On Tue, 19 Aug 2008 01:17:09 -0400, wrote:

On Mon, 18 Aug 2008 22:12:00 -0400, "Earl of Warwich, Duke of
Cornwall, Marquies of Anglesea, Sir Reginald P. Smithers III Esq. LLC,
STP. " wrote:

Short Wave Sportfishing wrote:
On Mon, 18 Aug 2008 21:47:53 -0400, "Earl of Warwich, Duke of
Cornwall, Marquies of Anglesea, Sir Reginald P. Smithers III Esq. LLC,
STP. " wrote:

Short Wave Sportfishing wrote:
Looks like it's going to curve West after moving up the Florida
peninsula and stay over Central Georgia for a while.

That might help Lanier out a little.
We need the storm to come straight up the state and then STOP over N
Georgia.

This is an interesting storm. I was just looking at Havana and Key
West radar - there appears to be a northerly wall building, but there
doens't seem to be any convection south and not a lot of feeder bands.
Looking at the individual cell tracks, there doesn't appear to be any
closure to the wall - low pressure, yeah, but no "eye" if you will.

I think, and being an amateur at this which means it's probably
bullfeathers, that the southerly wind shear at 30-40K feet was
stronger than they anticipated which is ripping the storm apart.
Well, forecast that son of bitch to stop over N. GA.


I doubt you will get much of this in Hotlanta. They do have it hooking
back into Georgia around Brunswick but if what I am seeing here, there
is not much water in this. It is just drizzling in Estero at 0100EDT

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/grap...?5day#contents

It could hook out back into the Gulf - unlikely though.

From a historical perspective, it seems to be following the same track
as a storm in 1911.