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First recorded activity by BoatBanter: Mar 2008
Posts: 1,643
Default Oh oh - big storm...

While Gustav is running around south of Cuba, I checked some of the
modeling data - looks like over the next two weeks, we're looking at a
lot of activity in the tropics - like an explosion of tropical
depressions and storms. Nothing horrible except for one anomaly.

Several of the modeling computations are predicting a "super storm"
for the mid-Atlantic somewhere around Sept. 5th to the 8th. The
modeling is seeing something develop off Africa around the 2nd, then
develop rapidly curving NW towards Bermuda, then NE passing close to
the Canadian Maritimes. This is a fairly normal early/late season
track, but the kicker is this beastie is predicted to be 1,000 miles
wide and Cat 5+ intensity.

There have been similar predictions in the past and the probability is
still low for the storm to develop to this level, but the key factors
of upper level wind shear has diminished significantly and the warm
water energy transfer predictions have increased.

Secondarily, there is some thought that this could be the long
anticipated "East Coast" hit which is well over due historically.

Should be a very interesting couple of weeks for weather geeks.
 
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