60 to 70 miles on the hurricane winds from the eyewall and about
double that for the tropical storm force winds. Isabel is bigger
than she looks in the infrared images. The eye is very large at
forty miles diameter. I bet there are a lot of tired seabirds
trapped in there. I wish could see some of the waves that
must be huge and confused in that eye. Too bad there aren't
any ships stuck in there. As slow as Isabel has been going a
ship wouldn't have much trouble staying in the eye if it could
stay upright.

S.Simon


"John Cairns" wrote in message ...
Yeah, westerly. BTW, haven't seen any mention of the radius of the thing.
How far out from the eye do the hurricane force winds extend?
John Cairns
"Simple Simon" wrote in message
...
You mean go more westerly, I'm sure. It certainly ain't
gonna turn around and go back from whence it came.

But, South Florida is out of the woods. Isabel cannot
keep going on a westerly course because there is a front
on it's way to the east. You can see the clouds in the
satellite photos. The high pressure area behind this
front has enough influence to turn Isabel on more of
a northerly track. It depends on how far south it
digs. The more it digs south the slower the upper
part of the frontal boundary will progress. It's
a matter of how well the models predict the alignment
of this front and the timing of its forward progress.

I'm counting on the fact that the models are underestimating
its ability to dig south. In doing so they are showing the
storm going ashore several hundred miles south of where
I think it's going to hit. We should know for sure by
Wednesday at any rate because the closer it gets
the less uncertainty there will be.

S.Simon - luvs hurricane season