wrote in message ...
On Sun, 14 Sep 2003 17:58:06 -0400, "Simple Simon" wrote:


We should know for sure by
Wednesday at any rate because the closer it gets
the less uncertainty there will be.


So you are admitting that 5 day forcasts are complete speculation!

Thanks for the verification.

I'm admitting no such thing you blithering, moronic, dolt
of an idiot! You were stupid enough to make not only a
false statement but an easily proven false statement at that
with your absurd claim that five-day forcasting was nothing
but speculation. (By the way, BillyBoy, my forecast was a
seven-day forecast and it's beginning to look like it was
totally accurate so there you go, PUTZ!)

The National Weather Service does not speculate. They
project on the basis of more weather facts and knowledge
than you'll ever understand with your tiny little brain and
jaded little psyche!

S.Simon - puts little BillyBoy in his place - the crib!

Welcome to the club Bill.

"Simple Simon" wrote in message
...

wrote in message
...
On Sun, 14 Sep 2003 17:58:06 -0400, "Simple Simon"
wrote:


We should know for sure by
Wednesday at any rate because the closer it gets
the less uncertainty there will be.


So you are admitting that 5 day forcasts are complete speculation!

Thanks for the verification.

I'm admitting no such thing you blithering, moronic, dolt
of an idiot! You were stupid enough to make not only a
false statement but an easily proven false statement at that
with your absurd claim that five-day forcasting was nothing
but speculation. (By the way, BillyBoy, my forecast was a
seven-day forecast and it's beginning to look like it was
totally accurate so there you go, PUTZ!)

The National Weather Service does not speculate. They
project on the basis of more weather facts and knowledge
than you'll ever understand with your tiny little brain and
jaded little psyche!

S.Simon - puts little BillyBoy in his place - the crib!

Yeah, westerly. BTW, haven't seen any mention of the radius of the thing.
How far out from the eye do the hurricane force winds extend?
John Cairns
"Simple Simon" wrote in message
...
You mean go more westerly, I'm sure. It certainly ain't
gonna turn around and go back from whence it came.

But, South Florida is out of the woods. Isabel cannot
keep going on a westerly course because there is a front
on it's way to the east. You can see the clouds in the
satellite photos. The high pressure area behind this
front has enough influence to turn Isabel on more of
a northerly track. It depends on how far south it
digs. The more it digs south the slower the upper
part of the frontal boundary will progress. It's
a matter of how well the models predict the alignment
of this front and the timing of its forward progress.

I'm counting on the fact that the models are underestimating
its ability to dig south. In doing so they are showing the
storm going ashore several hundred miles south of where
I think it's going to hit. We should know for sure by
Wednesday at any rate because the closer it gets
the less uncertainty there will be.

S.Simon - luvs hurricane season

60 to 70 miles on the hurricane winds from the eyewall and about
double that for the tropical storm force winds. Isabel is bigger
than she looks in the infrared images. The eye is very large at
forty miles diameter. I bet there are a lot of tired seabirds
trapped in there. I wish could see some of the waves that
must be huge and confused in that eye. Too bad there aren't
any ships stuck in there. As slow as Isabel has been going a
ship wouldn't have much trouble staying in the eye if it could
stay upright.

S.Simon


"John Cairns" wrote in message ...
Yeah, westerly. BTW, haven't seen any mention of the radius of the thing.
How far out from the eye do the hurricane force winds extend?
John Cairns
"Simple Simon" wrote in message
...
You mean go more westerly, I'm sure. It certainly ain't
gonna turn around and go back from whence it came.

But, South Florida is out of the woods. Isabel cannot
keep going on a westerly course because there is a front
on it's way to the east. You can see the clouds in the
satellite photos. The high pressure area behind this
front has enough influence to turn Isabel on more of
a northerly track. It depends on how far south it
digs. The more it digs south the slower the upper
part of the frontal boundary will progress. It's
a matter of how well the models predict the alignment
of this front and the timing of its forward progress.

I'm counting on the fact that the models are underestimating
its ability to dig south. In doing so they are showing the
storm going ashore several hundred miles south of where
I think it's going to hit. We should know for sure by
Wednesday at any rate because the closer it gets
the less uncertainty there will be.

S.Simon - luvs hurricane season

Anyone can buy a sailboat and motor about, just look at Bobsprit.

A real sailor knows the weather. You, sir, know sailing!

Well done. It takes guts to predict weather and much more than guts to
always be so right!

What are those six lottery numbers I need?

Semolina Durum Pilcher

"Simple Simon" wrote in message
...
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/ftp/pub/fore...sion/MIATCDAT3

Now they are beginning to come more into line with what I predicted
three days ago.

Here's some of the text: "UNFORTUNATELY...THE MODELS ARE
NOW IN EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH ISABEL MAKING
LANDFALL ALONG THE CENTRAL U.S. EAST COAST IN ABOUT
4 DAYS. THERE IS STILL UNCERTAINTY ON WHERE THE
EXACT LANDFALL COULD OCCUR SINCE THE DEVELOPING
CENTRAL U.S. TROUGH COULD DEEPEN AND DIG SOUTHWARD
MORE THAN IS FORECAST BY THE GLOBAL MODELS...WHICH
COULD LEAD A MORE NORTHWARD MOTION AND LANDFALL
FARTHER UP THE EAST COAST THAN WHAT IS CURRENTLY
FORECAST."

Make your preparations, Booby, because you're gonna get slammed!

S.Simon - the one and only - I'm so good I surprise myself.

I've been wanting a bigger boat and I'm fully insured.
Soooo . . .let it be.
Scout
p.s. - hey Isabel, don't forget my Magma LP grill!


"Simple Simon" wrote:

Wait till Friday when you can say, "How sweet it IS!"

S.Simon


"Capt. Mooron" wrote in message ...

"Simple Simon" wrote in message

| Make your preparations, Booby, because you're gonna get slammed!

How Sweet would that Be!!!!!! Bwahahahahahahahahaa!!

CM