I think the path may have been overreaching. At a certain point
Sweden's idea may not turn out to be that horrible. If you are just
flattening the curve but dragging out the misery for 2 years and
ending up pretty much where you would have been if you took less
draconian measures, was that the right path?
Would a less draconian path had less impact on the economy?
We really won't know until this is over but at our present trajectory
that could be years. The question will be if there is an economy left
to reopen. I know business people who said they were prepared for a
rainy day but this is Noah's flood and if you remember that fable,
only 2 of every species survived. Every other living thing died.
I think flattening the curve allowed the medics to catch up and keep up with
the demand for their services and use of their facilities. Nobody was able
to come up with a plan to do this without damaging the economy. Politics
might have stood in the way of managing this pandemic better. And that's
very sad to even imagine.
I think that was oversold too for most of the country. New York was
pretty much the worst case scenario and the hospital ship we paid a
hundred million to send there went pretty much unused. As scary as the
headlines were Florida never ran out of hospital beds. Some particular
buildings may have been slammed but there were other beds available.
In most cases it wasn't even the beds they were short of, it was staff
because we typically send them up north in the summer or lay them off.
Our biggest hospital was still only about 40% covid patients when they
were approaching the staff limit. They just brought in more staff.
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