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#1
posted to rec.boats
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The Quadritic
http://ncov.bii.virginia.edu/dashboa...hDW6GbdBdCH-jk
Using Feb 18 (75198 confirmed) as the origin, and March 19 (233752 confirmed) as the last point on the graph, and assuming the curve is roughly quadratic, I get the equation of the curve to be f(x)=176x**2 +75198. That would mean that in 30 more days our confirmed cases would be roughly 708,798. I hope my math is bad. -- Freedom Isn't Free! |
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#2
posted to rec.boats
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The Quadritic
On Thu, 19 Mar 2020 17:59:25 -0400, Adorable Deplorable
wrote: http://ncov.bii.virginia.edu/dashboa...hDW6GbdBdCH-jk Using Feb 18 (75198 confirmed) as the origin, and March 19 (233752 confirmed) as the last point on the graph, and assuming the curve is roughly quadratic, I get the equation of the curve to be f(x)=176x**2 +75198. That would mean that in 30 more days our confirmed cases would be roughly 708,798. I hope my math is bad. "Quadratic" -- Freedom Isn't Free! |
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#3
posted to rec.boats
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The Quadritic
On 3/19/2020 5:59 PM, Adorable Deplorable wrote:
http://ncov.bii.virginia.edu/dashboa...hDW6GbdBdCH-jk Using Feb 18 (75198 confirmed) as the origin, and March 19 (233752 confirmed) as the last point on the graph, and assuming the curve is roughly quadratic, I get the equation of the curve to be f(x)=176x**2 +75198. That would mean that in 30 more days our confirmed cases would be roughly 708,798. I hope my math is bad. -- Freedom Isn't Free! It should be noted that those are worldwide confirmed cases, not "our" (meaning USA) confirmed cases. -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com |
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#4
posted to rec.boats
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The Quadritic
On Thu, 19 Mar 2020 19:24:15 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote:
On 3/19/2020 5:59 PM, Adorable Deplorable wrote: http://ncov.bii.virginia.edu/dashboa...hDW6GbdBdCH-jk Using Feb 18 (75198 confirmed) as the origin, and March 19 (233752 confirmed) as the last point on the graph, and assuming the curve is roughly quadratic, I get the equation of the curve to be f(x)=176x**2 +75198. That would mean that in 30 more days our confirmed cases would be roughly 708,798. I hope my math is bad. -- Freedom Isn't Free! It should be noted that those are worldwide confirmed cases, not "our" (meaning USA) confirmed cases. Correct -- Freedom Isn't Free! |
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#5
posted to rec.boats
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The Quadritic
On 3/19/2020 7:36 PM, Adorable Deplorable wrote:
On Thu, 19 Mar 2020 19:24:15 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote: On 3/19/2020 5:59 PM, Adorable Deplorable wrote: http://ncov.bii.virginia.edu/dashboa...hDW6GbdBdCH-jk Using Feb 18 (75198 confirmed) as the origin, and March 19 (233752 confirmed) as the last point on the graph, and assuming the curve is roughly quadratic, I get the equation of the curve to be f(x)=176x**2 +75198. That would mean that in 30 more days our confirmed cases would be roughly 708,798. I hope my math is bad. -- Freedom Isn't Free! It should be noted that those are worldwide confirmed cases, not "our" (meaning USA) confirmed cases. Correct -- Freedom Isn't Free! I am struggling with this. Math was never my strong suit and it's been a long time ... It's not a complete quadratic equation unless I am missing something (which is very possible). -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com |
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#6
posted to rec.boats
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The Quadritic
On Thu, 19 Mar 2020 20:36:53 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote:
On 3/19/2020 7:36 PM, Adorable Deplorable wrote: On Thu, 19 Mar 2020 19:24:15 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote: On 3/19/2020 5:59 PM, Adorable Deplorable wrote: http://ncov.bii.virginia.edu/dashboa...hDW6GbdBdCH-jk Using Feb 18 (75198 confirmed) as the origin, and March 19 (233752 confirmed) as the last point on the graph, and assuming the curve is roughly quadratic, I get the equation of the curve to be f(x)=176x**2 +75198. That would mean that in 30 more days our confirmed cases would be roughly 708,798. I hope my math is bad. -- Freedom Isn't Free! It should be noted that those are worldwide confirmed cases, not "our" (meaning USA) confirmed cases. Correct -- Freedom Isn't Free! I am struggling with this. Math was never my strong suit and it's been a long time ... It's not a complete quadratic equation unless I am missing something (which is very possible). y=x**2 is a complete quadratic equation. You're thinking of the form y=ax**2+bx+c, in this case b=0, and c=75,198. In my case the vertex was at the point 0,75198. So the 'b' term is 0. Written out completely, the equation would be: f(x)=176x**2+0x +75198. That probably looks more familiar. -- Freedom Isn't Free! |
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#7
posted to rec.boats
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The Quadritic
On 3/20/2020 8:52 AM, Adorable Deplorable wrote:
On Thu, 19 Mar 2020 20:36:53 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote: On 3/19/2020 7:36 PM, Adorable Deplorable wrote: On Thu, 19 Mar 2020 19:24:15 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote: On 3/19/2020 5:59 PM, Adorable Deplorable wrote: http://ncov.bii.virginia.edu/dashboa...hDW6GbdBdCH-jk Using Feb 18 (75198 confirmed) as the origin, and March 19 (233752 confirmed) as the last point on the graph, and assuming the curve is roughly quadratic, I get the equation of the curve to be f(x)=176x**2 +75198. That would mean that in 30 more days our confirmed cases would be roughly 708,798. I hope my math is bad. -- Freedom Isn't Free! It should be noted that those are worldwide confirmed cases, not "our" (meaning USA) confirmed cases. Correct -- Freedom Isn't Free! I am struggling with this. Math was never my strong suit and it's been a long time ... It's not a complete quadratic equation unless I am missing something (which is very possible). y=x**2 is a complete quadratic equation. You're thinking of the form y=ax**2+bx+c, in this case b=0, and c=75,198. In my case the vertex was at the point 0,75198. So the 'b' term is 0. Written out completely, the equation would be: f(x)=176x**2+0x +75198. That probably looks more familiar. -- Freedom Isn't Free! Thanks. I need to go back to school. -- This email has been checked for viruses by AVG. https://www.avg.com |
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#8
posted to rec.boats
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The Quadritic
On Fri, 20 Mar 2020 10:19:47 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote:
On 3/20/2020 8:52 AM, Adorable Deplorable wrote: On Thu, 19 Mar 2020 20:36:53 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote: On 3/19/2020 7:36 PM, Adorable Deplorable wrote: On Thu, 19 Mar 2020 19:24:15 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote: On 3/19/2020 5:59 PM, Adorable Deplorable wrote: http://ncov.bii.virginia.edu/dashboa...hDW6GbdBdCH-jk Using Feb 18 (75198 confirmed) as the origin, and March 19 (233752 confirmed) as the last point on the graph, and assuming the curve is roughly quadratic, I get the equation of the curve to be f(x)=176x**2 +75198. That would mean that in 30 more days our confirmed cases would be roughly 708,798. I hope my math is bad. -- Freedom Isn't Free! It should be noted that those are worldwide confirmed cases, not "our" (meaning USA) confirmed cases. Correct -- Freedom Isn't Free! I am struggling with this. Math was never my strong suit and it's been a long time ... It's not a complete quadratic equation unless I am missing something (which is very possible). y=x**2 is a complete quadratic equation. You're thinking of the form y=ax**2+bx+c, in this case b=0, and c=75,198. In my case the vertex was at the point 0,75198. So the 'b' term is 0. Written out completely, the equation would be: f(x)=176x**2+0x +75198. That probably looks more familiar. -- Freedom Isn't Free! Thanks. I need to go back to school. Using just the data for the US starting 27 Feb with 59 confirmed cases and 19 Mar with 14,332 (a total of 21 days) confirmed cases gives the equation: f(x)=32.4X**2 +59. So, in another month x=51, we can expect about 84,331 confirmed cases - unless something breaks. This came from plotting just the US data from: http://ncov.bii.virginia.edu/dashboa...hDW6GbdBdCH-jk -- Freedom Isn't Free! |
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#9
posted to rec.boats
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The Quadritic
On Thu, 19 Mar 2020 20:36:53 -0400, "Mr. Luddite"
wrote: On 3/19/2020 7:36 PM, Adorable Deplorable wrote: On Thu, 19 Mar 2020 19:24:15 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote: On 3/19/2020 5:59 PM, Adorable Deplorable wrote: http://ncov.bii.virginia.edu/dashboa...hDW6GbdBdCH-jk Using Feb 18 (75198 confirmed) as the origin, and March 19 (233752 confirmed) as the last point on the graph, and assuming the curve is roughly quadratic, I get the equation of the curve to be f(x)=176x**2 +75198. That would mean that in 30 more days our confirmed cases would be roughly 708,798. I hope my math is bad. -- Freedom Isn't Free! It should be noted that those are worldwide confirmed cases, not "our" (meaning USA) confirmed cases. Correct -- Freedom Isn't Free! I am struggling with this. Math was never my strong suit and it's been a long time ... It's not a complete quadratic equation unless I am missing something (which is very possible). It baffled me so it must be quadratic (my weakest point in math). |
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