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![]() Wayne. B wrote: http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...HsE&refer=home One of the most crucial comments in the entire piece could have been an easily overlooked paragraph in the middle: ...... ``The boating industry is not bringing in new customers,'' said Jonathan Cramer, an analyst at Cowen & Co. in New York. He has a ``neutral'' rating on MarineMax and doesn't own the stock." ..... Of course new people *are* taking up the pastime, but only at about the same rate that old farts are giving it up. New boats are built to replace old junkers that are scrapped, and as the baby boomers are in their peak spending years there is unprecedented demand for bigger boats than ever before. A fairly static number of customers wants to buy fewer but bigger boats, and young people are generally a lot less interested in boating than their parents or grandparents were. Not healthy signs. And it's the industry's collective fault. Right now there are more 70-foot plus boats for sale in Seattle alone than sold in the entire state of Washington in the last 18 months. Some of these sellers will be left holding multi-million dollar bags. Ouch. Go to a boat show and try to find an attractive, versatile, family cruising boat ("sleeps 4") for under six figures- almost impossible. When the industry posits each vessel as something that will convey the aura of being among the privileged elite, it's no wonder that pretty soon people are unwilling to consider boating as a family pastime because it appears to be far too expensive. If the industry got back to the message that simply being out on the water was the important thing and offered some boats that weren't simply strategically designed to be missing some important feature and thereby motivate trade-ups, it would eventually create an expanding market. A percentage of that expansion would ultimately become prospects for those 60-foot and larger "home runs" that the builders all love to sell. |
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