In 4 of the states which Kerry "leads", he has less than a 1 point lead:
Ohio 0.14%
Florida 0.45%
Nevada 0.47%
Missouri 0.88%
Those states have 63 electoral college votes and Bush won all 4 in 2000.
He'll win all 4 again.
Bush was leading 2 weeks ago, so what happened since then? Bush-friendly
polling data (Foxnews, WSJ, etc.) has been replaed with Kerry-friendly
polling data (Newsweek, ABC News, CBS, Washington Post, etc), because the
Kerry friendly polling data is "newer". http://electionprojection.com/formula.html
That's it! There's no other significant difference. In two weeks, Bush
will lead by 30 or 40 EC votes again.
Wooohoooo!!! Here's one of the "nobby predictions" list!!!