng with extensive sailing experience who hasn't run into winds higher than were predicted, and higher than he or she expected? In our area, forecasts can suggest good sailing conditions with only a slight chance of showers, but storms and severe winds can form quite quickly. Ummm... you just contradicted yourself. Sorry to have to point it out. Get a grip on yourself Johnathan. - Any serious sailor should expect and be prepared for the possibility that unexpected weather conditions may occur. If you were sailing a decent boat, it would survive just about any high winds that come by. A perfect example is the Satori from Perfect Storm fame (not the f*cking movie). It was not an expensive boat compared to other ocean going sailboats. The fact is that the Mac would not survive anything approaching the kind of weather one should be prepared to find on the ocean. The Satori was a heavy boat specifically built to survive severe heavy weather conditions miles offshore. It had an overbuilt hull, rigging, keel, etc., etc. I doubt that most sailors on this ng would enjoy sailing such a boat even if they could afford the substantial additional costs. Jim |