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F330 GT November 2nd 04 09:41 PM

Bush is toast
 
Tradesports Interactive now shows Bush pres @ 38, Kerry pres @ 62.4 a change of
15 points in the last few hours.

Bush winning popular vote @ 25.1. Kerry wins popular vote @ 54.6.

Follow the money.... The bettors know.


Barry

JimH November 2nd 04 10:16 PM

Funny.


"F330 GT" wrote in message
...
Tradesports Interactive now shows Bush pres @ 38, Kerry pres @ 62.4 a
change of
15 points in the last few hours.

Bush winning popular vote @ 25.1. Kerry wins popular vote @ 54.6.

Follow the money.... The bettors know.


Barry




F330 GT November 2nd 04 11:12 PM

F330 GT wrote:
Tradesports Interactive now shows Bush pres @ 38, Kerry pres @ 62.4 a

change of
15 points in the last few hours.

Bush winning popular vote @ 25.1. Kerry wins popular vote @ 54.6.

Follow the money.... The bettors know.


Barry


Oh, come on...I didn't get to vote that many times.

Seriously, even the exit polling data spilling about is too preliminary
for anyone to determine anything.


--

You're probably right but the signs are looking real good. This site is a real
time market for trading and as such is as close to a real time poll as you can
get.

Bush is dropping like a rock. He's now as 28 with Kerry at 71 to win. He's also
falling fast in the Florida race, the Ohio race and the popular vote. It's not
going to be as close as a lot of people think, if this proves true. Which, I
hope it is.

Check out: www.tradesports.com

Barry

Gould 0738 November 2nd 04 11:39 PM

Bush is dropping like a rock. He's now as 28 with Kerry at 71 to win. He's
also
falling fast in the Florida race, the Ohio race and the popular vote. It's
not
going to be as close as a lot of people think, if this proves true. Which, I
hope it is.


I hope the election isn't a "squeaker."
I believe Kerry could show stronger than the pre-election polls due to the
"cell phone factor", (a high percentage of people under about 30 have no land
lines, and therefore do not get polled), record voter turnout, (lots of new
young voters who haven't yet grown cynical- as well as greater emphasis on the
registered, vs "likely" voter categories when a higher percentage of the
electorate turns out), and his strong end of race momentum.

The nation needs a clear winner this time around. A win so decisive that we
won't spend the next four years arguing about who really won the race. It would
be better if that winner is Kerry, but if Bush slides in
"safe" at second let's hope the margin is
obvious. If there was any question about his initial election, it would be
better if there were no question about the legitimacy of his (wash my mouth
out) possible reelection.



Short Wave Sportfishing November 2nd 04 11:51 PM

On 02 Nov 2004 23:39:08 GMT, (Gould 0738) wrote:

Bush is dropping like a rock. He's now as 28 with Kerry at 71 to win. He's
also
falling fast in the Florida race, the Ohio race and the popular vote. It's
not
going to be as close as a lot of people think, if this proves true. Which, I
hope it is.


I hope the election isn't a "squeaker."
I believe Kerry could show stronger than the pre-election polls due to the
"cell phone factor", (a high percentage of people under about 30 have no land
lines, and therefore do not get polled), record voter turnout, (lots of new
young voters who haven't yet grown cynical- as well as greater emphasis on the
registered, vs "likely" voter categories when a higher percentage of the
electorate turns out), and his strong end of race momentum.


Two comments:

1 - I was talking to a state DNC member about a month or so back and
she was telling me that the pollsters had missed one huge block of
potential voters - the 18-25 block and that's why she was pushing hard
for contact polling data. The reason? Cell phones - they aren't
polled as it's illegal. She had a pretty good logic going for her
too.

2 - My wife and I just returned from Town Hall and the Town Clerk was
telling me that this is the first time she's ever seen voter volume
like this - and we're only 6,500 people strong.

I agree with you on the clear election results.

For the record, I didn't vote for President as it's a foregone
conclusion here in CT for one and I just couldn't bring myself to vote
for either of the two goons running. Voted for all the other offices
though.

All the best,

Tom
--------------

"What the hell's the deal with this newsgroup...
is there a computer terminal in the day room of
some looney bin somewhere?"

Bilgeman - circa 2004

Eisboch November 3rd 04 01:28 AM

Don White wrote:
"Short Wave Sportfishing" wrote in message
snip

For the record, I didn't vote for President as it's a foregone
conclusion here in CT for one and I just couldn't bring myself to vote
for either of the two goons running. Voted for all the other offices
though.

All the best,

Tom
--------------


Why didn't you support Ralph. After all, he warned us about the Corvair.



I thought Corvairs were pretty cool, particularly the '64 Spyder.


Eisboch

Don White November 3rd 04 01:36 AM


"Short Wave Sportfishing" wrote in message
snip
For the record, I didn't vote for President as it's a foregone
conclusion here in CT for one and I just couldn't bring myself to vote
for either of the two goons running. Voted for all the other offices
though.

All the best,

Tom
--------------

Why didn't you support Ralph. After all, he warned us about the Corvair.



JimH November 3rd 04 01:50 AM


"Don White" wrote in message
...

"Short Wave Sportfishing" wrote in
message
snip
For the record, I didn't vote for President as it's a foregone
conclusion here in CT for one and I just couldn't bring myself to vote
for either of the two goons running. Voted for all the other offices
though.

All the best,

Tom
--------------

Why didn't you support Ralph. After all, he warned us about the Corvair.



And that qualifies him as being a capable candidate for POTUS to you?




Karl Denninger November 3rd 04 01:52 AM


In article ,
Gould 0738 wrote:


Bush is dropping like a rock. He's now as 28 with Kerry at 71 to win. He's
also
falling fast in the Florida race, the Ohio race and the popular vote. It's
not
going to be as close as a lot of people think, if this proves true. Which, I
hope it is.


I hope the election isn't a "squeaker."
I believe Kerry could show stronger than the pre-election polls due to the
"cell phone factor", (a high percentage of people under about 30 have no land
lines, and therefore do not get polled), record voter turnout, (lots of new
young voters who haven't yet grown cynical- as well as greater emphasis on the
registered, vs "likely" voter categories when a higher percentage of the
electorate turns out), and his strong end of race momentum.

The nation needs a clear winner this time around. A win so decisive that we
won't spend the next four years arguing about who really won the race. It would
be better if that winner is Kerry, but if Bush slides in
"safe" at second let's hope the margin is
obvious. If there was any question about his initial election, it would be
better if there were no question about the legitimacy of his (wash my mouth
out) possible reelection.


I think you're nuts.

Note that all of the reported counties thus far are in the peninsula.

The Panhandle traditionally votes about 70% Bush - and did in 2000.

Yet Bush is ahead in Florida....

I wouldn't take a bet on Kerry winning Florida - nor Ohio from what I see
at this point.

Note that some of the calls made had the exit polls pointing the other way
- particularly Virginia.

The exit polls had one major problem this time - they were overweighted
female, which is not a good thing for accuracy.

--
--
Karl Denninger ) Internet Consultant & Kids Rights Activist
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Gould 0738 November 3rd 04 01:59 AM

I think you're nuts.

Thanks karl.

Which statement did you think was the nuttier?

My hope that the election would be decided by an obvious margin, one way or the
other- or my observation that a clearly legitimate win will be important for
either candidate?

bb November 3rd 04 02:11 AM

On Wed, 03 Nov 2004 01:52:03 GMT, (Karl
Denninger) wrote:


The exit polls had one major problem this time


The biggest problem with exit polls currently is they can't take into
account electronic fraud.

bb

Karl Denninger November 3rd 04 02:36 AM


In article ,
Gould 0738 wrote:


I think you're nuts.


Thanks karl.

Which statement did you think was the nuttier?

My hope that the election would be decided by an obvious margin, one way or the
other- or my observation that a clearly legitimate win will be important for
either candidate?


I agree with both of those sentiments Chuck. It appeared you were
basically calling the election for Kerry based on the exit polls.

However, I do not believe that Kerry's odds are looking good right
now. The exit polls were clearly wrong in at least a couple of cases
so far, and the reason (improper split of gender among those polled)
appears to have been identified. The misrepresentation of the sample
is large enough (close to 10%) that the swing would easily be 3-4% in
the results .vs. actual returns. This has been confirmed in Virginia -
if it holds elsewhere, Kerry is toast and it indeed will not be close.

Since women tend to vote Democrat, this skews the results - with all these
states being within a couple of points, the error is much larger than the
margin.

I'm looking at Florida's returns right now on a county-by-county basis, and
were I Kerry I wouldn't like what I was seeing. With the exception of
Miami-Dade the counties that should have broken for Kerry big haven't -
and the counties that break heavily for Bush aren't yet in - yet Bush is
comfortably ahead among those counties that HAVE been counted.

The truly ugly part of it for Kerry is that some of the I-4 corridor
counties ARE in, the turnout was huge, and while these counties went for
Gore in 2000, they've gone for Bush in a big way this time around - showing
that the turnout "projections" (e.g. big turnout helps 'crats) probably
isn't going to hold up this time.

If Florida and Ohio both go for Bush then there is basically no way for
Kerry to pull it off.

--
--
Karl Denninger ) Internet Consultant & Kids Rights Activist
http://www.denninger.net My home on the net - links to everything I do!
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Karl Denninger November 3rd 04 02:37 AM


In article ,
bb wrote:


On Wed, 03 Nov 2004 01:52:03 GMT, (Karl
Denninger) wrote:


The exit polls had one major problem this time


The biggest problem with exit polls currently is they can't take into
account electronic fraud.

bb


The exit polls were overrepresenting women by nearly 10%.

That will result in a swing of 3-4% in the results towards Democrats.

If you take the exit polls and move them 3-4% towards Bush, he wins
Florida, Ohio, Virginia and a whole host of other states that looked like
Kerry wins this afternoon.

Virginia has already confirmed this shift, and it looks from a county-level
view in Florida like it may be confirmed here as well.

--
--
Karl Denninger ) Internet Consultant & Kids Rights Activist
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Don White November 3rd 04 02:53 AM


"JimH" wrote in message
...


And that qualifies him as being a capable candidate for POTUS to you?


You're probably right...better to vote for a boozing slacker.



Karl Denninger November 3rd 04 03:02 AM


In article ,
Harry Krause wrote:


Karl Denninger wrote:com,

The exit polls were overrepresenting women by nearly 10%.

That will result in a swing of 3-4% in the results towards Democrats.

If you take the exit polls and move them 3-4% towards Bush, he wins
Florida, Ohio, Virginia and a whole host of other states that looked like
Kerry wins this afternoon.


There are approximately 250,000 absentee ballots in Florida that have
not yet been added to the totals you are seeing. Florida apparently is
as much a mess this time as last time.


Incorrect; the county-by-county breakdown tells all (they specifically
tabulate if the absentee vote is included, and don't consider the count in
a given county "complete" until it is...)

--
--
Karl Denninger ) Internet Consultant & Kids Rights Activist
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Karl Denninger November 3rd 04 03:28 AM


In article ,
Gould 0738 wrote:


I agree with both of those sentiments Chuck. It appeared you were
basically calling the election for Kerry based on the exit polls.


You mixed my comments up with another post to which I was responding.

It ain't over yet. May not be over for days, but lets hope the will of the 50
states (the people don't count in this race) is clear by later toninght.


I think it will be over later this evening - Florida is now roughly 75% in,
including the "big" democrat counties.

Ohio is tougher for me, because I don't have nearly as good a "feel" for
the county breakdown there.

As things sit right now Bush is ahead by close to 200,000 votes - to make
up that differential Kerry has a hell of an uphill climb, given that his
stronghold counties are either largely or entirely in at this point.

The exit polls were pretty clearly wrong.

--
--
Karl Denninger ) Internet Consultant & Kids Rights Activist
http://www.denninger.net My home on the net - links to everything I do!
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Karl Denninger November 3rd 04 03:44 AM


In article ,
Harry Krause wrote:


Karl Denninger wrote:
In article ,
Gould 0738 wrote:


I agree with both of those sentiments Chuck. It appeared you were
basically calling the election for Kerry based on the exit polls.

You mixed my comments up with another post to which I was responding.

It ain't over yet. May not be over for days, but lets hope the will of the 50
states (the people don't count in this race) is clear by later toninght.


I think it will be over later this evening - Florida is now roughly 75% in,
including the "big" democrat counties.

Ohio is tougher for me, because I don't have nearly as good a "feel" for
the county breakdown there.

As things sit right now Bush is ahead by close to 200,000 votes - to make
up that differential Kerry has a hell of an uphill climb, given that his
stronghold counties are either largely or entirely in at this point.

The exit polls were pretty clearly wrong.

--



Probably not. My guess is that "adjustments" were made on the
receipt-less electronic voting machines in Florida and Ohio. Of course,
with no paper trail, how would one prove this? How convenient.


Right out of the Democrat Party playbook.

"Even if you can't find evidence of fraud or intimidation, accuse people of
it anyway."

Never mind that the counties which went heavily Kerry are all run by
Democrats. Up here in the Panhandle we use mark-sense paper ballots,
which are easily recounted (either by machine or hand)

Thus, you want to now accuse a Democrat Party machine, which ran the
election in those counties, of committing fraud for the REPUBLICAN
candidate?

That stretches credibility just a TINY bit, don't 'ya think?

--
--
Karl Denninger ) Internet Consultant & Kids Rights Activist
http://www.denninger.net My home on the net - links to everything I do!
http://scubaforum.org Your UNCENSORED place to talk about DIVING!
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Dr. Dr. Smithers November 3rd 04 04:08 AM


"Harry Krause" wrote in message
...

I've posited more than once that federal elections ought to be run by
federal officials,


Harry,
You posting your preference in rec.boats will not have any impact on making
any changes.
Why don't you do something about it.




Dr. Dr. Smithers November 3rd 04 04:13 AM

I owned a '64 Corvair Spyder with the four separate carbs, scattered in 4
different areas of the engine. Crazy set up, but it would peel a wheel in
4th gear.


"Eisboch" wrote in message
...
Don White wrote:
"Short Wave Sportfishing" wrote in
message
snip

For the record, I didn't vote for President as it's a foregone
conclusion here in CT for one and I just couldn't bring myself to vote
for either of the two goons running. Voted for all the other offices
though.

All the best,

Tom
--------------


Why didn't you support Ralph. After all, he warned us about the Corvair.



I thought Corvairs were pretty cool, particularly the '64 Spyder.


Eisboch




Karl Denninger November 3rd 04 04:19 AM


In article ,
Harry Krause wrote:

Karl Denninger wrote:
Right out of the Democrat Party playbook.

"Even if you can't find evidence of fraud or intimidation, accuse people of
it anyway."

Never mind that the counties which went heavily Kerry are all run by
Democrats. Up here in the Panhandle we use mark-sense paper ballots,
which are easily recounted (either by machine or hand)

Thus, you want to now accuse a Democrat Party machine, which ran the
election in those counties, of committing fraud for the REPUBLICAN
candidate?

That stretches credibility just a TINY bit, don't 'ya think?

--


Try to think this through, Karl. There's more to Florida than Miami-Dade
and Evangelistia, where you live, eh? Anywhere there are receipt-less
electronic voting machines in Florida, there are opportunities for
fraud. And when the GOP runs the entire state, but for a few counties,
the opportunities are substantial.

I've posited more than once that federal elections ought to be run by
federal officials, on equipment that meets standards and provides both
the voter and the counters with hard receipts. Receipt-less electronic
voting machines are so much trash. There are electronic machines that
generate receipts.


You're correct.

Now explain why Theresa LaPore, who's a Democrat in a heavily-democratic
county, decided to buy and install in her county the machines that do not
generate receipts - in the very county where the chad fun was present.

PS: The majority of the heavily republican counties in Florida use and have
used mark-sense cards with a reader at the point of ballot deposit that
will not accept an overvoted ballot.

Indeed, its simply amazing - the Democrat counties are the ones who adopted
these electronic machines, in the main. Do 'ya think they thought perhaps
they could pull some funny bizness - like in Pennsylvania where there were
machines in heavily-Democrat counties that STARTED with votes on the
tabulators - but it just didn't work out for them?

Might be....

Florida is now 88% in, with Bush having a margin of about 250,000 votes.

Florida looks pretty safe in Bush's column Harry... the remaining votes
would have to break roughly 75% for Kerry for him to win here.

Ain't gonna happen.

--
--
Karl Denninger ) Internet Consultant & Kids Rights Activist
http://www.denninger.net My home on the net - links to everything I do!
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Clams Canino November 3rd 04 06:03 AM


"Harry Krause" wrote in message

Looks like the dumfoch got himself a four-year term to further destroy
what was once a great country.


The upside is that '08 will have a clear slate from both parties who can
BOTH field better candidates. I'd kinda rather see a clear slate in '08 than
EIGHT years of Kerry who seems too "political" to be "real".

I'd welcome a clear and fair debate in '08...... as oppesed to another 10
years of "he said - she said"

-W



Karl Denninger November 3rd 04 06:07 AM


In article ,
Harry Krause wrote:

Looks like the dumfoch got himself a four-year term to further destroy
what was once a great country.


Won fair and square Harry.... despite stuffing the tabulators in Ohio,
it wasn't enough - and Florida was won DECISIVELY.

Looks like Ohio will be as well, with no chance of a recount (you have to
be within 1/4 of 1% to get one in Ohio.)

NM is nearly certain to go Bush shortly. Nevada may as well; too early to
know at this point, but it doesn't matter....

--
--
Karl Denninger ) Internet Consultant & Kids Rights Activist
http://www.denninger.net My home on the net - links to everything I do!
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http://genesis3.blogspot.com Musings Of A Sentient Mind

Karl Denninger November 3rd 04 06:08 AM


In article ,
Clams Canino wrote:



"Harry Krause" wrote in message

Looks like the dumfoch got himself a four-year term to further destroy
what was once a great country.


The upside is that '08 will have a clear slate from both parties who can
BOTH field better candidates. I'd kinda rather see a clear slate in '08 than
EIGHT years of Kerry who seems too "political" to be "real".

I'd welcome a clear and fair debate in '08...... as oppesed to another 10
years of "he said - she said"

-W


Agreed.

Hopefully we'll get good candidates next time around, starting with no
incumbency. Cheney has already said he won't run, and is probably not
viable anyway due to health reasons even if he was to attempt to change
his mind.

--
--
Karl Denninger ) Internet Consultant & Kids Rights Activist
http://www.denninger.net My home on the net - links to everything I do!
http://scubaforum.org Your UNCENSORED place to talk about DIVING!
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http://genesis3.blogspot.com Musings Of A Sentient Mind

Calif Bill November 3rd 04 06:14 AM


"Harry Krause" wrote in message
...
Karl Denninger wrote:
In article ,
Harry Krause wrote:

Karl Denninger wrote:
Right out of the Democrat Party playbook.

"Even if you can't find evidence of fraud or intimidation, accuse

people of
it anyway."

Never mind that the counties which went heavily Kerry are all run by
Democrats. Up here in the Panhandle we use mark-sense paper ballots,
which are easily recounted (either by machine or hand)

Thus, you want to now accuse a Democrat Party machine, which ran the
election in those counties, of committing fraud for the REPUBLICAN
candidate?

That stretches credibility just a TINY bit, don't 'ya think?

--

Try to think this through, Karl. There's more to Florida than Miami-Dade
and Evangelistia, where you live, eh? Anywhere there are receipt-less
electronic voting machines in Florida, there are opportunities for
fraud. And when the GOP runs the entire state, but for a few counties,
the opportunities are substantial.

I've posited more than once that federal elections ought to be run by
federal officials, on equipment that meets standards and provides both
the voter and the counters with hard receipts. Receipt-less electronic
voting machines are so much trash. There are electronic machines that
generate receipts.


You're correct.

Now explain why Theresa LaPore, who's a Democrat in a heavily-democratic
county, decided to buy and install in her county the machines that do

not
generate receipts - in the very county where the chad fun was present.

PS: The majority of the heavily republican counties in Florida use and

have
used mark-sense cards with a reader at the point of ballot deposit that
will not accept an overvoted ballot.

Indeed, its simply amazing - the Democrat counties are the ones who

adopted
these electronic machines, in the main. Do 'ya think they thought

perhaps
they could pull some funny bizness - like in Pennsylvania where there

were
machines in heavily-Democrat counties that STARTED with votes on the
tabulators - but it just didn't work out for them?

Might be....

Florida is now 88% in, with Bush having a margin of about 250,000 votes.

Florida looks pretty safe in Bush's column Harry... the remaining votes
would have to break roughly 75% for Kerry for him to win here.

Ain't gonna happen.

--


Looks like the dumfoch got himself a four-year term to further destroy
what was once a great country.

--
A Proud Member of the Bush Firing Squad
( ) Bush ( x ) Kerry


And the Democratic party and their PR flacks under Clinton and McAuliffe
show they picked about the worst candidate they could. When the party
loses, why should the same DNC get to stay in charge? They bigger
Dumfoch's?



lobo99 November 3rd 04 06:15 AM

We moved from Illinois to Florida earlier this year. Did we cause this?

Never mind.

Congats to the "red states."


"Karl Denninger" wrote in message
news:CA_hd.13368$233.13097@okepread05...

In article ,
Harry Krause wrote:

Looks like the dumfoch got himself a four-year term to further destroy
what was once a great country.


Won fair and square Harry.... despite stuffing the tabulators in Ohio,
it wasn't enough - and Florida was won DECISIVELY.

Looks like Ohio will be as well, with no chance of a recount (you have to
be within 1/4 of 1% to get one in Ohio.)

NM is nearly certain to go Bush shortly. Nevada may as well; too early to
know at this point, but it doesn't matter....

--
--
Karl Denninger ) Internet Consultant & Kids Rights
Activist
http://www.denninger.net My home on the net - links to everything I do!
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P. Fritz November 3rd 04 06:23 AM


"Karl Denninger" wrote in message
news:MuYhd.74464$bk1.47496@fed1read05...

In article ,
Harry Krause wrote:


Karl Denninger wrote:
In article ,
Gould 0738 wrote:


I agree with both of those sentiments Chuck. It appeared you were
basically calling the election for Kerry based on the exit polls.

You mixed my comments up with another post to which I was responding.

It ain't over yet. May not be over for days, but lets hope the will of

the 50
states (the people don't count in this race) is clear by later

toninght.

I think it will be over later this evening - Florida is now roughly

75% in,
including the "big" democrat counties.

Ohio is tougher for me, because I don't have nearly as good a "feel"

for
the county breakdown there.

As things sit right now Bush is ahead by close to 200,000 votes - to

make
up that differential Kerry has a hell of an uphill climb, given that

his
stronghold counties are either largely or entirely in at this point.

The exit polls were pretty clearly wrong.

--



Probably not. My guess is that "adjustments" were made on the
receipt-less electronic voting machines in Florida and Ohio. Of course,
with no paper trail, how would one prove this? How convenient.


Right out of the Democrat Party playbook.

"Even if you can't find evidence of fraud or intimidation, accuse people

of
it anyway."

Never mind that the counties which went heavily Kerry are all run by
Democrats. Up here in the Panhandle we use mark-sense paper ballots,
which are easily recounted (either by machine or hand)

Thus, you want to now accuse a Democrat Party machine, which ran the
election in those counties, of committing fraud for the REPUBLICAN
candidate?

That stretches credibility just a TINY bit, don't 'ya think?


poor harry.......just another union thug loser........


The early exit polls were flawed because they were too heavily weighted
with women voters.


--
--
Karl Denninger ) Internet Consultant & Kids Rights

Activist
http://www.denninger.net My home on the net - links to everything I do!
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Keith November 3rd 04 06:36 AM

Oops. Bush is winning FL, the popular vote, and probably OH and the
presidency as of 0037 CST. Like you're influencing the vote.

--


Keith
__
"If you had to identify in a word, the reason why the human race has not
achieved and never will achieve its full potential, that word would be
"meetings." - Dave Barry
"F330 GT" wrote in message
...
F330 GT wrote:
Tradesports Interactive now shows Bush pres @ 38, Kerry pres @ 62.4 a

change of
15 points in the last few hours.

Bush winning popular vote @ 25.1. Kerry wins popular vote @ 54.6.

Follow the money.... The bettors know.


Barry


Oh, come on...I didn't get to vote that many times.

Seriously, even the exit polling data spilling about is too preliminary
for anyone to determine anything.


--

You're probably right but the signs are looking real good. This site is a
real
time market for trading and as such is as close to a real time poll as you
can
get.

Bush is dropping like a rock. He's now as 28 with Kerry at 71 to win. He's
also
falling fast in the Florida race, the Ohio race and the popular vote. It's
not
going to be as close as a lot of people think, if this proves true. Which,
I
hope it is.

Check out: www.tradesports.com

Barry




Clams Canino November 3rd 04 06:37 AM

Why are the GOP red and the DNC blue anyway??? Any history on this?

And if so... I wanna see the Dem's in blue ties and the Rep's in red ties.
Enough issues to confuse, without using counterfeit ties. :)

-W

"lobo99" wrote in message
news:dI_hd.457203$mD.25244@attbi_s02...
We moved from Illinois to Florida earlier this year. Did we cause this?

Never mind.

Congats to the "red states."


"Karl Denninger" wrote in message
news:CA_hd.13368$233.13097@okepread05...

In article ,
Harry Krause wrote:

Looks like the dumfoch got himself a four-year term to further destroy
what was once a great country.


Won fair and square Harry.... despite stuffing the tabulators in Ohio,
it wasn't enough - and Florida was won DECISIVELY.

Looks like Ohio will be as well, with no chance of a recount (you have to
be within 1/4 of 1% to get one in Ohio.)

NM is nearly certain to go Bush shortly. Nevada may as well; too early to
know at this point, but it doesn't matter....

--
--
Karl Denninger ) Internet Consultant & Kids Rights
Activist
http://www.denninger.net My home on the net - links to everything I do!
http://scubaforum.org Your UNCENSORED place to talk about DIVING!
http://www.spamcuda.net SPAM FREE mailboxes - FREE FOR A LIMITED TIME!
http://genesis3.blogspot.com Musings Of A Sentient Mind





Keith November 3rd 04 06:37 AM

No! Don't vote for Kerry!

--


Keith
__
Money can't buy you happiness, but it does bring you a more pleasant form of
misery. -Spike Milligan
"Don White" wrote in message
...

"JimH" wrote in message
...


And that qualifies him as being a capable candidate for POTUS to you?


You're probably right...better to vote for a boozing slacker.





Short Wave Sportfishing November 3rd 04 11:41 AM

On Wed, 03 Nov 2004 06:37:46 GMT, "Clams Canino"
wrote:

Why are the GOP red and the DNC blue anyway??? Any history on this?


Yes. As to it's political significance, I'm pretty sure it goes along
the lines of red is a male dominate color (as in fire, blood, hunting,
etc.) and blue is a feminine color (as in the color of depth for
instance and in Egyptology, the color most associated with Amun and in
Christian doctrine, St. Mary).

Which, if broken down, red is a more aggressive color which can be
viewed as a negative and blue is a more positive color which can be
viewed as a positive.

From that point you can probably extrapolate why the colors were used
by the nets for thief graphics. [1]

TTFN,

Tom

"Bodies are for hookers and fat people."
Bender - "Futurama"

[1] I always knew that psychology class would pay off - I just didn't
think it would take 40 FREAKIN' YEARS!!!! :)

Short Wave Sportfishing November 3rd 04 11:43 AM

On Wed, 03 Nov 2004 01:36:53 GMT, "Don White"
wrote:


"Short Wave Sportfishing" wrote in message
snip
For the record, I didn't vote for President as it's a foregone
conclusion here in CT for one and I just couldn't bring myself to vote
for either of the two goons running. Voted for all the other offices
though.


Why didn't you support Ralph. After all, he warned us about the Corvair.


Let you in on a little secret - Nader couldn't be elected Dog Catcher
in his home town of Winstead. :)

And I had a Corvair in high school - I lived through it. :)

And it was a TURBO Corvair to boot.

Take care.

Tom

"The beatings will stop when morale improves."
E. Teach, 1717

Short Wave Sportfishing November 3rd 04 11:47 AM

On Wed, 03 Nov 2004 06:08:31 GMT, (Karl
Denninger) wrote:


In article ,
Clams Canino wrote:



"Harry Krause" wrote in message

Looks like the dumfoch got himself a four-year term to further destroy
what was once a great country.


The upside is that '08 will have a clear slate from both parties who can
BOTH field better candidates. I'd kinda rather see a clear slate in '08 than
EIGHT years of Kerry who seems too "political" to be "real".

I'd welcome a clear and fair debate in '08...... as oppesed to another 10
years of "he said - she said"

-W


Agreed.

Hopefully we'll get good candidates next time around, starting with no
incumbency. Cheney has already said he won't run, and is probably not
viable anyway due to health reasons even if he was to attempt to change
his mind.


They have already asked - I am not available in 2008 for any reason.

Although free air travel in Air Force One does have a certain allure.
:)

Take care.

Tom

"The beatings will stop when morale improves."
E. Teach, 1717



JimH November 3rd 04 12:17 PM


"Don White" wrote in message
...

"JimH" wrote in message
...


And that qualifies him as being a capable candidate for POTUS to you?


You're probably right...better to vote for a boozing slacker.



You are an idiot Don.



Karl Denninger November 3rd 04 01:50 PM


In article ,
Harry Krause wrote:


Karl Denninger wrote:
In article ,
Harry Krause wrote:

Looks like the dumfoch got himself a four-year term to further destroy
what was once a great country.


Won fair and square Harry.... despite stuffing the tabulators in Ohio,
it wasn't enough - and Florida was won DECISIVELY.


Karl...I wouldn't take your word on change from a dollar.


Oh c'mon Harry.

The sKerry whine machine is out in full force this morning. He's down
135,000 votes, there are only 135,000 provisional ballots in Ohio, and he's
still not conceding.

Give me a break. KERRY LOST! Even assuming the provisions break 2:1 for
him (unlikely), he STILL loses. He'd had to win EVERY provisional and
EVERY absentee to win - it ain't gonna happen.

Crybaby 2000 all over again, but this time he not only lost, he lost
DECISIVELY.

Besides the loss in the White House, the Republicans won in BOTH the House
and Senate, including a CRUSHING blow in South Dakota with Daschle being
sent home.

It is entirely reasonable to conclude that the voters punished the Gore
whine-babys for their 2000 games and the last 4 years of their
obstructionism.

If Kerry plays this game he will DESTROY the Democratic party and in '06
there will be a 60-seat Senate Majority. THEN the Democrats are doomed.

But we KNEW he wouldn't accept the results of the election, didn't we?

--
--
Karl Denninger ) Internet Consultant & Kids Rights Activist
http://www.denninger.net My home on the net - links to everything I do!
http://scubaforum.org Your UNCENSORED place to talk about DIVING!
http://www.spamcuda.net SPAM FREE mailboxes - FREE FOR A LIMITED TIME!
http://genesis3.blogspot.com Musings Of A Sentient Mind

JimH November 3rd 04 01:53 PM


"Karl Denninger" wrote in message
news:Nm5id.13400$233.6447@okepread05...

In article ,
Harry Krause wrote:


Karl Denninger wrote:
In article ,
Harry Krause wrote:

Looks like the dumfoch got himself a four-year term to further destroy
what was once a great country.

Won fair and square Harry.... despite stuffing the tabulators in Ohio,
it wasn't enough - and Florida was won DECISIVELY.


Karl...I wouldn't take your word on change from a dollar.


Oh c'mon Harry.

The sKerry whine machine is out in full force this morning. He's down
135,000 votes, there are only 135,000 provisional ballots in Ohio, and
he's
still not conceding.

Give me a break. KERRY LOST! Even assuming the provisions break 2:1 for
him (unlikely), he STILL loses. He'd had to win EVERY provisional and
EVERY absentee to win - it ain't gonna happen.

Crybaby 2000 all over again, but this time he not only lost, he lost
DECISIVELY.

Besides the loss in the White House, the Republicans won in BOTH the House
and Senate, including a CRUSHING blow in South Dakota with Daschle being
sent home.

It is entirely reasonable to conclude that the voters punished the Gore
whine-babys for their 2000 games and the last 4 years of their
obstructionism.

If Kerry plays this game he will DESTROY the Democratic party and in '06
there will be a 60-seat Senate Majority. THEN the Democrats are doomed.

But we KNEW he wouldn't accept the results of the election, didn't we?

--
--
Karl Denninger ) Internet Consultant & Kids Rights
Activist
http://www.denninger.net My home on the net - links to everything I do!
http://scubaforum.org Your UNCENSORED place to talk about DIVING!
http://www.spamcuda.net SPAM FREE mailboxes - FREE FOR A LIMITED TIME!
http://genesis3.blogspot.com Musings Of A Sentient Mind




JimH November 3rd 04 01:57 PM


"Karl Denninger" wrote in message
news:Nm5id.13400$233.6447@okepread05...

In article ,
Harry Krause wrote:


Karl Denninger wrote:
In article ,
Harry Krause wrote:

Looks like the dumfoch got himself a four-year term to further destroy
what was once a great country.

Won fair and square Harry.... despite stuffing the tabulators in Ohio,
it wasn't enough - and Florida was won DECISIVELY.


Karl...I wouldn't take your word on change from a dollar.


Oh c'mon Harry.

The sKerry whine machine is out in full force this morning. He's down
135,000 votes, there are only 135,000 provisional ballots in Ohio, and
he's
still not conceding.

Give me a break. KERRY LOST! Even assuming the provisions break 2:1 for
him (unlikely), he STILL loses. He'd had to win EVERY provisional and
EVERY absentee to win - it ain't gonna happen.

Crybaby 2000 all over again, but this time he not only lost, he lost
DECISIVELY.

Besides the loss in the White House, the Republicans won in BOTH the House
and Senate, including a CRUSHING blow in South Dakota with Daschle being
sent home.

It is entirely reasonable to conclude that the voters punished the Gore
whine-babys for their 2000 games and the last 4 years of their
obstructionism.

If Kerry plays this game he will DESTROY the Democratic party and in '06
there will be a 60-seat Senate Majority. THEN the Democrats are doomed.

But we KNEW he wouldn't accept the results of the election, didn't we?

--
--
Karl Denninger ) Internet Consultant & Kids Rights
Activist
http://www.denninger.net My home on the net - links to everything I do!
http://scubaforum.org Your UNCENSORED place to talk about DIVING!
http://www.spamcuda.net SPAM FREE mailboxes - FREE FOR A LIMITED TIME!
http://genesis3.blogspot.com Musings Of A Sentient Mind


With a Guiliani/Powell ticket in 2008 the future of the Dems is bleak.



Short Wave Sportfishing November 3rd 04 02:24 PM

On Wed, 03 Nov 2004 13:50:37 GMT, (Karl
Denninger) wrote:


In article ,
Harry Krause wrote:


Karl Denninger wrote:
In article ,
Harry Krause wrote:

Looks like the dumfoch got himself a four-year term to further destroy
what was once a great country.

Won fair and square Harry.... despite stuffing the tabulators in Ohio,
it wasn't enough - and Florida was won DECISIVELY.


Karl...I wouldn't take your word on change from a dollar.


Oh c'mon Harry.

The sKerry whine machine is out in full force this morning. He's down
135,000 votes, there are only 135,000 provisional ballots in Ohio, and he's
still not conceding.


I figured it out. Even with upwards of 250,000 provisionals (that's a
Kerry campaign number) Kerry would have to obtain at least 9 votes to
1 Bush vote to win. That's a raw vote number.

If the Kerry campaign number is correct, only about 40% of those 250K
provisional ballots are valid. That means that he still can't win as
he would have to win all 100K votes (based on 40% of the provisional
ballot total).

That's is highly improbable.

Personally, I think the President should be gracious and appoint
Senator Kerry Ambassador to France.

All the best,

Tom
--------------

"What the hell's the deal with this newsgroup...
is there a computer terminal in the day room of
some looney bin somewhere?"

Bilgeman - circa 2004

Karl Denninger November 3rd 04 02:26 PM


In article ,
Harry Krause wrote:


Karl Denninger wrote:
In article ,
Harry Krause wrote:


Karl Denninger wrote:
In article ,
Harry Krause wrote:

Looks like the dumfoch got himself a four-year term to further destroy
what was once a great country.

Won fair and square Harry.... despite stuffing the tabulators in Ohio,
it wasn't enough - and Florida was won DECISIVELY.


Karl...I wouldn't take your word on change from a dollar.


Oh c'mon Harry.

The sKerry whine machine is out in full force this morning. He's down
135,000 votes, there are only 135,000 provisional ballots in Ohio, and he's
still not conceding.

Give me a break. KERRY LOST! Even assuming the provisions break 2:1 for
him (unlikely), he STILL loses. He'd had to win EVERY provisional and
EVERY absentee to win - it ain't gonna happen.


As I said, Karl, I wouldn't take your word on change from a dollar. That
has nothing to do with Kerry's loss.


No grace in defeat eh Harry?

Let's be honest here, shall we?

Bush got a majority of the popular vote. Clinton never managed that.

Bush's party kicked Daschle out of the Senate. Clinton never managed to do
anything like that at the ballot box.

The Republicans picked up BOTH senate and house seats. Again, Clinton
never managed any such thing.

The bottom line is that the Democrats lost - and lost BADLY. The people
have spoken. Send Michael Moore, Howard Dean and their brand of radical
stupidity HOME, and the Democrat party has a chance to regain relevance.

Keep up what you guys did this time, and next election the Republicans will
have a 60-seat Senate majority - then the Democrats may as well fold the
party entirely.

It has to do with my belief that
while you are a bright guy, you are slime. My reasons for feeling that
way are known to you and have nothing to do with your political party of
choice, although that is a symptom of your problem.


Yeah, yeah. Can't respond to the points on the table, so you launch
personal attacks.

What else is new?

--
--
Karl Denninger ) Internet Consultant & Kids Rights Activist
http://www.denninger.net My home on the net - links to everything I do!
http://scubaforum.org Your UNCENSORED place to talk about DIVING!
http://www.spamcuda.net SPAM FREE mailboxes - FREE FOR A LIMITED TIME!
http://genesis3.blogspot.com Musings Of A Sentient Mind

Clams Canino November 3rd 04 02:38 PM


"Karl Denninger" wrote in message news:iU5id.3791


Bush got a majority of the popular vote. Clinton never managed that.

Bush's party kicked Daschle out of the Senate. Clinton never managed to

do
anything like that at the ballot box.

The Republicans picked up BOTH senate and house seats. Again, Clinton
never managed any such thing.

The bottom line is that the Democrats lost - and lost BADLY. The people
have spoken. Send Michael Moore, Howard Dean and their brand of radical
stupidity HOME, and the Democrat party has a chance to regain relevance.

Keep up what you guys did this time, and next election the Republicans

will
have a 60-seat Senate majority - then the Democrats may as well fold the
party entirely.


Unfortunately he's correct here.... the backlash here in rec.boats is
symptomatic of the entire country. Angry, hatefull, whining, democrats
**can't** win. The party used to mean a lot more than "opposition". They
didn't adress the real issues this round - and God knows there were plenty
of good holes to attack from. The politics of insult and hate will always
fail. As was proven in SD.

-W



Charles November 3rd 04 03:01 PM



Harry Krause wrote:

Tell me, Karl, are you still helping husbands who want to dump their
wives and kids minimize their spousal support and child support payments?


How about Karl explains this right after you explain why your own
children are estranged from you?

What did you do to their mother that caused your children essentially
disown you as their father?

-- Charlie


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