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While Gustav is running around south of Cuba, I checked some of the
modeling data - looks like over the next two weeks, we're looking at a lot of activity in the tropics - like an explosion of tropical depressions and storms. Nothing horrible except for one anomaly. Several of the modeling computations are predicting a "super storm" for the mid-Atlantic somewhere around Sept. 5th to the 8th. The modeling is seeing something develop off Africa around the 2nd, then develop rapidly curving NW towards Bermuda, then NE passing close to the Canadian Maritimes. This is a fairly normal early/late season track, but the kicker is this beastie is predicted to be 1,000 miles wide and Cat 5+ intensity. There have been similar predictions in the past and the probability is still low for the storm to develop to this level, but the key factors of upper level wind shear has diminished significantly and the warm water energy transfer predictions have increased. Secondarily, there is some thought that this could be the long anticipated "East Coast" hit which is well over due historically. Should be a very interesting couple of weeks for weather geeks. |
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NL - Den Helder - waiting out the storm - file 1 of 3 storm-1.jpg | Tall Ship Photos | |||
NL - Den Helder - waiting out the storm - file 3 of 3 storm-3.jpg | Tall Ship Photos | |||
NL - Den Helder - waiting out the storm - file 2 of 3 storm-2.jpg | Tall Ship Photos | |||
MAN WHAT A STORM! | Cruising | |||
The same storm. | ASA |