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Mr. Luddite[_4_]

On 4/23/2020 9:12 PM, wrote:
He is projecting that 2.7 million New Yorkers had the virus and
spontaneously recovered. He is basing that on projecting the largest
number of antibody testing results we have seen, across his
population.
That knocks the hell out of a lot of the scary **** if it is true. His
death rate is around 0.3% (infected to dead)
That makes it about as dangerous as riding a motorcycle for 5 years.
;-) (6 million motorcycles, 4500 dead every year.

BTW if you could project New York's numbers nation wide, 50 Million of
us are over it

... Or the tests the left has pushed Cuomo into using is bogus ;-)

It is funny how guys like Harry suddenly became Libertarian when
people point out the reason why the feds don't test everyone is that
there are no tests that have actually gone through a real FDA study
and we don't want to make 350 million bad tests.
At that point they start wanting to short cut the FDA study process
and cut the red tape. (what they did to get the tests Cuomo is using)
That was what Gary wanted ;-)

It will be great until we find out Cuomo's tests are bad.

OTOH if it turns out they were right, all of this lockdown starts
looking pretty silly.

Seems like the more data that is collected, the more questions
it raises.

Massachusetts is getting hit pretty hard this week. The charts
I am maintaining in Excel are depressing. No indication of a
plateau or slow down at all. Just within Plymouth County there
were 276 more cases over yesterday which is a large increase
compared to previous days and weeks.

State-wide we have 46,043 confirmed cases and 2,360 deaths.

The "models" indicate the peak here will be on April 28-29.
Hope they are correct.

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On Thu, 23 Apr 2020 21:35:12 -0400, "Mr. Luddite"
wrote:

On 4/23/2020 9:12 PM, wrote:
He is projecting that 2.7 million New Yorkers had the virus and
spontaneously recovered. He is basing that on projecting the largest
number of antibody testing results we have seen, across his
population.
That knocks the hell out of a lot of the scary **** if it is true. His
death rate is around 0.3% (infected to dead)
That makes it about as dangerous as riding a motorcycle for 5 years.
;-) (6 million motorcycles, 4500 dead every year.

BTW if you could project New York's numbers nation wide, 50 Million of
us are over it

... Or the tests the left has pushed Cuomo into using is bogus ;-)

It is funny how guys like Harry suddenly became Libertarian when
people point out the reason why the feds don't test everyone is that
there are no tests that have actually gone through a real FDA study
and we don't want to make 350 million bad tests.
At that point they start wanting to short cut the FDA study process
and cut the red tape. (what they did to get the tests Cuomo is using)
That was what Gary wanted ;-)

It will be great until we find out Cuomo's tests are bad.

OTOH if it turns out they were right, all of this lockdown starts
looking pretty silly.

Seems like the more data that is collected, the more questions
it raises.

Massachusetts is getting hit pretty hard this week. The charts
I am maintaining in Excel are depressing. No indication of a
plateau or slow down at all. Just within Plymouth County there
were 276 more cases over yesterday which is a large increase
compared to previous days and weeks.

State-wide we have 46,043 confirmed cases and 2,360 deaths.

The "models" indicate the peak here will be on April 28-29.
Hope they are correct.

I saw something cruising through the news that said 30% of the Mass
folks tested showed positive for antibodies. I am starting to wonder
if the test is bad or we are doing better than they want to admit

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