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#1
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It appears that the world is awash in more petro distillates than it
can consume or store. Ships in transit have become the storage of last resort and that can't last forever. This will continue to translate into lower prices at the pump but there is only so much elasticity in demand as prices come down. Eventually the oil producers will have to decommission some of their wells or pump less agressively. http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/26/oil-diesel-glut-idUSL8N12N36520151026 There is an interesting effect where diesel prices come down faster than gasoline since diesel fuel gets produced as a byproduct of gasoline distillation, but the demand for diesel increases more slowly as prices come down. That creates a temporary production imbalance and lower prices for diesel. |
#2
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posted to rec.boats
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#4
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posted to rec.boats
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On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 10:15:48 -0400, Keyser Söze
wrote: On 10/29/15 10:11 AM, wrote: On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 09:44:46 -0400, wrote: It appears that the world is awash in more petro distillates than it can consume or store. Ships in transit have become the storage of last resort and that can't last forever. This will continue to translate into lower prices at the pump but there is only so much elasticity in demand as prices come down. Eventually the oil producers will have to decommission some of their wells or pump less agressively. http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/26/oil-diesel-glut-idUSL8N12N36520151026 There is an interesting effect where diesel prices come down faster than gasoline since diesel fuel gets produced as a byproduct of gasoline distillation, but the demand for diesel increases more slowly as prices come down. That creates a temporary production imbalance and lower prices for diesel. I have $3.599 (reg u/l) by labor day in the pool. Don't forget the "annual" gouge price increases for Memorial Day and July 4th Weekends. I think this may be a bit more strategic. The saudis are selling oil at lower than their production cost and I doubt it is out of the kindness in their heart. |
#5
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posted to rec.boats
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On 10/29/15 10:34 AM, wrote:
On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 10:15:48 -0400, Keyser Söze wrote: On 10/29/15 10:11 AM, wrote: On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 09:44:46 -0400, wrote: It appears that the world is awash in more petro distillates than it can consume or store. Ships in transit have become the storage of last resort and that can't last forever. This will continue to translate into lower prices at the pump but there is only so much elasticity in demand as prices come down. Eventually the oil producers will have to decommission some of their wells or pump less agressively. http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/26/oil-diesel-glut-idUSL8N12N36520151026 There is an interesting effect where diesel prices come down faster than gasoline since diesel fuel gets produced as a byproduct of gasoline distillation, but the demand for diesel increases more slowly as prices come down. That creates a temporary production imbalance and lower prices for diesel. I have $3.599 (reg u/l) by labor day in the pool. Don't forget the "annual" gouge price increases for Memorial Day and July 4th Weekends. I think this may be a bit more strategic. The saudis are selling oil at lower than their production cost and I doubt it is out of the kindness in their heart. How would we possibly know what the Saudi's "production costs" are, since they own their own oil and use cheap imported labor for the real work in their country? Plus, they have strong political reasons at the moment to keep the prices low. Oil pricing is just another corporate sham. |
#6
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posted to rec.boats
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On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 10:39:24 -0400, Keyser Söze
wrote: Oil pricing is just another corporate sham. === Harry, self proclaimed expert on all things corporate, just emitted another loud and smelly brain fart. Very predictable. |
#7
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posted to rec.boats
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On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 10:39:24 -0400, Keyser Söze
wrote: On 10/29/15 10:34 AM, wrote: On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 10:15:48 -0400, Keyser Söze wrote: On 10/29/15 10:11 AM, wrote: On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 09:44:46 -0400, wrote: It appears that the world is awash in more petro distillates than it can consume or store. Ships in transit have become the storage of last resort and that can't last forever. This will continue to translate into lower prices at the pump but there is only so much elasticity in demand as prices come down. Eventually the oil producers will have to decommission some of their wells or pump less agressively. http://www.reuters.com/article/2015/10/26/oil-diesel-glut-idUSL8N12N36520151026 There is an interesting effect where diesel prices come down faster than gasoline since diesel fuel gets produced as a byproduct of gasoline distillation, but the demand for diesel increases more slowly as prices come down. That creates a temporary production imbalance and lower prices for diesel. I have $3.599 (reg u/l) by labor day in the pool. Don't forget the "annual" gouge price increases for Memorial Day and July 4th Weekends. I think this may be a bit more strategic. The saudis are selling oil at lower than their production cost and I doubt it is out of the kindness in their heart. How would we possibly know what the Saudi's "production costs" are, since they own their own oil and use cheap imported labor for the real work in their country? Plus, they have strong political reasons at the moment to keep the prices low. Oil pricing is just another corporate sham. The financial rags have been talking about this for a while. Oil production costs are not a state secret. I agree it is a manipulated market but the biggest manipulators are the Saudis and the gulf states. Everyone else is just hanging on and hoping it will stop. Since the Russians are one of the countries hurting the most and they support Assad, it does make some immediate sense but the oil producers also like the idea of stifling alternate energy programs, Keystone and fracking. This is also the classic behavior of a drug pusher. The first one is always cheap. When gas is $2 a gallon, people are more likely to buy an SUV and not a Leaf. Once they own it, they are hooked. |
#8
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posted to rec.boats
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Keyser Söze wrote:
How would we possibly know what the Saudi's "production costs" are, Who do you think actually runs their refineries for them. And who built them in the first place? -- Paul Hovnanian ------------------------------------------------------------------ Shoot low, sheriff. They're riding Shetlands! |
#9
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posted to rec.boats
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On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 10:15:48 -0400, Keyser Söze
wrote: - show quoted text - I think this may be a bit more strategic. The saudis are selling oil at lower than their production cost and I doubt it is out of the kindness in their heart. ..... Probably using the same tactic the cartels pulled in the 80s to bust their world competitors, then raise it back |
#10
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posted to rec.boats
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Tim wrote:
On Thu, 29 Oct 2015 10:15:48 -0400, Keyser Söze wrote: - show quoted text - I think this may be a bit more strategic. The saudis are selling oil at lower than their production cost and I doubt it is out of the kindness in their heart. .... Probably using the same tactic the cartels pulled in the 80s to bust their world competitors, then raise it back I doubt it is below their production cost. Their cost is very low. A lot lower than our costs. They do not require pumps on the wells, and have 13" casings. I think ours are 6". Lots of gas pressure forces out the oil. |
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