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#1
posted to rec.boats
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#2
posted to rec.boats
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On Oct 1, 3:59*am, bpuharic wrote:
On Fri, 01 Oct 2010 02:02:40 -0400, wrote: The issue is not monetary policy, it is a decline in our capacity to produce things we can sell the world. and one of the biggest factors in this was the destruction of unions. a recent series of articles in 'slate' showed that countries with strong unions also have strong manufacturing bases. the right destroyed the unions in this country and, bye bye manufacturing You're using backward logic. Actually, more manufacturing brings more unions. Less manufacturing = less unions. Unions priced themselves out of the market, and people like you killed manufacturing by buying cheap chinese-made battery chargers at walmart. You killed the unions with your purchasing decisions. |
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#3
posted to rec.boats
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wrote in message ... On Fri, 01 Oct 2010 03:59:32 -0400, bpuharic wrote: On Fri, 01 Oct 2010 02:02:40 -0400, wrote: The issue is not monetary policy, it is a decline in our capacity to produce things we can sell the world. and one of the biggest factors in this was the destruction of unions. a recent series of articles in 'slate' showed that countries with strong unions also have strong manufacturing bases. the right destroyed the unions in this country and, bye bye manufacturing The unions caused it to some degree by making our workers too expensive to compete in a world market and not being willing to budge. The only states that are growing in manufacturing capacity are the non-union states. You really can't blame the unions for screwed up, exploitive management practices that caused the unions to be formed in the first place. |
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#5
posted to rec.boats
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On Fri, 01 Oct 2010 02:02:40 -0400, wrote:
On Thu, 30 Sep 2010 22:26:27 -0700, "nom=de=plume" wrote: wrote in message . .. On Thu, 30 Sep 2010 22:43:35 -0400, bpuharic wrote: On Thu, 30 Sep 2010 22:32:41 -0400, wrote: Certainly it can. All it would take is for China to stop buying our debt and dump their dollars on the world money markets. john maynard keynes once said, if you owe the bank $1000 you have a problem. if you owe it $1M, they have a problem china's not going to dump anything. you think they want to lose money? what planet you right wingers live on? That is the same kind of logic that said Japan would never attack Pearl Harbor. Actually, there's some dispute about us knowing or not knowing about the impending attack. Ah the old "FDR caused the attack to get us in the war" theory. That usually comes from right wingers. I'm surprised. Short term money loss is not the only thing some countries think about, even if that is such a strange concept to us. We've had a very stable, long-term monetary policy in the US up until recently... about the time of Reagan. Between the Depression and then, we had recessions but nothing severe. Then, the regs got removed and/or gutted. We see the result. We need to learn from our mistakes and reinstitute the policies that stabilized our economy. The issue is not monetary policy, it is a decline in our capacity to produce things we can sell the world. These days most of our exports to China are raw materials. We sell them scrap iron and they sell us consumer goods. The real profit is in the manufacturing, not collecting and shipping scrap iron. China is in better shape to come out of a global depression than we are and they will own the world when they do. No they aren't. They're a much more rigid society. Millions would die if their economy went bust. They have 1.3 billion, they can afford to lose a few million but it is unlikely it would be that bad. A global depression and fionancial collapse could set us back over 100 years. For most of China it would just set them back a decade or so and they are better equipped to recover. The rich people here will be fine, they already operate quite well in the global economy. It will be your middle class that becomes serfs in a neo-colonial America growing food, cutting wood and mining materials for China. To some extent we already are. The rich people are usually fine. So what. The middle class would be hurt but would recover. Recover doing what? This isn't 1929. Our problem is not excess capacity with no place to sell it. We don't have the ability to produce much. We sold our factories to Mexico and China. In the 90s.we thought we would dominate the world in the internet business but we found out there is really not much employment there. One guy sitting at a PC arranging drop shipments from Asia is not as much of an employer as a whole brick and mortar store chain, then they figured out the guy on the PC could be overseas too. (Clinton's recession) In the 2000s we filled that gap building houses, until the market was so flooded that we may not work through the inventory for years to come. (the current recession) Now we are just staring into the hole that used to be American industry and wondering what is next? This is yet again a case of Chicken Little (no offense intended). OK everything is fine, thanks, now I know my kids will be OK. Another case of a well presented, logical argument being shrugged off with a liberal cliche because depoop couldn't think of a counter. Nice job. Wasted though. -- John H All decisions are the result of binary thinking. |
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#6
posted to rec.boats
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"John H" wrote in message ... On Fri, 01 Oct 2010 02:02:40 -0400, wrote: On Thu, 30 Sep 2010 22:26:27 -0700, "nom=de=plume" wrote: wrote in message ... On Thu, 30 Sep 2010 22:43:35 -0400, bpuharic wrote: On Thu, 30 Sep 2010 22:32:41 -0400, wrote: Certainly it can. All it would take is for China to stop buying our debt and dump their dollars on the world money markets. john maynard keynes once said, if you owe the bank $1000 you have a problem. if you owe it $1M, they have a problem china's not going to dump anything. you think they want to lose money? what planet you right wingers live on? That is the same kind of logic that said Japan would never attack Pearl Harbor. Actually, there's some dispute about us knowing or not knowing about the impending attack. Ah the old "FDR caused the attack to get us in the war" theory. That usually comes from right wingers. I'm surprised. Short term money loss is not the only thing some countries think about, even if that is such a strange concept to us. We've had a very stable, long-term monetary policy in the US up until recently... about the time of Reagan. Between the Depression and then, we had recessions but nothing severe. Then, the regs got removed and/or gutted. We see the result. We need to learn from our mistakes and reinstitute the policies that stabilized our economy. The issue is not monetary policy, it is a decline in our capacity to produce things we can sell the world. These days most of our exports to China are raw materials. We sell them scrap iron and they sell us consumer goods. The real profit is in the manufacturing, not collecting and shipping scrap iron. China is in better shape to come out of a global depression than we are and they will own the world when they do. No they aren't. They're a much more rigid society. Millions would die if their economy went bust. They have 1.3 billion, they can afford to lose a few million but it is unlikely it would be that bad. A global depression and fionancial collapse could set us back over 100 years. For most of China it would just set them back a decade or so and they are better equipped to recover. The rich people here will be fine, they already operate quite well in the global economy. It will be your middle class that becomes serfs in a neo-colonial America growing food, cutting wood and mining materials for China. To some extent we already are. The rich people are usually fine. So what. The middle class would be hurt but would recover. Recover doing what? This isn't 1929. Our problem is not excess capacity with no place to sell it. We don't have the ability to produce much. We sold our factories to Mexico and China. In the 90s.we thought we would dominate the world in the internet business but we found out there is really not much employment there. One guy sitting at a PC arranging drop shipments from Asia is not as much of an employer as a whole brick and mortar store chain, then they figured out the guy on the PC could be overseas too. (Clinton's recession) In the 2000s we filled that gap building houses, until the market was so flooded that we may not work through the inventory for years to come. (the current recession) Now we are just staring into the hole that used to be American industry and wondering what is next? This is yet again a case of Chicken Little (no offense intended). OK everything is fine, thanks, now I know my kids will be OK. Another case of a well presented, logical argument being shrugged off with a liberal cliche because depoop couldn't think of a counter. Nice job. Wasted though. -- John H All decisions are the result of binary thinking. Wow... you sure contributed NOTHING to this thread! Keep up the great work representing your viewpoint! |
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#7
posted to rec.boats
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On Fri, 01 Oct 2010 01:13:19 -0400, wrote:
On Thu, 30 Sep 2010 22:43:35 -0400, bpuharic wrote: On Thu, 30 Sep 2010 22:32:41 -0400, wrote: Certainly it can. All it would take is for China to stop buying our debt and dump their dollars on the world money markets. john maynard keynes once said, if you owe the bank $1000 you have a problem. if you owe it $1M, they have a problem china's not going to dump anything. you think they want to lose money? what planet you right wingers live on? That is the same kind of logic that said Japan would never attack Pearl Harbor. so your argument is that china will take a trillion dollar loss? has that ever happened? all you have to do is point out an event in history and you'll have an argument Short term money loss is not the only thing some countries think about, even if that is such a strange concept to us. China is in better shape to come out of a global depression than we are and they will own the world when they do. we're in such a depression now, remember. they aren't dumping anything. so your experiment doesnt work The rich people here will be fine, they already operate quite well in the global economy. It will be your middle class that becomes serfs in a neo-colonial America growing food, cutting wood and mining materials for China. they already are becoming serfs. they just dont realize it. a recent study shows that americans have NO idea how skewed income and wealth are in this country. and the right is certainly helping to keep this a secret |
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#8
posted to rec.boats
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wrote in message ... On Fri, 01 Oct 2010 03:57:38 -0400, bpuharic wrote: On Fri, 01 Oct 2010 01:13:19 -0400, wrote: On Thu, 30 Sep 2010 22:43:35 -0400, bpuharic wrote: On Thu, 30 Sep 2010 22:32:41 -0400, wrote: Certainly it can. All it would take is for China to stop buying our debt and dump their dollars on the world money markets. john maynard keynes once said, if you owe the bank $1000 you have a problem. if you owe it $1M, they have a problem china's not going to dump anything. you think they want to lose money? what planet you right wingers live on? That is the same kind of logic that said Japan would never attack Pearl Harbor. so your argument is that china will take a trillion dollar loss? has that ever happened? all you have to do is point out an event in history and you'll have an argument They are already braced to take that loss. China is smart enough to see our current system is unsustainable. The only question is whether they want to get out while the dollar is still strong or ride it down. They may take the tough love decision to squeeze us, just to force us into fiscal responsibility and insure a longer term market for their goods. Not true. They're in it for the money. They intend to keep playing. They're certainly going to squeeze us (continue to actually) to get our house in order. What's wrong with that? Everyone wins. Short term money loss is not the only thing some countries think about, even if that is such a strange concept to us. China is in better shape to come out of a global depression than we are and they will own the world when they do. we're in such a depression now, remember. they aren't dumping anything. so your experiment doesnt work Lots of things we are seeing now have never happened before. Why would you think other things we have not seen before can't happen in the future? There has never been a time when other countries held this much of our debt. There's a difference between the unknown and the unknowable. One works to explore the unknown. The unknowable is best left to God. The rich people here will be fine, they already operate quite well in the global economy. It will be your middle class that becomes serfs in a neo-colonial America growing food, cutting wood and mining materials for China. they already are becoming serfs. they just dont realize it. a recent study shows that americans have NO idea how skewed income and wealth are in this country. and the right is certainly helping to keep this a secret Yet when I try to point it out you say I am wrong. Again you are standing to the right of me. |
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#9
posted to rec.boats
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wrote in message ... On Fri, 1 Oct 2010 10:38:08 -0700, "nom=de=plume" wrote: They are already braced to take that loss. China is smart enough to see our current system is unsustainable. The only question is whether they want to get out while the dollar is still strong or ride it down. They may take the tough love decision to squeeze us, just to force us into fiscal responsibility and insure a longer term market for their goods. Not true. They're in it for the money. They intend to keep playing. They're certainly going to squeeze us (continue to actually) to get our house in order. What's wrong with that? Everyone wins. We are not going to be any happier about it than the Greeks were when the Germans told them they had to cut their entitlements. The question is how that manifests itself. We have a horrible history of electing politicians who will not admit we are in trouble and promise to kick the can down the road. The Chinese can bankrupt us yet not take a Trillion buck loss. The value of the their debt holdings are decreasing with any inflation we get. And they may get 50% of the debt and win a war against evil America and not even have to shoot off a missile. We've spent a Trillion in the middle east on the longest war in US history and still no way to win. They spend $500 Billion and win. The ability to print money does not guarantee we can not go BK. If overspending by government made us richer, the USSR would still be the USSR and be the richest entity of all the nation states. |
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#10
posted to rec.boats
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wrote in message ... On Fri, 1 Oct 2010 10:38:08 -0700, "nom=de=plume" wrote: They are already braced to take that loss. China is smart enough to see our current system is unsustainable. The only question is whether they want to get out while the dollar is still strong or ride it down. They may take the tough love decision to squeeze us, just to force us into fiscal responsibility and insure a longer term market for their goods. Not true. They're in it for the money. They intend to keep playing. They're certainly going to squeeze us (continue to actually) to get our house in order. What's wrong with that? Everyone wins. We are not going to be any happier about it than the Greeks were when the Germans told them they had to cut their entitlements. The question is how that manifests itself. We have a horrible history of electing politicians who will not admit we are in trouble and promise to kick the can down the road. In any case, China isn't going to quit playing, which is the point. No one is particularly happy about getting fewer services for more dollars. |
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