"NOYB" wrote in message
nk.net...
Nearly 18% of Chinese exports go to the US. Since we're discussing the
effect that Chinese aggression against Taiwan would have, then it's safe
to
say that China would lose the following trade partners in the event of a
war
with Taiwan: US, Japan, and Taiwan. Together, those three countries make
up 3 of China's top 5 trade partners...and almost 44% of China's total
exports. It's also likely that China would lose the following as trade
partners: Hong Kong, S. Korea, and Germany. That'd account for 70% of
China's trade.
Keep in mind, that this says nothing about the effect that our
corporations
would have in pulling their factories out China.

I do think your calculations are very incorrect.

If the PRC would be taking Taiwan back into the fold, they don't lose Taiwan
as a trading partner, then gain it. Japan would not be lost as a trading
partner for China as Japan has too much to lose with their trade with China
to worry about the little bit with Taiwan. Also, the Japanese people are
opposed to any war and their government would topple if there was any hint
of an impending war. The exact same can be said of Germany as well as the
rest of the European Economic Community.

Where have you been when you are mentioning Hong Kong in your calculations?
Hong Kong "is" a part of the PRC and has been since July 1, 1997.

The American corporations pulling out of China would have almost no effect
as they would be immediately replaced by corporations from The European
Economic Community, Brazil and from Japan.

As I said before. Your opinions are too narrow minded and your grasp of
Global Politics is lacking.

Jim Carter