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I'm loving this Global Warming...
Short Wave Sportfishing wrote:
On Sun, 24 Jun 2007 21:36:27 -0700, Chuck Gould wrote: Pointing out the 10-15% of scientists who disagree with the herd and pointing out instances when some scientist or another was wrong about previous climate predictions won't erase the very real possibility that there's a problem That's the point Chuck. While you may think it's 10-15% of scientists, and it's certainly presented that way, it's more like 50/60% of scientists disagree. There isn't any consensus even amoung those who even think that somehow greenhouse gases are causing global warming. The simple truth is this - you can either believe in Global Warming or not believe in Global Warming. You obviously believe in it despite evidence to the contrary. So does Gene. And I have no problem with that. However, every time I, or others, bring up evidence to the contrary, it's dismissed - politely and reasonably to be sure, but it's still dismissed under the quise that the evidence isn't in, but.... Just be honest - you believe in it, you think it's humanity's fault and go from there. I would also point out that in the history of science, the "deniers" of established wisdom are usually the ones that are eventually proven right. Think Galileo Galilei and go from there. In this case, you and the rest of the "deniers" are on the side opposite of Galileo. |
I'm loving this Global Warming...
Chuck Gould wrote:
On Jun 24, 11:22?am, "Calif Bill" wrote: "Chuck Gould" wrote in message ups.com... On Jun 22, 2:31?pm, Short Wave Sportfishing wrote: Temps in the low '60s, reasonable humidity, winds NNW at 10, occasional rain showers... Man, this Global Warming is wonderful! Heh, heh, heh... Just got back from Alaska. On one leg of our cruise ship vacation we motored up Endicott Arm, (east of Juneau) and got up fairly close to the Daws glacier. (Got to hand it to the Captain, I would never have thought anybody would attempt to run a vessel of that size up through a snakey fjord filled with ice bergs, but he did). A lot of the passengers on this cruise seemed to hail from the south and the midwest. Every time a whale would spout or somebody would spot an eagle, a dolphin, etc there would be a chorus of oohs and aahs and cameras would be snapping madly. (The scenery was a lot like Puget Sound or SW BC, only a lot less populated, so it wasn't quite as stunning or surprising for residents of the Pacific NW). While stopped in sight of the glacier, one of the ship's Norwegian officers gave a lecture over the PA system about glaciers. How they form, why they're blue at the bottom, how many there are, etc. Everybody listened with at least moderate interest until the officer began mentioning the number of glaciers that have retreated substantially or disappeared in Glacier National Park during the last several years. You would have thought he had announced, "We support Hillary for president." The crowd got pretty lippy. Comments like "Who the hell is up on the bridge, Al Gore?" (and some worse) were frequently heard. It was pretty obvious that the negative reaction was *political*, not scientific. The telling moment, for me, occured when the officer mentioned that "as recently as 10,000 years ago much of the earth was covered by a sheet of ice." Once person standing immediately behind me grumbled "Not according to the Bible!", and another bystander confirmed that sentiment by stating, "I guess it all depends on what you believe." Indeed. As always, a solid belief or disbelief is unlikely to be swayed by anything as trivial as actual evidence- on either side of the question. What was interesting was the Eagle Glacier outside Seward, AK. There are markers as you hike the trail to the glacier of where the face was over the years. From 1917-1926 was the major retreat. Maybe 300 yards. Tells me it is not all mankinds fault.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - It's normal for individual glaciers to advance and retreat. Always has been, for millions of years. What is so unusual about current global climate conditions is that nearly all glaciers are receding at once. Many are disappearing entirely, and no new glaciers are appearing to take their place Yes, there *are* exceptions to the prevailing conditions of glacial retreat, just enough to prove the rule. I don't know how much of it, if any, is mankind's fault--- but the results will definitely be mankind's problem. Nobody is well served by side-tracking this scientific concern into an "us vs. them" political snot fight. If things come down as they well might, nobody is going to be spared the consequences simply because he or she voted for the prevailing candidate in the most recent election. Chuck, I was following up on SWF's statement that 50% of scientist did not believe that there was Global Warming. I thought it was the opinion of the vast majority of climatologist that global warming was a fact, and the only controversy was the cause of global warming. I found this interesting article on the "Global Warming Controversy". It seemed to be a fairly unbiased review of the differences of opinion. There seems to be more scientist than i realized who question the accuracy of the statistics concerning global warming in relationship to historical data. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_warming_controversy |
I'm loving this Global Warming...
On Mon, 25 Jun 2007 07:08:15 -0400, HK wrote:
Short Wave Sportfishing wrote: On Sun, 24 Jun 2007 21:36:27 -0700, Chuck Gould wrote: Pointing out the 10-15% of scientists who disagree with the herd and pointing out instances when some scientist or another was wrong about previous climate predictions won't erase the very real possibility that there's a problem That's the point Chuck. While you may think it's 10-15% of scientists, and it's certainly presented that way, it's more like 50/60% of scientists disagree. There isn't any consensus even amoung those who even think that somehow greenhouse gases are causing global warming. The simple truth is this - you can either believe in Global Warming or not believe in Global Warming. You obviously believe in it despite evidence to the contrary. So does Gene. And I have no problem with that. However, every time I, or others, bring up evidence to the contrary, it's dismissed - politely and reasonably to be sure, but it's still dismissed under the quise that the evidence isn't in, but.... Just be honest - you believe in it, you think it's humanity's fault and go from there. I would also point out that in the history of science, the "deniers" of established wisdom are usually the ones that are eventually proven right. Think Galileo Galilei and go from there. In this case, you and the rest of the "deniers" are on the side opposite of Galileo. Not at all. The "Deniers" are Galileo railing against the Church of Global Warming, Pope Al Gore presiding. :) Answer me this Harry. How many times in Earth's history, based on archeological, paleontological and anthropological evidence, has the Earth warmed or cooled? Now take those same disciplines and apply them to the time that Homosapiens has been walking the planet - how many times? Take your time - I'll be back this evening. :) |
I'm loving this Global Warming...
On Jun 25, 6:36 am, Short Wave Sportfishing wrote:
On Mon, 25 Jun 2007 07:08:15 -0400, HK wrote: Short Wave Sportfishing wrote: On Sun, 24 Jun 2007 21:36:27 -0700, Chuck Gould wrote: Pointing out the 10-15% of scientists who disagree with the herd and pointing out instances when some scientist or another was wrong about previous climate predictions won't erase the very real possibility that there's a problem That's the point Chuck. While you may think it's 10-15% of scientists, and it's certainly presented that way, it's more like 50/60% of scientists disagree. There isn't any consensus even amoung those who even think that somehow greenhouse gases are causing global warming. The simple truth is this - you can either believe in Global Warming or not believe in Global Warming. You obviously believe in it despite evidence to the contrary. So does Gene. And I have no problem with that. However, every time I, or others, bring up evidence to the contrary, it's dismissed - politely and reasonably to be sure, but it's still dismissed under the quise that the evidence isn't in, but.... Just be honest - you believe in it, you think it's humanity's fault and go from there. I would also point out that in the history of science, the "deniers" of established wisdom are usually the ones that are eventually proven right. Think Galileo Galilei and go from there. In this case, you and the rest of the "deniers" are on the side opposite of Galileo. Not at all. The "Deniers" are Galileo railing against the Church of Global Warming, Pope Al Gore presiding. :) Answer me this Harry. How many times in Earth's history, based on archeological, paleontological and anthropological evidence, has the Earth warmed or cooled? Now take those same disciplines and apply them to the time that Homosapiens has been walking the planet - how many times? Take your time - I'll be back this evening. :)- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Tom, you mean the sky ain't a-falling??? |
I'm loving this Global Warming...
It's high humidity today. jsut walked in from outdoors, and it reminds
me of the philipines. . looks like its going to be hot and really muggy today, unless we have a nother little storm pop though. gag! |
I'm loving this Global Warming...
On Jun 25, 3:29?am, Short Wave Sportfishing
Just be honest - you believe in it, you think it's humanity's fault and go from there. Thanks for telling me what my opinion should be in order to be "honest". :-) But, honestly, I don't fit your stereotype as neatly as you might hope. The three big questions, again, are. 1. Is the climate changing? (I believe the climate is changing. I also believe that the climate has never been constant and is always in a state of warming or cooling) 2. If the climate is changing, is it changing more rapidly or to a greater degree than it has in the past? (I don't know about this. I suspect it may be- although certain climate changes have been so catastrophic in the past that they may be the underlying events behind world wide stories of global deluge (ie Noah and/or Gilgamesh) or even the planetary imbalance that could have led to the sudden shifting of magnetic poles several times in the history of our planet. Is the current change as rapid or severe as changes that may have contributed to deluge mythology or pole relocation? We darn well better hope not....) 3. If the climate is changing more rapidly or to a greater degree than it has in the past, is there something mankind should do or should not do as a result? (As a conservationist, I recommend that everybody examine their lifestyle for any ridiculously destructive or unduly wasteful practices and consider modifying their behaviors when necessary to put less stress on resources and the environment. But I'm not an extremist. Some of the measures recommended by global warming factions make sense from other considerations, like pollution ccontrol, as well.) My specific concern is the rapid disappearance of the polar ice caps. Most of our weather, winds, and currents are generated by thermal gradients between the poles and the tropics. If wind and currents get screwed up weather will follow and life as we know it will change- a lot. One major risk is that organisms, including man, may not be able to adapt rapidly enough to a new weather and climate dynamic to survive- so it would be in our best interest not to accelerate the rate of climate change if we can avoid doing so. Is it man's fault? All of it? Any of it? Can't personally say for sure. Nor can you say, for sure, that it isn't. Global warming at the kitchen table?: Last night one of my wife's girlfriends dropped by to see our photos from Alaska. She was last in Alaska in 1980, and she brought over her photos to show us. We started with ours, and when we showed her the picture of the Mendenhall glacier she almost went into shock. "That can't be!" She said. "I've got a photo of the Mendenhall glacier, and there's no great big huge lake like that in front of it....in fact there's this insignificant little pond and nothing more!" She got out her photo, that according to the profiles of hills and landscapes in the area appeared to be taken from a location not too far from where we took ours. The difference was dramatic. If her photo was indeed of the same glacier, (as it appears to be) it has probably retreated a mile and a half to two miles in the last 27 years. It is also substantially lower than in her photo. That's hardly scientific evidence- we don't know for sure where her photo was taken or how our photo would look if we stood on the *exact* same spot where she took hers, but it brings the possibility home more credibly than photos from any single source on some website that may have a pro or anti-warming agenda. |
I'm loving this Global Warming...
On Sun, 24 Jun 2007 21:36:27 -0700, Chuck Gould
wrote: On Jun 24, 6:31?pm, Short Wave Sportfishing wrote: Ah yes - I see. It's all our fault. ~~ yawn ~~ wrote: I don't know how much of it, if any, is mankind's fault--- but the results will definitely be mankind's problem It may not be all our fault. May not any of it be our fault. My point all along is that this is a scientific issue that is still open to debate. That debate should be scientific, not political. Pointing out the 10-15% of scientists who disagree with the herd and pointing out instances when some scientist or another was wrong about previous climate predictions won't erase the very real possibility that there's a problem. That was the basis of my "dueling websites" comment. Everbody could link to hundreds of sites on both sides of th issues, some of them prepared by people with exceptional scientific credentials that exceed even those of Sean Hannity, Al Gore, or Rush Limbaugh. :-) Way back in the days of yore....there was one lonely voice crying out that the earth revolved around the sun. All the evidence available at that time and popularly accepted by the established religious and political powers seemed to indicate that the earth was the geographical "center" of the universe. That one lonely voice was right... One side or the other in the global warming debate is right. I don't know which it is, and you don't either. The three main questions a 1. Is the climate changing? Almost any reasonable person would have to answer yes because the climate has always been in a state of change for as far back as we can detect. 2. If the climate is changing, is it changing differently or more rapidly than it has in the past? 3. If the climate is changing differently or more rapidly than in the past, is there something man should do or should stop doing as a result? The tough aspect is that it's going to take 100 years to know who's right about climate change.....and in the meantime it's silly (IMO) to get all worked up on a personal basis or start characterizing people who disagree with your personal guess on the issue as a bunch of bad guys. Chuck, I cannot understand why the folks talking the most about mankind's contribution to global warming are the same ones fighting the use of nuclear energy. Ah yes, there is a waste problem. But, it is minimal, given the recycling technology, compared to the advantages of nuclear energy. Perhaps this is one of the reasons many folks think the liberals are 'crying wolf' more than actually trying to solve the problem. Of course, with folks like Al Gore, the whole issue is a money-making proposition. |
I'm loving this Global Warming...
On Mon, 25 Jun 2007 11:54:11 -0000, Tim wrote:
It's high humidity today. jsut walked in from outdoors, and it reminds me of the philipines. . looks like its going to be hot and really muggy today, unless we have a nother little storm pop though. gag! No, not gag. I'm hoping we get the 'chancy' thunderstorm this afternoon! |
I'm loving this Global Warming...
John H. wrote: No, not gag. I'm hoping we get the 'chancy' thunderstorm this afternoon! John, you could probably use it. But around here, things are getting danky and moldy. We aren't flooded by any means, but it would be nice for the humidity to back down a few points. |
I'm loving this Global Warming...
On Jun 25, 7:43?am, John H. wrote:
On Sun, 24 Jun 2007 21:36:27 -0700, Chuck Gould wrote: On Jun 24, 6:31?pm, Short Wave Sportfishing wrote: Ah yes - I see. It's all our fault. ~~ yawn ~~ wrote: I don't know how much of it, if any, is mankind's fault--- but the results will definitely be mankind's problem It may not be all our fault. May not any of it be our fault. My point all along is that this is a scientific issue that is still open to debate. That debate should be scientific, not political. Pointing out the 10-15% of scientists who disagree with the herd and pointing out instances when some scientist or another was wrong about previous climate predictions won't erase the very real possibility that there's a problem. That was the basis of my "dueling websites" comment. Everbody could link to hundreds of sites on both sides of th issues, some of them prepared by people with exceptional scientific credentials that exceed even those of Sean Hannity, Al Gore, or Rush Limbaugh. :-) Way back in the days of yore....there was one lonely voice crying out that the earth revolved around the sun. All the evidence available at that time and popularly accepted by the established religious and political powers seemed to indicate that the earth was the geographical "center" of the universe. That one lonely voice was right... One side or the other in the global warming debate is right. I don't know which it is, and you don't either. The three main questions a 1. Is the climate changing? Almost any reasonable person would have to answer yes because the climate has always been in a state of change for as far back as we can detect. 2. If the climate is changing, is it changing differently or more rapidly than it has in the past? 3. If the climate is changing differently or more rapidly than in the past, is there something man should do or should stop doing as a result? The tough aspect is that it's going to take 100 years to know who's right about climate change.....and in the meantime it's silly (IMO) to get all worked up on a personal basis or start characterizing people who disagree with your personal guess on the issue as a bunch of bad guys. Chuck, I cannot understand why the folks talking the most about mankind's contribution to global warming are the same ones fighting the use of nuclear energy. Ah yes, there is a waste problem. But, it is minimal, given the recycling technology, compared to the advantages of nuclear energy. Perhaps this is one of the reasons many folks think the liberals are 'crying wolf' more than actually trying to solve the problem. Of course, with folks like Al Gore, the whole issue is a money-making proposition.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - I don't believe "the liberals" or anybody else can solve the problem at this point. First we have to reach a broad agreement, based solely on scientific evidence and not talk show or political rhetoric, whether the problem exists and whether human activities contribute to it. If we decide that there is a dire problem and that human influence is making the situation much worse, then we should be prepared to take whatever steps are required. Right now we have group one: "There's no such thing as global warming. It's a liberal conspiracy to make George Bush look bad. And even if there is, my personal consumption of fossil fuels and other resources absolutely has nothing to do with it at all." And we're got group two: "The planet is heating up so quickly due to the production of excess greenhouse gas by industry and consumers that we're all doomed to a miserable fate. Life as we know it may end in the next couple of decades. We need to park our cars, unplug our lightbulbs and computers, turn off the heating and air conditioning, and return to living in caves." The earth doesn't give a darn about political or personal opinions, and if there is a problem we should be prepared to take realistic and practical steps in response. Extermism on either side of the issue, before conclusive evidence is at hand, serves nobody. Extremism will only forestall the implementation of corrective measures if it becomes evident that corrections are required. Boaters should be concerned about this debate more than many other groups. We are more dependent upon winds and weather, which can be altered significantly by a major climate change. We are also more at risk for having our recreational activities black-listed by folks seeking ways that *others* should sacrifice to promote a healthy environment. |
I'm loving this Global Warming...
On Mon, 25 Jun 2007 09:01:16 -0700, Chuck Gould
wrote: Chuck, I cannot understand why the folks talking the most about mankind's contribution to global warming are the same ones fighting the use of nuclear energy. Ah yes, there is a waste problem. But, it is minimal, given the recycling technology, compared to the advantages of nuclear energy. Perhaps this is one of the reasons many folks think the liberals are 'crying wolf' more than actually trying to solve the problem. Of course, with folks like Al Gore, the whole issue is a money-making proposition.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - I don't believe "the liberals" or anybody else can solve the problem at this point. First we have to reach a broad agreement, based solely on scientific evidence and not talk show or political rhetoric, whether the problem exists and whether human activities contribute to it. If we decide that there is a dire problem and that human influence is making the situation much worse, then we should be prepared to take whatever steps are required. Right now we have group one: "There's no such thing as global warming. It's a liberal conspiracy to make George Bush look bad. And even if there is, my personal consumption of fossil fuels and other resources absolutely has nothing to do with it at all." And we're got group two: "The planet is heating up so quickly due to the production of excess greenhouse gas by industry and consumers that we're all doomed to a miserable fate. Life as we know it may end in the next couple of decades. We need to park our cars, unplug our lightbulbs and computers, turn off the heating and air conditioning, and return to living in caves." The earth doesn't give a darn about political or personal opinions, and if there is a problem we should be prepared to take realistic and practical steps in response. Extermism on either side of the issue, before conclusive evidence is at hand, serves nobody. Extremism will only forestall the implementation of corrective measures if it becomes evident that corrections are required. Boaters should be concerned about this debate more than many other groups. We are more dependent upon winds and weather, which can be altered significantly by a major climate change. We are also more at risk for having our recreational activities black-listed by folks seeking ways that *others* should sacrifice to promote a healthy environment. I should have said, "Wy are the folks talking the most about mankind's contribution to global warming are the same ones fighting the use of nuclear energy?" |
I'm loving this Global Warming...
On Mon, 25 Jun 2007 09:43:47 -0500, John H. wrote:
Chuck, I cannot understand why the folks talking the most about mankind's contribution to global warming are the same ones fighting the use of nuclear energy. Ah yes, there is a waste problem. But, it is minimal, given the recycling technology, compared to the advantages of nuclear energy. Caltech physics professor David Goodstein has stated that “ ... you would have to build 10,000 of the largest power plants that are feasible by engineering standards in order to replace the 10 terawatts of fossil fuel we're burning today ... that's a staggering amount and if you did that, the known reserves of uranium would last for 10 to 20 years at that burn rate. So, it's at best a bridging technology ... You can use the rest of the uranium to breed plutonium 239 then we'd have at least 100 times as much fuel to use. But that means you're making plutonium, which is an extremely dangerous thing to do in the dangerous world that we live in. � From: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hubbert_peak_theory Perhaps this is one of the reasons many folks think the liberals are 'crying wolf' more than actually trying to solve the problem. Of course, with folks like Al Gore, the whole issue is a money-making proposition. I agree nuclear has to be part of the answer, but it is by no means *the* answer. I also do not seem to share the trust you have in this government. Living down wind of Three Mile Island, I clearly remember the assurances that the problem was under control, only to find out later that 1/2 the core had melted down. Oh, and if you think things have chanced, remember the assurances about the air quality at ground zero. |
I'm loving this Global Warming...
Tim wrote:
On Jun 25, 6:36 am, Short Wave Sportfishing wrote: On Mon, 25 Jun 2007 07:08:15 -0400, HK wrote: Short Wave Sportfishing wrote: On Sun, 24 Jun 2007 21:36:27 -0700, Chuck Gould wrote: Pointing out the 10-15% of scientists who disagree with the herd and pointing out instances when some scientist or another was wrong about previous climate predictions won't erase the very real possibility that there's a problem That's the point Chuck. While you may think it's 10-15% of scientists, and it's certainly presented that way, it's more like 50/60% of scientists disagree. There isn't any consensus even amoung those who even think that somehow greenhouse gases are causing global warming. The simple truth is this - you can either believe in Global Warming or not believe in Global Warming. You obviously believe in it despite evidence to the contrary. So does Gene. And I have no problem with that. However, every time I, or others, bring up evidence to the contrary, it's dismissed - politely and reasonably to be sure, but it's still dismissed under the quise that the evidence isn't in, but.... Just be honest - you believe in it, you think it's humanity's fault and go from there. I would also point out that in the history of science, the "deniers" of established wisdom are usually the ones that are eventually proven right. Think Galileo Galilei and go from there. In this case, you and the rest of the "deniers" are on the side opposite of Galileo. Not at all. The "Deniers" are Galileo railing against the Church of Global Warming, Pope Al Gore presiding. :) Answer me this Harry. How many times in Earth's history, based on archeological, paleontological and anthropological evidence, has the Earth warmed or cooled? Now take those same disciplines and apply them to the time that Homosapiens has been walking the planet - how many times? Take your time - I'll be back this evening. :)- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - Tom, you mean the sky ain't a-falling??? The sky is falling but, it will rise again just like it has for hundreds of thousands of years. The cycle is about 150,000 years with a the global temperature rising to a point that is about 6*F higher than now and then it makes a share drop of about 12*F. And the whole process starts again. Since we, human type peoples, were not burning coal or oil nor using aerosol sprays 150, 300 and 450 thousand years ago we can come to the conclusion that us human type peoples are not the cause of this cycle. |
I'm loving this Global Warming...
On Mon, 25 Jun 2007 18:11:14 -0000, thunder wrote:
On Mon, 25 Jun 2007 09:43:47 -0500, John H. wrote: Chuck, I cannot understand why the folks talking the most about mankind's contribution to global warming are the same ones fighting the use of nuclear energy. Ah yes, there is a waste problem. But, it is minimal, given the recycling technology, compared to the advantages of nuclear energy. Caltech physics professor David Goodstein has stated that “ ... you would have to build 10,000 of the largest power plants that are feasible by engineering standards in order to replace the 10 terawatts of fossil fuel we're burning today ... that's a staggering amount and if you did that, the known reserves of uranium would last for 10 to 20 years at that burn rate. So, it's at best a bridging technology ... You can use the rest of the uranium to breed plutonium 239 then we'd have at least 100 times as much fuel to use. But that means you're making plutonium, which is an extremely dangerous thing to do in the dangerous world that we live in. ” From: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hubbert_peak_theory Perhaps this is one of the reasons many folks think the liberals are 'crying wolf' more than actually trying to solve the problem. Of course, with folks like Al Gore, the whole issue is a money-making proposition. I agree nuclear has to be part of the answer, but it is by no means *the* answer. I also do not seem to share the trust you have in this government. Living down wind of Three Mile Island, I clearly remember the assurances that the problem was under control, only to find out later that 1/2 the core had melted down. Oh, and if you think things have chanced, remember the assurances about the air quality at ground zero. You missed the line preceding your quote, which came from the interview with Goodstein: "PROFESSOR DAVID GOODSTEIN: It depends on what kind of nuclear power you mean. If you mean the kind of conventional power that we use for power in the United States, burning uranium 235, which is a rare isotope of uranium, there are a couple of problems." The conventional power being used at that time did not use the recycling technology available today. Furthermore, I didn't suggest replacing *all* the fossil fuel power with nuclear, as posited in your reference. It may well be a while before we have nuclear powered aircraft. Three Mile Island is the typical liberal response. How long ago was that? How many folks were killed? Do you seriously believe the technology hasn't improved since then? |
I'm loving this Global Warming...
On Tue, 26 Jun 2007 07:08:42 -0500, John H. wrote:
Three Mile Island is the typical liberal response. How long ago was that? How many folks were killed? Do you seriously believe the technology hasn't improved since then? The technology has improved considerably, pebble bed reactors, for example, but the bureaucrats that make decisions haven't improved. The Three Mile Island event happened in 1979, around the same time that studies of Yucca Mountain were started. Yucca Mountain isn't expected to be in use until @ 2017, at a cost of somewhere between $50-100 billion. It's capacity is expected to be 70,000 metric tons of waste. We have already generated @ 60,000 metric tons of nuclear waste. So, basically, Yucca Mountain will be full before it ever becomes usable, but hey, let's all just jump on the nuclear bandwagon. Whine all you want about "typical liberal responses", but it was economics that kept nuclear reactors from being built, economics as in cheap and plentiful coal. Nuclear power is still expensive. |
I'm loving this Global Warming...
thunder wrote:
On Tue, 26 Jun 2007 07:08:42 -0500, John H. wrote: Three Mile Island is the typical liberal response. How long ago was that? How many folks were killed? Do you seriously believe the technology hasn't improved since then? The technology has improved considerably, pebble bed reactors, for example, but the bureaucrats that make decisions haven't improved. The Three Mile Island event happened in 1979, around the same time that studies of Yucca Mountain were started. Yucca Mountain isn't expected to be in use until @ 2017, at a cost of somewhere between $50-100 billion. It's capacity is expected to be 70,000 metric tons of waste. We have already generated @ 60,000 metric tons of nuclear waste. So, basically, Yucca Mountain will be full before it ever becomes usable, but hey, let's all just jump on the nuclear bandwagon. Whine all you want about "typical liberal responses", but it was economics that kept nuclear reactors from being built, economics as in cheap and plentiful coal. Nuclear power is still expensive. I'm ok with nuclear power plants if there is trustworthy civilian oversight of the construction and operation, and if the nuclear waste will be stored only in red states such as Texas, Alabama, and Mississippi, the places I never willingly visit. We don't live that far from a nuke plant. I figure when it goes up, I'll be an even more glowing personality. |
I'm loving this Global Warming...
On Jun 25, 4:19 am, "Reginald P. Smithers III"
wrote: Chuck Gould wrote: On Jun 24, 11:22?am, "Calif Bill" wrote: "Chuck Gould" wrote in message roups.com... On Jun 22, 2:31?pm, Short Wave Sportfishing wrote: Temps in the low '60s, reasonable humidity, winds NNW at 10, occasional rain showers... Man, this Global Warming is wonderful! Heh, heh, heh... Just got back from Alaska. On one leg of our cruise ship vacation we motored up Endicott Arm, (east of Juneau) and got up fairly close to the Daws glacier. (Got to hand it to the Captain, I would never have thought anybody would attempt to run a vessel of that size up through a snakey fjord filled with ice bergs, but he did). A lot of the passengers on this cruise seemed to hail from the south and the midwest. Every time a whale would spout or somebody would spot an eagle, a dolphin, etc there would be a chorus of oohs and aahs and cameras would be snapping madly. (The scenery was a lot like Puget Sound or SW BC, only a lot less populated, so it wasn't quite as stunning or surprising for residents of the Pacific NW). While stopped in sight of the glacier, one of the ship's Norwegian officers gave a lecture over the PA system about glaciers. How they form, why they're blue at the bottom, how many there are, etc. Everybody listened with at least moderate interest until the officer began mentioning the number of glaciers that have retreated substantially or disappeared in Glacier National Park during the last several years. You would have thought he had announced, "We support Hillary for president." The crowd got pretty lippy. Comments like "Who the hell is up on the bridge, Al Gore?" (and some worse) were frequently heard. It was pretty obvious that the negative reaction was *political*, not scientific. The telling moment, for me, occured when the officer mentioned that "as recently as 10,000 years ago much of the earth was covered by a sheet of ice." Once person standing immediately behind me grumbled "Not according to the Bible!", and another bystander confirmed that sentiment by stating, "I guess it all depends on what you believe." Indeed. As always, a solid belief or disbelief is unlikely to be swayed by anything as trivial as actual evidence- on either side of the question. What was interesting was the Eagle Glacier outside Seward, AK. There are markers as you hike the trail to the glacier of where the face was over the years. From 1917-1926 was the major retreat. Maybe 300 yards. Tells me it is not all mankinds fault.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - It's normal for individual glaciers to advance and retreat. Always has been, for millions of years. What is so unusual about current global climate conditions is that nearly all glaciers are receding at once. Many are disappearing entirely, and no new glaciers are appearing to take their place Yes, there *are* exceptions to the prevailing conditions of glacial retreat, just enough to prove the rule. I don't know how much of it, if any, is mankind's fault--- but the results will definitely be mankind's problem. Nobody is well served by side-tracking this scientific concern into an "us vs. them" political snot fight. If things come down as they well might, nobody is going to be spared the consequences simply because he or she voted for the prevailing candidate in the most recent election. Chuck, I was following up on SWF's statement that 50% of scientist did not believe that there was Global Warming. I thought it was the opinion of the vast majority of climatologist that global warming was a fact, and the only controversy was the cause of global warming. I found this interesting article on the "Global Warming Controversy". It seemed to be a fairly unbiased review of the differences of opinion. There seems to be more scientist than i realized who question the accuracy of the statistics concerning global warming in relationship to historical data. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_...g_controversy- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - We can't possibly be reading the same article. Lead statement in the item you linked: "The existence of a rise in average temperatures since the mid-19th century is not disputed. The controversy focuses on the specific causes of the recent warming, and concentrates on the warming after World War II; the likelihood and magnitude of future warming; and whether additional warming would be harmful or beneficial." **** Another statement in the item you linked (under Scientific Concensus) "The American Association of Petroleum Geologists is the only scientific society that rejects the predominant opinion.[19][20]" ************************* And then there's this account of a person who reviewed 928 scientific opinions on the subject, was initially rebuked by another reviewer, and how the rebuking reviewer has apparently backed off once the desired publicity and talking points were generated: (The supposed de-bunker retreated to a position stating, "Yes there is a overwhelming majority of scientists in agreement on globl warming issues, but it is far from unanimous".... When was the last time, except in a murder trial, that *everybody* had to agree before the position of the majority could be found credible?) From your site: "A 2004 essay by Naomi Oreskes in the journal Science reported a survey of abstracts of peer-reviewed papers related to global climate change in the ISI database.[21]. Oreskes said: Some corporations whose revenues might be adversely affected by controls on carbon dioxide emissions have also alleged major uncertainties in the science. Such statements suggest that there might be substantive disagreement in the scientific community about the reality of anthropogenic climate change. This is not the case. The scientific consensus is clearly expressed in the reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Oreskes stated that of the 928 abstracts analyzed, "Remarkably, none of the papers disagreed with the consensus position". Benny Peiser claimed to have found flaws in her work, writing " Oreskes, a professor of history, claims to have analyzed 928 abstracts on global climate change, of which 75% either explicitly or implicitly accept the view that most of the recent warming trend is man-made. When I checked the same set of abstracts [plus an additional two hundred found in the same ISI data bank], I discovered that just over a dozen explicitly endorse the "consensus," while the vast majority of abstracts does not mention anthropogenic global warming. [22] " In order to include only "hard science" papers rather than opinion pieces or editorials, Oreskes excluded the Social Sciences Citation Index and the Arts & Humanities Citation Index and set the search to include only Articles, while Peiser searched for all document types in all indices,[23][24] and the interpretation of the remaining parts of his attempted refutation is further disputed.[25] In a later op-ed piece in Canada's National Post, Peiser makes no further reference to his review [26]. Peiser also stated: " ...the overwhelming majority of climatologists is agreed that the current warming period is mostly due to human impact. However, this majority consensus is far from unanimous.[24]" ************************************************** ************************* According to the site you linked, your initial impression that most scientists are in general agreement about global warming is probably more accurate than a revised impression that the scientific ranks are split 50-50 or so on this issue. Unless, of course, 50% of the scientists belong to the American Association of Petroleum Geologists. :-) |
I'm loving this Global Warming...
Chuck Gould wrote:
On Jun 25, 4:19 am, "Reginald P. Smithers III" wrote: Chuck Gould wrote: On Jun 24, 11:22?am, "Calif Bill" wrote: "Chuck Gould" wrote in message ups.com... On Jun 22, 2:31?pm, Short Wave Sportfishing wrote: Temps in the low '60s, reasonable humidity, winds NNW at 10, occasional rain showers... Man, this Global Warming is wonderful! Heh, heh, heh... Just got back from Alaska. On one leg of our cruise ship vacation we motored up Endicott Arm, (east of Juneau) and got up fairly close to the Daws glacier. (Got to hand it to the Captain, I would never have thought anybody would attempt to run a vessel of that size up through a snakey fjord filled with ice bergs, but he did). A lot of the passengers on this cruise seemed to hail from the south and the midwest. Every time a whale would spout or somebody would spot an eagle, a dolphin, etc there would be a chorus of oohs and aahs and cameras would be snapping madly. (The scenery was a lot like Puget Sound or SW BC, only a lot less populated, so it wasn't quite as stunning or surprising for residents of the Pacific NW). While stopped in sight of the glacier, one of the ship's Norwegian officers gave a lecture over the PA system about glaciers. How they form, why they're blue at the bottom, how many there are, etc. Everybody listened with at least moderate interest until the officer began mentioning the number of glaciers that have retreated substantially or disappeared in Glacier National Park during the last several years. You would have thought he had announced, "We support Hillary for president." The crowd got pretty lippy. Comments like "Who the hell is up on the bridge, Al Gore?" (and some worse) were frequently heard. It was pretty obvious that the negative reaction was *political*, not scientific. The telling moment, for me, occured when the officer mentioned that "as recently as 10,000 years ago much of the earth was covered by a sheet of ice." Once person standing immediately behind me grumbled "Not according to the Bible!", and another bystander confirmed that sentiment by stating, "I guess it all depends on what you believe." Indeed. As always, a solid belief or disbelief is unlikely to be swayed by anything as trivial as actual evidence- on either side of the question. What was interesting was the Eagle Glacier outside Seward, AK. There are markers as you hike the trail to the glacier of where the face was over the years. From 1917-1926 was the major retreat. Maybe 300 yards. Tells me it is not all mankinds fault.- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - It's normal for individual glaciers to advance and retreat. Always has been, for millions of years. What is so unusual about current global climate conditions is that nearly all glaciers are receding at once. Many are disappearing entirely, and no new glaciers are appearing to take their place Yes, there *are* exceptions to the prevailing conditions of glacial retreat, just enough to prove the rule. I don't know how much of it, if any, is mankind's fault--- but the results will definitely be mankind's problem. Nobody is well served by side-tracking this scientific concern into an "us vs. them" political snot fight. If things come down as they well might, nobody is going to be spared the consequences simply because he or she voted for the prevailing candidate in the most recent election. Chuck, I was following up on SWF's statement that 50% of scientist did not believe that there was Global Warming. I thought it was the opinion of the vast majority of climatologist that global warming was a fact, and the only controversy was the cause of global warming. I found this interesting article on the "Global Warming Controversy". It seemed to be a fairly unbiased review of the differences of opinion. There seems to be more scientist than i realized who question the accuracy of the statistics concerning global warming in relationship to historical data. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_...g_controversy- Hide quoted text - - Show quoted text - We can't possibly be reading the same article. Please. You're playing with right-wing Reggie. |
I'm loving this Global Warming...
On Tue, 26 Jun 2007 08:47:50 -0400, HK wrote:
I'm ok with nuclear power plants if there is trustworthy civilian oversight of the construction and operation, and if the nuclear waste will be stored only in red states such as Texas, Alabama, and Mississippi, the places I never willingly visit. Hey, I agree. I think nuclear has to play a part in our energy future. I just don't think it is the magical solution. We are going to spend $50-100 billion to store nuclear waste. Personally, I wonder what the future would look like if we spent that kind of money on sustainable energy development. |
I'm loving this Global Warming...
On Tue, 26 Jun 2007 12:42:37 -0000, thunder wrote:
On Tue, 26 Jun 2007 07:08:42 -0500, John H. wrote: Three Mile Island is the typical liberal response. How long ago was that? How many folks were killed? Do you seriously believe the technology hasn't improved since then? The technology has improved considerably, pebble bed reactors, for example, but the bureaucrats that make decisions haven't improved. The Three Mile Island event happened in 1979, around the same time that studies of Yucca Mountain were started. Yucca Mountain isn't expected to be in use until @ 2017, at a cost of somewhere between $50-100 billion. It's capacity is expected to be 70,000 metric tons of waste. We have already generated @ 60,000 metric tons of nuclear waste. So, basically, Yucca Mountain will be full before it ever becomes usable, but hey, let's all just jump on the nuclear bandwagon. Whine all you want about "typical liberal responses", but it was economics that kept nuclear reactors from being built, economics as in cheap and plentiful coal. Nuclear power is still expensive. Do some reading about the recycling technology available today. |
I'm loving this Global Warming...
Chuck Gould wrote:
According to the site you linked, your initial impression that most scientists are in general agreement about global warming is probably more accurate than a revised impression that the scientific ranks are split 50-50 or so on this issue. Unless, of course, 50% of the scientists belong to the American Association of Petroleum Geologists. :-) Chuck, In my mind the most important quote was: Peiser also stated: " ...the overwhelming majority of climatologists is agreed that the current warming period is mostly due to human impact. However, this majority consensus is far from unanimous.[24]" I DO believe their is global warming, and agree with the large percent of the scientist who believe man has a impact on the global warming, but I did find it interesting how there will always believe enough reputable scientist to provide those who disagree all the "experts" they need. this should never be a political debate, but it will be for a long time. |
I'm loving this Global Warming...
Reginald P. Smithers III wrote:
Chuck Gould wrote: According to the site you linked, your initial impression that most scientists are in general agreement about global warming is probably more accurate than a revised impression that the scientific ranks are split 50-50 or so on this issue. Unless, of course, 50% of the scientists belong to the American Association of Petroleum Geologists. :-) Chuck, In my mind the most important quote was: Peiser also stated: " ...the overwhelming majority of climatologists is agreed that the current warming period is mostly due to human impact. However, this majority consensus is far from unanimous.[24]" I DO believe there is global warming, and agree with the large percent of the scientist who believe man has a impact on the global warming, but I did find it interesting how there will always believe enough reputable scientist to provide those who disagree all the "experts" they need. this should never be a political debate, but it will be for a long time. |
I'm loving this Global Warming...
On Jun 26, 9:21?am, "Reginald P. Smithers III"
wrote: Chuck Gould wrote: According to the site you linked, your initial impression that most scientists are in general agreement about global warming is probably more accurate than a revised impression that the scientific ranks are split 50-50 or so on this issue. Unless, of course, 50% of the scientists belong to the American Association of Petroleum Geologists. :-) Chuck, In my mind the most important quote was: Peiser also stated: " ...the overwhelming majority of climatologists is agreed that the current warming period is mostly due to human impact. However, this majority consensus is far from unanimous.[24]" I DO believe their is global warming, and agree with the large percent of the scientist who believe man has a impact on the global warming, but I did find it interesting how there will always believe enough reputable scientist to provide those who disagree all the "experts" they need. this should never be a political debate, but it will be for a long time. It's all semantics. An overwhelming majority of scientists in agreement (a fact grudgingly admitted by a party who initially attempted to de- bunk statements that scientists were in agreement on this issue) can be extremely significant even *if* the agreement is not unanimous. Heck, I'm pretty sure that there isn't "unanimous" agreement among medical practitioners that there's any direct link between smoking tobacco and heart disease or lung cancer. That wouldn't make the other 90-some percent of health professionals automatically wrong simply because a few crackpots are still being paid off by RJ Reynolds. My own doctor, who is somewhat overweight and a smoker, actually told me that he believes it's the cigarette paper that's primarily to blame for the health risks associated with smoking, not the tobacco itself....(whatever).....otherwise I think he's a pretty good doctor. :-) |
I'm loving this Global Warming...
thunder wrote:
Whine all you want about "typical liberal responses", but it was economics that kept nuclear reactors from being built, economics as in cheap and plentiful coal. Nuclear power is still expensive. Economics and poor management is what killed the WPPSS projects and economics is why the Trojan plant (Oregon's only nuke plant)was shut down early. |
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