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Default Newsweek Poll makes a sunny Sunday sunnier (OT)


"NOYB" wrote ...

" Half the respondents were asked party identification in this location, the
other half were asked at the end of the survey with the

other demographic questions. Results for the respondents who were asked the
question early were 40% Republican, 50%

Democrat. For the respondents asked later in the survey, the results were 39%
Republican, 52% Democrat."

(In your opinion, party identification doesn't mean the same thing as party
affiliation? )


Not exactly. Expectations and performance vary over time. "Do your beliefs
tend to lean more toward the Democrats or the Republicans?" is not equivalent to
"what is your party affiliation" or "are you a registered republican or
democrat?" as you seem to imply. That was my point.

I don't mean to unreasonably split hairs but your premise that this response
invalidates the poll isn't obvious to me. If a statistically significant random
sample yields that result why is it not valid within the probabilities of it's
margin of error? Do you have evidence of non-random sampling?

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