BoatBanter.com

BoatBanter.com (https://www.boatbanter.com/)
-   General (https://www.boatbanter.com/general/)
-   -   When Bush took office... (https://www.boatbanter.com/general/87793-when-bush-took-office.html)

HK November 11th 07 03:07 AM

When Bush took office...
 
....gasoline was $1.46 a gallon.

BAR November 11th 07 03:17 AM

When Bush took office...
 
HK wrote:
...gasoline was $1.46 a gallon.


And oil was $25 a barrel.


HK November 11th 07 03:31 AM

When Bush took office...
 
JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
. ..
...gasoline was $1.46 a gallon.


And the highest gasoline prices were under the leadership of Carter.

And your point is?



Just another data point with which to bury Republicans next year.

Tim November 11th 07 04:00 AM

When Bush took office...
 
On Nov 10, 9:49 pm, " JimH" ask wrote:
"HK" wrote in message

. ..

JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
m...
...gasoline was $1.46 a gallon.


And the highest gasoline prices were under the leadership of Carter.


And your point is?


Just another data point with which to bury Republicans next year.


Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline prices.

Why would gasoline prices be different today if a Democrat were in office?


Well I'm not worried about it. Pres. Hillary Obama will get it right
back down to a "buck forty-nine" in just six months, and will have
exec. reps on a rope just like a stringer fll of blue gills.


BTW, I'm selling off the Boulder dam tommorrow on ebay.. starting bid
just $1.00 with no reserve........


Wayne.B November 11th 07 05:43 AM

When Bush took office...
 
On Sat, 10 Nov 2007 22:49:44 -0500, " JimH" ask wrote:

Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline prices.


That's easy:

- The Iraq war

- Huge federal defecits

- Weak dollar

- Poor energy policies

- Huge trade imbalance

They are all intertwined with high energy prices in various ways.


JoeSpareBedroom November 11th 07 06:19 AM

When Bush took office...
 
"Tim" wrote in message
ps.com...
On Nov 10, 9:49 pm, " JimH" ask wrote:
"HK" wrote in message

. ..

JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
m...
...gasoline was $1.46 a gallon.


And the highest gasoline prices were under the leadership of Carter.


And your point is?


Just another data point with which to bury Republicans next year.


Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline prices.

Why would gasoline prices be different today if a Democrat were in
office?


Well I'm not worried about it. Pres. Hillary Obama will get it right
back down to a "buck forty-nine" in just six months, and will have
exec. reps on a rope just like a stringer fll of blue gills.


Nobody will get the price down until we eliminate oil speculation by
investors who have absolutely no connection with the oil business.



Mike[_6_] November 11th 07 06:31 AM

When Bush took office...
 
Nobody will get the price down until we eliminate oil speculation by
investors who have absolutely no connection with the oil business.

AMEN! That's exactly what makes a $20 barrel of crude "worth" $90.

--Mike

"JoeSpareBedroom" wrote in message
...
"Tim" wrote in message
ps.com...
On Nov 10, 9:49 pm, " JimH" ask wrote:
"HK" wrote in message

. ..

JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
m...
...gasoline was $1.46 a gallon.

And the highest gasoline prices were under the leadership of Carter.

And your point is?

Just another data point with which to bury Republicans next year.

Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline prices.

Why would gasoline prices be different today if a Democrat were in
office?


Well I'm not worried about it. Pres. Hillary Obama will get it right
back down to a "buck forty-nine" in just six months, and will have
exec. reps on a rope just like a stringer fll of blue gills.


Nobody will get the price down until we eliminate oil speculation by
investors who have absolutely no connection with the oil business.




HK November 11th 07 01:34 PM

When Bush took office...
 
JimH wrote:
"Wayne.B" wrote in message
...
On Sat, 10 Nov 2007 22:49:44 -0500, " JimH" ask wrote:

Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline prices.

That's easy:

- The Iraq war

- Huge federal defecits

- Weak dollar

- Poor energy policies

- Huge trade imbalance

They are all intertwined with high energy prices in various ways.


And of course the Republicans are the cause of all of them.......eh? Nice
try Wayne.



Yeah, they are.


HK November 11th 07 01:40 PM

When Bush took office...
 
JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
. ..
JimH wrote:
"Wayne.B" wrote in message
...
On Sat, 10 Nov 2007 22:49:44 -0500, " JimH" ask wrote:

Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline prices.
That's easy:

- The Iraq war

- Huge federal defecits

- Weak dollar

- Poor energy policies

- Huge trade imbalance

They are all intertwined with high energy prices in various ways.

And of course the Republicans are the cause of all of them.......eh?
Nice try Wayne.

Yeah, they are.


Remind me again who has control of Congress.



At the moment, no one. The Dems do not yet have a working majority.

HK November 11th 07 01:55 PM

When Bush took office...
 
JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
...
JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
. ..
JimH wrote:
"Wayne.B" wrote in message
...
On Sat, 10 Nov 2007 22:49:44 -0500, " JimH" ask wrote:

Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline prices.
That's easy:

- The Iraq war

- Huge federal defecits

- Weak dollar

- Poor energy policies

- Huge trade imbalance

They are all intertwined with high energy prices in various ways.

And of course the Republicans are the cause of all of them.......eh?
Nice try Wayne.
Yeah, they are.

Remind me again who has control of Congress.

At the moment, no one. The Dems do not yet have a working majority.


Nice try but no cigar for you.



I don't smoke, but my statement is correct. If the Dems had "control" of
Congress, they would have the votes within their party to override a
presidential veto. That's what control means when the other party
controls the white house.

JoeSpareBedroom November 11th 07 02:04 PM

When Bush took office...
 
"Mike" wrote in message
et...
Nobody will get the price down until we eliminate oil speculation by

investors who have absolutely no connection with the oil business.

AMEN! That's exactly what makes a $20 barrel of crude "worth" $90.

--Mike



A number of newsgroup 'tards have told me in the past that speculators are
all kind hearted professionals trying to hedge on behalf of their oil
companies. The Indian government (and reality) are in disagreement with that
idea:

http://www.iht.com/articles/2007/11/...ss/08nymex.php



Tim November 11th 07 02:09 PM

When Bush took office...
 
On Nov 11, 12:19 am, "JoeSpareBedroom" wrote:
"Tim" wrote in message

ps.com...





On Nov 10, 9:49 pm, " JimH" ask wrote:
"HK" wrote in message


m...


JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
m...
...gasoline was $1.46 a gallon.


And the highest gasoline prices were under the leadership of Carter.


And your point is?


Just another data point with which to bury Republicans next year.


Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline prices.


Why would gasoline prices be different today if a Democrat were in
office?


Well I'm not worried about it. Pres. Hillary Obama will get it right
back down to a "buck forty-nine" in just six months, and will have
exec. reps on a rope just like a stringer fll of blue gills.


Nobody will get the price down until we eliminate oil speculation by
investors who have absolutely no connection with the oil business.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


But I also don't know if China having more drivers on their roads int
he past two years than the precious 20 might have to do anything with
it or not.

Plus most of their electricity is supplied by oil instead of coal.


hmmmm.


Tim November 11th 07 02:11 PM

When Bush took office...
 
On Nov 11, 8:09 am, Tim wrote:
On Nov 11, 12:19 am, "JoeSpareBedroom" wrote:





"Tim" wrote in message


ups.com...


On Nov 10, 9:49 pm, " JimH" ask wrote:
"HK" wrote in message


m...


JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
m...
...gasoline was $1.46 a gallon.


And the highest gasoline prices were under the leadership of Carter.


And your point is?


Just another data point with which to bury Republicans next year.


Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline prices.


Why would gasoline prices be different today if a Democrat were in
office?


Well I'm not worried about it. Pres. Hillary Obama will get it right
back down to a "buck forty-nine" in just six months, and will have
exec. reps on a rope just like a stringer fll of blue gills.


Nobody will get the price down until we eliminate oil speculation by
investors who have absolutely no connection with the oil business.- Hide quoted text -


- Show quoted text -


But I also don't know if China having more drivers on their roads int
he past two years than the precious 20 might have to do anything with
it or not.

Plus most of their electricity is supplied by oil instead of coal.

hmmmm.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


precious? er *previous*

sorry


JoeSpareBedroom November 11th 07 02:15 PM

When Bush took office...
 
"Tim" wrote in message
oups.com...
On Nov 11, 12:19 am, "JoeSpareBedroom" wrote:
"Tim" wrote in message

ps.com...





On Nov 10, 9:49 pm, " JimH" ask wrote:
"HK" wrote in message


m...


JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
m...
...gasoline was $1.46 a gallon.


And the highest gasoline prices were under the leadership of
Carter.


And your point is?


Just another data point with which to bury Republicans next year.


Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline prices.


Why would gasoline prices be different today if a Democrat were in
office?


Well I'm not worried about it. Pres. Hillary Obama will get it right
back down to a "buck forty-nine" in just six months, and will have
exec. reps on a rope just like a stringer fll of blue gills.


Nobody will get the price down until we eliminate oil speculation by
investors who have absolutely no connection with the oil business.- Hide
quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


But I also don't know if China having more drivers on their roads int
he past two years than the precious 20 might have to do anything with
it or not.


All the factors add up. But, one factor should (and could) be made illegal.

If a mutual fund bids up the price of a stock, if might affect you if you
wanted to but that stock and you wished it were cheaper. But, you don't HAVE
to buy that stock. Oil, on the other hand - you have no choice if you need
to drive a car. The price is being meddled with by investors fiddling with
it for recreational purposes.



[email protected] November 11th 07 02:24 PM

When Bush took office...
 
On Nov 11, 8:55 am, HK wrote:
JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
...
JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
om...
JimH wrote:
"Wayne.B" wrote in message
om...
On Sat, 10 Nov 2007 22:49:44 -0500, " JimH" ask wrote:


Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline prices.
That's easy:


- The Iraq war


- Huge federal defecits


- Weak dollar


- Poor energy policies


- Huge trade imbalance


They are all intertwined with high energy prices in various ways.


And of course the Republicans are the cause of all of them.......eh?
Nice try Wayne.
Yeah, they are.


Remind me again who has control of Congress.
At the moment, no one. The Dems do not yet have a working majority.


Nice try but no cigar for you.


I don't smoke, but my statement is correct. If the Dems had "control" of
Congress, they would have the votes within their party to override a
presidential veto. That's what control means when the other party
controls the white house.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


Bull****. the only bills that he has vetoed were nothing to do with
our economy, cept to drown it with a huge socialized medical spending
bill for the limosine liberals and illegals... They have not even
tried to put up any appropriations bills or any other energy bills
either, they are just concerened with power and earmark spending...


JoeSpareBedroom November 11th 07 02:29 PM

When Bush took office...
 
wrote in message
ups.com...
On Nov 11, 8:55 am, HK wrote:
JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
...
JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
om...
JimH wrote:
"Wayne.B" wrote in message
om...
On Sat, 10 Nov 2007 22:49:44 -0500, " JimH" ask
wrote:


Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline
prices.
That's easy:


- The Iraq war


- Huge federal defecits


- Weak dollar


- Poor energy policies


- Huge trade imbalance


They are all intertwined with high energy prices in various ways.


And of course the Republicans are the cause of all of
them.......eh?
Nice try Wayne.
Yeah, they are.


Remind me again who has control of Congress.
At the moment, no one. The Dems do not yet have a working majority.


Nice try but no cigar for you.


I don't smoke, but my statement is correct. If the Dems had "control" of
Congress, they would have the votes within their party to override a
presidential veto. That's what control means when the other party
controls the white house.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


Bull****. the only bills that he has vetoed were nothing to do with
our economy, cept to drown it with a huge socialized medical spending
bill for the limosine liberals and illegals... They have not even
tried to put up any appropriations bills or any other energy bills
either, they are just concerened with power and earmark spending...


There is already a socialized medicine program whose existence you approve
of, and might even admire. If I told you that I had the power to end this
program and that I intended to do so, you'd say nasty things about me.

Guess what this program is.



Canuck57 November 11th 07 02:44 PM

When Bush took office...
 

"JoeSpareBedroom" wrote in message
...
"Tim" wrote in message
ps.com...
On Nov 10, 9:49 pm, " JimH" ask wrote:
"HK" wrote in message

. ..

JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
m...
...gasoline was $1.46 a gallon.

And the highest gasoline prices were under the leadership of Carter.

And your point is?

Just another data point with which to bury Republicans next year.

Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline prices.

Why would gasoline prices be different today if a Democrat were in
office?


Well I'm not worried about it. Pres. Hillary Obama will get it right
back down to a "buck forty-nine" in just six months, and will have
exec. reps on a rope just like a stringer fll of blue gills.


Nobody will get the price down until we eliminate oil speculation by
investors who have absolutely no connection with the oil business.


Most of the increases in gasoline prices for the last year are due to the
devaluation of the greenback, not in any real way has the value of a barrel
of oil changed.

It is opposite thinking from what politicians preach. A paper currency is
just like stock. It goes up when people want it, and down when people don't
want it. Just like commodities, currency fluxuates in value.

If the US fed raised interest rates and tightened up the money supply the
dollar would have more value. Does not congress work with the Fed on such
maters?

Combine this with sub-prime mortgages and asset backed paper liquidity
problems....

It is more accurate to think of the barrel of oil value being constant and
the currency has lost value. If you had 100% of your investments in a
stable currency last year, they would have gone up 20% against the USD not
including interest.

Blame government monetary policy.




JoeSpareBedroom November 11th 07 02:46 PM

When Bush took office...
 
"Canuck57" wrote in message
news:EzEZi.200735$1y4.155047@pd7urf2no...

"JoeSpareBedroom" wrote in message
...
"Tim" wrote in message
ps.com...
On Nov 10, 9:49 pm, " JimH" ask wrote:
"HK" wrote in message

. ..

JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
m...
...gasoline was $1.46 a gallon.

And the highest gasoline prices were under the leadership of Carter.

And your point is?

Just another data point with which to bury Republicans next year.

Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline prices.

Why would gasoline prices be different today if a Democrat were in
office?

Well I'm not worried about it. Pres. Hillary Obama will get it right
back down to a "buck forty-nine" in just six months, and will have
exec. reps on a rope just like a stringer fll of blue gills.


Nobody will get the price down until we eliminate oil speculation by
investors who have absolutely no connection with the oil business.


Most of the increases in gasoline prices for the last year are due to the
devaluation of the greenback, not in any real way has the value of a
barrel of oil changed.

It is opposite thinking from what politicians preach. A paper currency is
just like stock. It goes up when people want it, and down when people
don't want it. Just like commodities, currency fluxuates in value.

If the US fed raised interest rates and tightened up the money supply the
dollar would have more value. Does not congress work with the Fed on such
maters?

Combine this with sub-prime mortgages and asset backed paper liquidity
problems....

It is more accurate to think of the barrel of oil value being constant and
the currency has lost value. If you had 100% of your investments in a
stable currency last year, they would have gone up 20% against the USD not
including interest.

Blame government monetary policy.



All true, but I stand by my original comment. Oil is one commodity which
should be untouchable by recreational speculators. I'm talking illegal, go
to jail, that sort of thing. You know I'm right.



Canuck57 November 11th 07 03:05 PM

When Bush took office...
 

"Wayne.B" wrote in message
...
On Sat, 10 Nov 2007 22:49:44 -0500, " JimH" ask wrote:

Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline prices.


That's easy:

- The Iraq war
- Huge federal defecits
- Weak dollar
- Poor energy policies
- Huge trade imbalance

They are all intertwined with high energy prices in various ways.


Well put. And to pay for it the fed "created" too much money diluting the
greenback. Supply and demand. Oversupply of currency and far too low
interest rates generally mean lower value of the currency itself.

But I think most of us didn't anticipate the size and speed of the
devaluation of the USD. As this moves through the supply chain it is going
to drive a mean kick on inflation and probably interest rates too.

Sub-prime for example. Who wants risky debt, liquidity issues for an
interest rate below inflation? But if they jumped rates to 12+% the cash
would come. Rates are artificially low. That is why there is a crunch.

Most people should think of paper currency just like stock. And devaluation
depreciates the stock it is going to take more stock to buy the same other
item as it did before. You feel it first with gasoline as inventories are
short. The real value of oil has not changed that much in a year.



Canuck57 November 11th 07 03:06 PM

When Bush took office...
 

" JimH" ask wrote in message
...

"HK" wrote in message
. ..
JimH wrote:
"Wayne.B" wrote in message
...
On Sat, 10 Nov 2007 22:49:44 -0500, " JimH" ask
wrote:

Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline prices.
That's easy:

- The Iraq war

- Huge federal defecits

- Weak dollar

- Poor energy policies

- Huge trade imbalance

They are all intertwined with high energy prices in various ways.


And of course the Republicans are the cause of all of them.......eh?
Nice try Wayne.


Yeah, they are.


Remind me again who has control of Congress.


Good point.

A good video on this:
http://video.google.ca/videoplay?doc...ch&pli ndex=1



HK November 11th 07 03:10 PM

When Bush took office...
 
Canuck57 wrote:
" JimH" ask wrote in message
...
"HK" wrote in message
. ..
JimH wrote:
"Wayne.B" wrote in message
...
On Sat, 10 Nov 2007 22:49:44 -0500, " JimH" ask
wrote:

Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline prices.
That's easy:

- The Iraq war

- Huge federal defecits

- Weak dollar

- Poor energy policies

- Huge trade imbalance

They are all intertwined with high energy prices in various ways.

And of course the Republicans are the cause of all of them.......eh?
Nice try Wayne.
Yeah, they are.

Remind me again who has control of Congress.


Good point.

A good video on this:
http://video.google.ca/videoplay?doc...ch&pli ndex=1



Ack! RonPaulCrackPotLoonitarianAlert!

Reginald P. Smithers III November 11th 07 03:41 PM

When Bush took office...
 
Gene Kearns wrote:
On Sat, 10 Nov 2007 22:17:04 -0500, BAR penned the following well
considered thoughts to the readers of rec.boats:

HK wrote:
...gasoline was $1.46 a gallon.

And oil was $25 a barrel.


Man..... listen to that reel scream!


That is exactly what I thought. It is a feeding frenzy, everyone
fighting to take the bait.


[email protected] November 11th 07 03:55 PM

When Bush took office...
 
On Nov 10, 10:26 pm, " JimH" ask wrote:
"HK" wrote in message

. ..

...gasoline was $1.46 a gallon.


And the highest gasoline prices were under the leadership of Carter.

And your point is?


Wrong again!


[email protected] November 11th 07 03:57 PM

When Bush took office...
 
On Nov 11, 9:24 am, wrote:
On Nov 11, 8:55 am, HK wrote:





JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
...
JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
om...
JimH wrote:
"Wayne.B" wrote in message
om...
On Sat, 10 Nov 2007 22:49:44 -0500, " JimH" ask wrote:


Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline prices.
That's easy:


- The Iraq war


- Huge federal defecits


- Weak dollar


- Poor energy policies


- Huge trade imbalance


They are all intertwined with high energy prices in various ways.


And of course the Republicans are the cause of all of them.......eh?
Nice try Wayne.
Yeah, they are.


Remind me again who has control of Congress.
At the moment, no one. The Dems do not yet have a working majority.


Nice try but no cigar for you.


I don't smoke, but my statement is correct. If the Dems had "control" of
Congress, they would have the votes within their party to override a
presidential veto. That's what control means when the other party
controls the white house.- Hide quoted text -


- Show quoted text -


Bull****. the only bills that he has vetoed were nothing to do with
our economy, cept to drown it with a huge socialized medical spending
bill for the limosine liberals and illegals... They have not even
tried to put up any appropriations bills or any other energy bills
either, they are just concerened with power and earmark spending...- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


Is that you, Rush Hannity?


Lu Powell November 11th 07 04:00 PM

When Bush took office...
 

"JoeSpareBedroom" wrote in message
...
wrote in message
ups.com...
On Nov 11, 8:55 am, HK wrote:
JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
...
JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
om...
JimH wrote:
"Wayne.B" wrote in message
om...
On Sat, 10 Nov 2007 22:49:44 -0500, " JimH" ask
wrote:

Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in
gasoline prices.
That's easy:

- The Iraq war

- Huge federal defecits

- Weak dollar

- Poor energy policies

- Huge trade imbalance

They are all intertwined with high energy prices in various
ways.

And of course the Republicans are the cause of all of
them.......eh?
Nice try Wayne.
Yeah, they are.

Remind me again who has control of Congress.
At the moment, no one. The Dems do not yet have a working
majority.

Nice try but no cigar for you.

I don't smoke, but my statement is correct. If the Dems had
"control" of
Congress, they would have the votes within their party to override a
presidential veto. That's what control means when the other party
controls the white house.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


Bull****. the only bills that he has vetoed were nothing to do with
our economy, cept to drown it with a huge socialized medical spending
bill for the limosine liberals and illegals... They have not even
tried to put up any appropriations bills or any other energy bills
either, they are just concerened with power and earmark spending...


There is already a socialized medicine program whose existence you
approve of, and might even admire. If I told you that I had the power
to end this program and that I intended to do so, you'd say nasty
things about me.

Guess what this program is.


And when the Dems gain control, all will be sweetness and light. Ha!



Wayne.B November 11th 07 04:09 PM

When Bush took office...
 
On Sun, 11 Nov 2007 15:05:18 GMT, "Canuck57"
wrote:

"Wayne.B" wrote in message
.. .
On Sat, 10 Nov 2007 22:49:44 -0500, " JimH" ask wrote:

Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline prices.


That's easy:

- The Iraq war
- Huge federal defecits
- Weak dollar
- Poor energy policies
- Huge trade imbalance

They are all intertwined with high energy prices in various ways.


Well put. And to pay for it the fed "created" too much money diluting the
greenback. Supply and demand. Oversupply of currency and far too low
interest rates generally mean lower value of the currency itself.

But I think most of us didn't anticipate the size and speed of the
devaluation of the USD. As this moves through the supply chain it is going
to drive a mean kick on inflation and probably interest rates too.

Sub-prime for example. Who wants risky debt, liquidity issues for an
interest rate below inflation? But if they jumped rates to 12+% the cash
would come. Rates are artificially low. That is why there is a crunch.

Most people should think of paper currency just like stock. And devaluation
depreciates the stock it is going to take more stock to buy the same other
item as it did before. You feel it first with gasoline as inventories are
short. The real value of oil has not changed that much in a year.


The issue with the Fed and low interest rates is more complicated,
dating back to the "dot.com" stock market bust and the desire to avoid
a recession. The fact that rates were maintained too low for too long
led to the real estate bubble and created the demand for sub prime,
high risk lending. Yes, actually created the demand by stimulating
the so called "carry trade". The carry trade is Wall Street's name
for borrowing money at low interest in a venue like Japan, and
investing it at high interest rates somewhere else. It's a can't lose
proposition in a stable investment climate, limited only by your
ability to borrow large amounts of money and safely reinvest it. Since
Japan had virtually unlimited amounts of money to lend, the ability to
reinvest was the primary limitation. Banks and other lending
institutions in the US had already found it profitable to bundle up
various kinds of debt obligations and resell them as bonds to
institutional investors. They were percieved as low risk, high yield
investments and were very popular. They were also very profitable for
the banks who were packaging the loans and selling them off. There
is only so much high quality debt available for repackaging however so
that sparked the sub-prime high risk lending business to create more
opportunities for selling bonds. Like all things the reality is even
more complicated, but that is the one paragraph view from 30,000 feet.

Jim November 11th 07 04:10 PM

When Bush took office...
 
BAR wrote:
HK wrote:

...gasoline was $1.46 a gallon.



And oil was $25 a barrel.

And there was a lot less war in the world.

He campaigned on not doing nation building and humility in foreign policy.

Canuck57 November 11th 07 04:10 PM

When Bush took office...
 

"JoeSpareBedroom" wrote in message
...
"Canuck57" wrote in message
news:EzEZi.200735$1y4.155047@pd7urf2no...

"JoeSpareBedroom" wrote in message
...
"Tim" wrote in message
ps.com...
On Nov 10, 9:49 pm, " JimH" ask wrote:
"HK" wrote in message

. ..

JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
m...
...gasoline was $1.46 a gallon.

And the highest gasoline prices were under the leadership of
Carter.

And your point is?

Just another data point with which to bury Republicans next year.

Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline prices.

Why would gasoline prices be different today if a Democrat were in
office?

Well I'm not worried about it. Pres. Hillary Obama will get it right
back down to a "buck forty-nine" in just six months, and will have
exec. reps on a rope just like a stringer fll of blue gills.

Nobody will get the price down until we eliminate oil speculation by
investors who have absolutely no connection with the oil business.


Most of the increases in gasoline prices for the last year are due to the
devaluation of the greenback, not in any real way has the value of a
barrel of oil changed.

It is opposite thinking from what politicians preach. A paper currency
is just like stock. It goes up when people want it, and down when people
don't want it. Just like commodities, currency fluxuates in value.

If the US fed raised interest rates and tightened up the money supply the
dollar would have more value. Does not congress work with the Fed on
such maters?

Combine this with sub-prime mortgages and asset backed paper liquidity
problems....

It is more accurate to think of the barrel of oil value being constant
and the currency has lost value. If you had 100% of your investments in
a stable currency last year, they would have gone up 20% against the USD
not including interest.

Blame government monetary policy.



All true, but I stand by my original comment. Oil is one commodity which
should be untouchable by recreational speculators. I'm talking illegal, go
to jail, that sort of thing. You know I'm right.


It is easy then other than how do I carry a $100 barrel of oil around? That
is peg the currency to 1 exact barrel of oil and not the Fed's or
Congressional view of it. But for this to work, if I tender $100 you have
to give me my exact 1 barrel of oil. Something the government and the fed
will not do. That is, back the currency in real constant value.

I knew when Greenspan retired the greed of Fed/banks would in time screw it
up. My bet paid off handsomely. One must look at paper currency as stock
that generally devaluates due to government over spending and big banking
policies.

Oil is just like black gold. Gold too has the same curve against the USD.
So has copper. I don't follow silver but suspect it to has too. Blame the
"oil" companies is a farce, a political excuse to focus people away from the
real issues.

And the spread between currency devaluation and fixed value commodities
suggests interest rates should be in the order of 10-12%. Which of course
they are not. Because the Fed is still creating money to address the
liquidity crunch this creates. A real down stream inflation generator.

It is also why I keep little cash. Cash ultimately depreciates to the
bank/governments favor. I keep a 4-5 month inventory of cash in case I get
laid off but after that it is into something more tangible.

Most often think of cash as a constant value, how wrong these people are.
It is generally best viewed as a depreciable asset. Where as an ounce of
gold or barrel of oil will have the same NPV in 30 years.

The bad part is I don't see the Fed/Congress doing a thing about it. I wish
they would. As I expect this to continue. Want to make more on the turn
around, looking for the bottom.

All because I like fishing and not rich enough to retire to do it full time.



HK November 11th 07 04:12 PM

When Bush took office...
 
Jim wrote:
BAR wrote:
HK wrote:

...gasoline was $1.46 a gallon.



And oil was $25 a barrel.

And there was a lot less war in the world.

He campaigned on not doing nation building and humility in foreign policy.

\


Well, one thing for su Bush hasn't succeeded in his attempts to
nation-build.

Wayne.B November 11th 07 04:22 PM

When Bush took office...
 
On Sun, 11 Nov 2007 14:46:45 GMT, "JoeSpareBedroom"
wrote:

All true, but I stand by my original comment. Oil is one commodity which
should be untouchable by recreational speculators. I'm talking illegal, go
to jail, that sort of thing. You know I'm right.


There are no "recreational speculators". Everyone who trades
commodity futures is doing it for business reasons of one sort or
another. You may not agree that all of their reasons are valid but
the commodity futures market is absolutely essential both to the
producers and consumers of any given commodity. The markets
themselves help to dampen out large daily price swings by evening out
supply and demand over time, and so called speculators are part of
that process - just like the stock market. It would be more accurate
to call them short term investors.

jps November 11th 07 05:20 PM

When Bush took office...
 
On Sun, 11 Nov 2007 14:24:35 -0000,
wrote:

On Nov 11, 8:55 am, HK wrote:
JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
...
JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
om...
JimH wrote:
"Wayne.B" wrote in message
om...
On Sat, 10 Nov 2007 22:49:44 -0500, " JimH" ask wrote:


Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline prices.
That's easy:


- The Iraq war


- Huge federal defecits


- Weak dollar


- Poor energy policies


- Huge trade imbalance


They are all intertwined with high energy prices in various ways.


And of course the Republicans are the cause of all of them.......eh?
Nice try Wayne.
Yeah, they are.


Remind me again who has control of Congress.
At the moment, no one. The Dems do not yet have a working majority.


Nice try but no cigar for you.


I don't smoke, but my statement is correct. If the Dems had "control" of
Congress, they would have the votes within their party to override a
presidential veto. That's what control means when the other party
controls the white house.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


Bull****. the only bills that he has vetoed were nothing to do with
our economy, cept to drown it with a huge socialized medical spending
bill for the limosine liberals and illegals... They have not even
tried to put up any appropriations bills or any other energy bills
either, they are just concerened with power and earmark spending...


Wow, your head is further planted than previously estimated. How the
hell did you get it up that far?

I suppose you prefer the facsist method of delivering health care,
where corporate profits eclipse your fellow citizen's health and
well-being?

Yes, I bet you do.

jps

[email protected] November 11th 07 05:22 PM

When Bush took office...
 
On Nov 11, 10:57 am, wrote:
On Nov 11, 9:24 am, wrote:





On Nov 11, 8:55 am, HK wrote:


JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
...
JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
om...
JimH wrote:
"Wayne.B" wrote in message
om...
On Sat, 10 Nov 2007 22:49:44 -0500, " JimH" ask wrote:


Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline prices.
That's easy:


- The Iraq war


- Huge federal defecits


- Weak dollar


- Poor energy policies


- Huge trade imbalance


They are all intertwined with high energy prices in various ways.


And of course the Republicans are the cause of all of them.......eh?
Nice try Wayne.
Yeah, they are.


Remind me again who has control of Congress.
At the moment, no one. The Dems do not yet have a working majority.


Nice try but no cigar for you.


I don't smoke, but my statement is correct. If the Dems had "control" of
Congress, they would have the votes within their party to override a
presidential veto. That's what control means when the other party
controls the white house.- Hide quoted text -


- Show quoted text -


Bull****. the only bills that he has vetoed were nothing to do with
our economy, cept to drown it with a huge socialized medical spending
bill for the limosine liberals and illegals... They have not even
tried to put up any appropriations bills or any other energy bills
either, they are just concerened with power and earmark spending...- Hide quoted text -


- Show quoted text -


Is that you, Rush Hannity?- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -


Oh Gawd.. please tell me which bills Bush has vetoed... Please tell me
what bills the new congress has tried to pass to fix these problems.
The answers are one and none.... Facts are facts, they are not
putting up bills period, only interested in social engineering. You
must be MSNBC.. they don't really care about facts...


jps November 11th 07 05:31 PM

When Bush took office...
 
On Sun, 11 Nov 2007 11:00:32 -0500, "Lu Powell"
wrote:


"JoeSpareBedroom" wrote in message
...
wrote in message
ups.com...
On Nov 11, 8:55 am, HK wrote:
JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
...
JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
om...
JimH wrote:
"Wayne.B" wrote in message
om...
On Sat, 10 Nov 2007 22:49:44 -0500, " JimH" ask
wrote:

Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in
gasoline prices.
That's easy:

- The Iraq war

- Huge federal defecits

- Weak dollar

- Poor energy policies

- Huge trade imbalance

They are all intertwined with high energy prices in various
ways.

And of course the Republicans are the cause of all of
them.......eh?
Nice try Wayne.
Yeah, they are.

Remind me again who has control of Congress.
At the moment, no one. The Dems do not yet have a working
majority.

Nice try but no cigar for you.

I don't smoke, but my statement is correct. If the Dems had
"control" of
Congress, they would have the votes within their party to override a
presidential veto. That's what control means when the other party
controls the white house.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

Bull****. the only bills that he has vetoed were nothing to do with
our economy, cept to drown it with a huge socialized medical spending
bill for the limosine liberals and illegals... They have not even
tried to put up any appropriations bills or any other energy bills
either, they are just concerened with power and earmark spending...


There is already a socialized medicine program whose existence you
approve of, and might even admire. If I told you that I had the power
to end this program and that I intended to do so, you'd say nasty
things about me.

Guess what this program is.


And when the Dems gain control, all will be sweetness and light. Ha!


You of course are familiar with the saying "lesser of two evils."
You'd prefer the more evil was left in charge?

Dems, while not effective, are at least focused on more positive
outcomes. The Republicans will bankrupt us with bullets tax cuts and
the Dems with social programs.

At least the social programs benefit someone of than arms
manufacturers and oil companies.

Which do you prefer?

jps

JoeSpareBedroom November 11th 07 06:03 PM

When Bush took office...
 
"Wayne.B" wrote in message
...
On Sun, 11 Nov 2007 14:46:45 GMT, "JoeSpareBedroom"
wrote:

All true, but I stand by my original comment. Oil is one commodity which
should be untouchable by recreational speculators. I'm talking illegal, go
to jail, that sort of thing. You know I'm right.


There are no "recreational speculators". Everyone who trades
commodity futures is doing it for business reasons of one sort or
another. You may not agree that all of their reasons are valid but
the commodity futures market is absolutely essential both to the
producers and consumers of any given commodity. The markets
themselves help to dampen out large daily price swings by evening out
supply and demand over time, and so called speculators are part of
that process - just like the stock market. It would be more accurate
to call them short term investors.



Sorry, Wayne, but in fact, there are recreational spectators. A mutual fund
investing in the oil futures market - the manager (and the fund's customers)
are all recreational spectators. About a year ago, a Barron's article
mentioned that on some days, players (let's use that shorter description
from now on) place more trades than oil companies who are legitimately
trying to hedge on behalf of their firms.

However, you're right about "business reasons of one sort or another". The
problem is that "one sort" hurts you and I. No matter who plays in these
markets and whether they win or lose, there's someone who makes out like a
bandit: The clearinghouses.



JoeSpareBedroom November 11th 07 06:04 PM

When Bush took office...
 
"Lu Powell" wrote in message
. ..

"JoeSpareBedroom" wrote in message
...
wrote in message
ups.com...
On Nov 11, 8:55 am, HK wrote:
JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
...
JimH wrote:
"HK" wrote in message
om...
JimH wrote:
"Wayne.B" wrote in message
om...
On Sat, 10 Nov 2007 22:49:44 -0500, " JimH" ask
wrote:

Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline
prices.
That's easy:

- The Iraq war

- Huge federal defecits

- Weak dollar

- Poor energy policies

- Huge trade imbalance

They are all intertwined with high energy prices in various
ways.

And of course the Republicans are the cause of all of
them.......eh?
Nice try Wayne.
Yeah, they are.

Remind me again who has control of Congress.
At the moment, no one. The Dems do not yet have a working majority.

Nice try but no cigar for you.

I don't smoke, but my statement is correct. If the Dems had "control"
of
Congress, they would have the votes within their party to override a
presidential veto. That's what control means when the other party
controls the white house.- Hide quoted text -

- Show quoted text -

Bull****. the only bills that he has vetoed were nothing to do with
our economy, cept to drown it with a huge socialized medical spending
bill for the limosine liberals and illegals... They have not even
tried to put up any appropriations bills or any other energy bills
either, they are just concerened with power and earmark spending...


There is already a socialized medicine program whose existence you
approve of, and might even admire. If I told you that I had the power to
end this program and that I intended to do so, you'd say nasty things
about me.

Guess what this program is.


And when the Dems gain control, all will be sweetness and light. Ha!



That doesn't answer the question. Please name the socialized medicine which
you approve of and would not want to see eliminated.



Canuck57 November 11th 07 06:41 PM

When Bush took office...
 

"Wayne.B" wrote in message
...
On Sun, 11 Nov 2007 15:05:18 GMT, "Canuck57"
wrote:

"Wayne.B" wrote in message
. ..
On Sat, 10 Nov 2007 22:49:44 -0500, " JimH" ask wrote:

Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline prices.

That's easy:

- The Iraq war
- Huge federal defecits
- Weak dollar
- Poor energy policies
- Huge trade imbalance

They are all intertwined with high energy prices in various ways.


Well put. And to pay for it the fed "created" too much money diluting the
greenback. Supply and demand. Oversupply of currency and far too low
interest rates generally mean lower value of the currency itself.

But I think most of us didn't anticipate the size and speed of the
devaluation of the USD. As this moves through the supply chain it is
going
to drive a mean kick on inflation and probably interest rates too.

Sub-prime for example. Who wants risky debt, liquidity issues for an
interest rate below inflation? But if they jumped rates to 12+% the cash
would come. Rates are artificially low. That is why there is a crunch.

Most people should think of paper currency just like stock. And
devaluation
depreciates the stock it is going to take more stock to buy the same other
item as it did before. You feel it first with gasoline as inventories are
short. The real value of oil has not changed that much in a year.


The issue with the Fed and low interest rates is more complicated,
dating back to the "dot.com" stock market bust and the desire to avoid
a recession. The fact that rates were maintained too low for too long
led to the real estate bubble and created the demand for sub prime,
high risk lending. Yes, actually created the demand by stimulating
the so called "carry trade". The carry trade is Wall Street's name
for borrowing money at low interest in a venue like Japan, and
investing it at high interest rates somewhere else. It's a can't lose
proposition in a stable investment climate, limited only by your
ability to borrow large amounts of money and safely reinvest it. Since
Japan had virtually unlimited amounts of money to lend, the ability to
reinvest was the primary limitation. Banks and other lending
institutions in the US had already found it profitable to bundle up
various kinds of debt obligations and resell them as bonds to
institutional investors. They were percieved as low risk, high yield
investments and were very popular. They were also very profitable for
the banks who were packaging the loans and selling them off. There
is only so much high quality debt available for repackaging however so
that sparked the sub-prime high risk lending business to create more
opportunities for selling bonds. Like all things the reality is even
more complicated, but that is the one paragraph view from 30,000 feet.


Might be 30,000 feet, but very interesting view point. I didn't follow
sub-prime that closely. In fact, I divested almost all my mortgage/bond
instruments some 4-5 years ago now as to me the risk/reward curve was wrong.
3-4% is a joke given "real" inflation rates.

But what you say, also means quite a bit of loan/bond "paper" is just that,
a big paper write down. Because if they borrowed Japanese Yen last year at
this time, they owe 20-30% more in USD today above it's face value. Sort of
like a uncovered put option gone bad.

It will be interesting to see how the Fed/Banks work this one. But bet it
isn't going to be pretty. Maybe even see $150/barrel yet. Or maybe they
can't afford to let that happen and jack rates fast. Hard to tell. But my
bet is to watch closely what the big Fed related banks are doing. If they
start buying discounted paper the bottom is near. But that may be a ways
off.




Jim November 11th 07 06:46 PM

When Bush took office...
 
HK wrote:
Jim wrote:

BAR wrote:

HK wrote:

...gasoline was $1.46 a gallon.



And oil was $25 a barrel.

And there was a lot less war in the world.

He campaigned on not doing nation building and humility in foreign
policy.


\


Well, one thing for su Bush hasn't succeeded in his attempts to
nation-build.

He hasn't succeeded in just about anything, except proving his election
was a bad idea. Hopefully all of this makes voters think a little
harder next time.

Canuck57 November 11th 07 07:20 PM

When Bush took office...
 

"JoeSpareBedroom" wrote in message
...
"Wayne.B" wrote in message
...
On Sun, 11 Nov 2007 14:46:45 GMT, "JoeSpareBedroom"
wrote:

All true, but I stand by my original comment. Oil is one commodity which
should be untouchable by recreational speculators. I'm talking illegal,
go
to jail, that sort of thing. You know I'm right.


There are no "recreational speculators". Everyone who trades
commodity futures is doing it for business reasons of one sort or
another. You may not agree that all of their reasons are valid but
the commodity futures market is absolutely essential both to the
producers and consumers of any given commodity. The markets
themselves help to dampen out large daily price swings by evening out
supply and demand over time, and so called speculators are part of
that process - just like the stock market. It would be more accurate
to call them short term investors.



Sorry, Wayne, but in fact, there are recreational spectators. A mutual
fund investing in the oil futures market - the manager (and the fund's
customers) are all recreational spectators. About a year ago, a Barron's
article mentioned that on some days, players (let's use that shorter
description from now on) place more trades than oil companies who are
legitimately trying to hedge on behalf of their firms.


Not necessarily speculation, maybe for some. The fact of the mater is our
currencies are not stable (and devaluate/inflation) and neither are most
businesses. Those that bought oil futures, gold and items of a constant
value of aquisition were in fact hedging againt a dollar decline. Good
investment move maintaining value for their investors.

Same reason you buy a home. Once purchased, 30 years later it might be
worth 5-10 times what you paid for it. Is this speculation?

The markets will always weed out blind speculators in time.

However, you're right about "business reasons of one sort or another". The
problem is that "one sort" hurts you and I. No matter who plays in these
markets and whether they win or lose, there's someone who makes out like a
bandit: The clearinghouses.


This is a fact. We all hurt, even though I owned a barrel or two of oil, it
isn't good to make 30% when the currency devalues 30%. In a long term
perspective, while hedged on the devaluation I didn't get value.

But I think that is the whole point of this video:

http://video.google.ca/videoplay?doc...ch&pli ndex=1


Short Wave Sportfishing November 11th 07 08:04 PM

When Bush took office...
 
On Sun, 11 Nov 2007 00:43:13 -0500, Wayne.B
wrote:

On Sat, 10 Nov 2007 22:49:44 -0500, " JimH" ask wrote:

Explain how the "Republicans" caused the increase in gasoline prices.


That's easy:

- The Iraq war

- Huge federal defecits

- Weak dollar

- Poor energy policies

- Huge trade imbalance

They are all intertwined with high energy prices in various ways.


You forgot the most important one - namely defending the dollar
against speculation.

That, in my opinion, is the real crime.

JoeSpareBedroom November 11th 07 08:07 PM

When Bush took office...
 
"Canuck57" wrote in message
news:LBIZi.199547$Da.7070@pd7urf1no...

"JoeSpareBedroom" wrote in message
...
"Wayne.B" wrote in message
...
On Sun, 11 Nov 2007 14:46:45 GMT, "JoeSpareBedroom"
wrote:

All true, but I stand by my original comment. Oil is one commodity which
should be untouchable by recreational speculators. I'm talking illegal,
go
to jail, that sort of thing. You know I'm right.

There are no "recreational speculators". Everyone who trades
commodity futures is doing it for business reasons of one sort or
another. You may not agree that all of their reasons are valid but
the commodity futures market is absolutely essential both to the
producers and consumers of any given commodity. The markets
themselves help to dampen out large daily price swings by evening out
supply and demand over time, and so called speculators are part of
that process - just like the stock market. It would be more accurate
to call them short term investors.



Sorry, Wayne, but in fact, there are recreational spectators. A mutual
fund investing in the oil futures market - the manager (and the fund's
customers) are all recreational spectators. About a year ago, a Barron's
article mentioned that on some days, players (let's use that shorter
description from now on) place more trades than oil companies who are
legitimately trying to hedge on behalf of their firms.


Not necessarily speculation, maybe for some. The fact of the mater is our
currencies are not stable (and devaluate/inflation) and neither are most
businesses. Those that bought oil futures, gold and items of a constant
value of aquisition were in fact hedging againt a dollar decline. Good
investment move maintaining value for their investors.

Same reason you buy a home. Once purchased, 30 years later it might be
worth 5-10 times what you paid for it. Is this speculation?

The markets will always weed out blind speculators in time.

However, you're right about "business reasons of one sort or another".
The problem is that "one sort" hurts you and I. No matter who plays in
these markets and whether they win or lose, there's someone who makes out
like a bandit: The clearinghouses.


This is a fact. We all hurt, even though I owned a barrel or two of oil,
it isn't good to make 30% when the currency devalues 30%. In a long term
perspective, while hedged on the devaluation I didn't get value.

But I think that is the whole point of this video:


http://video.google.ca/videoplay?doc...ch&pli ndex=1


Even if, in a perfect world, there were no currency fluctuations, oil prices
would be bounced around by investors who haven't got a clue about the
physical realities of the oil markets. "Oil jumped a dollar a barrel today
in trading, on fears of renewed violence in Baghdad". Excuse me? Violence in
Baghdad, in a country which statistically speaking provides little or no
oil?

This is the same reason tech stocks all take a dive when one of them
announces low earnings. It's bull****. "on fears of"




All times are GMT +1. The time now is 10:39 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.
Copyright ©2004 - 2014 BoatBanter.com