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nom=de=plume[_2_] August 25th 10 01:09 AM

OT La Migra redux
 

"Wayne.B" wrote in message
...
On Tue, 24 Aug 2010 18:11:51 -0400, wrote:

They have a similar scenario for New York City with Long
Island Sound acting the same way.
The History Channel even did a show on it.


The risk to NYC is much less because the vast majority of the land is
well above sea level, unlike New Orleans which is mostly below. About
once every ten years or so lower Manhattan near the Wall Street area
gets flooded by a combination of high tides and strong north easterly
winds but there is little long term impact. Probably the biggest
property risk to to the south shores of both Long Island and
Conecticut. They are highly developed with a lot of expensive real
estate.


Maybe FEMA should force them to leave!



Wayne.B August 25th 10 01:35 AM

OT La Migra redux
 
On Tue, 24 Aug 2010 11:44:16 -0400, wrote:

Allowing a half million people to live below sea level is criminal
negligence.


Does anyone in the Netherlands know that?


nom=de=plume[_2_] August 25th 10 02:53 AM

OT La Migra redux
 

"Wayne.B" wrote in message
...
On Tue, 24 Aug 2010 11:44:16 -0400, wrote:

Allowing a half million people to live below sea level is criminal
negligence.


Does anyone in the Netherlands know that?


You're not allowed to mention Holland!



Wayne.B August 25th 10 06:01 AM

OT La Migra redux
 
On Tue, 24 Aug 2010 23:58:16 -0400, wrote:

On Tue, 24 Aug 2010 19:24:52 -0400, Wayne.B
wrote:

On Tue, 24 Aug 2010 18:11:51 -0400,
wrote:

They have a similar scenario for New York City with Long
Island Sound acting the same way.
The History Channel even did a show on it.


The risk to NYC is much less because the vast majority of the land is
well above sea level, unlike New Orleans which is mostly below. About
once every ten years or so lower Manhattan near the Wall Street area
gets flooded by a combination of high tides and strong north easterly
winds but there is little long term impact. Probably the biggest
property risk to to the south shores of both Long Island and
Conecticut. They are highly developed with a lot of expensive real
estate.



That is not really true Wayne. Certainly the streets are above sea
level but there are several floors below sea level in most of the
buildings in Manhattan. Of course you also have the subway system and
all the utility tunnels that are not real tolerant of salt water and
link the city together
If water ever goes over the battery and gets into the subway in
quantities the pumps can't handle, the place is screwed. There are
lots of building with direct subway access, even if the water never
gets above the road in mid town it could still flood plenty of
buildings, wipe out underground utilities, flood the sewers and
contaminate the water supply.
These people are saying a 10-15 foot storm surge is not unreasonable
if a cat 3 hit in L.I. Sound. Basically a Katrina storm


Most of Manhattan has fairly good elevation except for the Wall Street
area. I worked on Wall Street for many years and saw a few floods
along the way. The subways are amazingly resilient once power is
restored and things get pumped out. Fresh water comes down from the
Catskill Mountains north of the city and is quite resistent to
contamination on Wall St.

The hurricane of 1938 was similar to the scenario you are describing.
It came into eastern LIS as a Cat 3 and did enormous damage throughout
Long Island and southern New England. The storm surge in NYC knocked
out power and subways, flooded a bunch of sub-basements, etc, but
things were running again in fairly short order. Not true further
east however; places like Block Island still have very few large trees
as a result of that storm, and many coastal towns have hurricane
barriers and gates as a result. There are pictures in the lobby of
Edgartown Yacht Club on Martha's Vineyard that show incredible
devastation to the town and harbor.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Eng...ricane_of_1938


nom=de=plume[_2_] August 25th 10 06:06 AM

OT La Migra redux
 

wrote in message
...
On Tue, 24 Aug 2010 15:55:35 -0700, "nom=de=plume"
wrote:


wrote in message
. ..
On Tue, 24 Aug 2010 14:17:32 -0700, "nom=de=plume"
wrote:

Sure... the EDF and the NWF don't know what they're talking about.
Sure.


Expand those abbreviations and get back to me. Do you think there is
an agenda there?



Umm... environmental concern? Hard to tell from the names. LOL


They make their money (the F stands for "fund") getting people to do
things like restoring wetlands. They were saying the loss of wetlands
would endanger NOLA years before Katrina. The reality is the real
danger is the lake, not the bayou. That bay below Mississippi acts
like a funnel and pipes the water straight into the lake if the storm
goes that way.
We watch hurricanes around here like people watch football games and
we saw guys like Jim Cantore explaining exactly what ended up
happening a day before the storm hit. It becomes very easy to
understand as soon as you draw that cyclone over a map of the area.
I bet I can find one if you want to see it.
They have been talking abut this exact storm for decades before it
happened. They have a similar scenario for New York City with Long
Island Sound acting the same way.
The History Channel even did a show on it.


Sure. All environmental organizations are motivated by profit. All big
corporations are motivated by altruism. I get it.

They are both motivated by money, that is just a fact.
Most "non-profits" have directors who make plenty of money. They just
don't have to share anything with stockholders.


Come on. You're trying to compare Exxon-Mobile with the Environmental
Defense Fund? Continually making false equivalencies isn't much of an
argument.



nom=de=plume[_2_] August 25th 10 06:06 AM

OT La Migra redux
 

wrote in message
...
On Tue, 24 Aug 2010 17:09:49 -0700, "nom=de=plume"
wrote:


"Wayne.B" wrote in message
. ..
On Tue, 24 Aug 2010 18:11:51 -0400, wrote:

They have a similar scenario for New York City with Long
Island Sound acting the same way.
The History Channel even did a show on it.

The risk to NYC is much less because the vast majority of the land is
well above sea level, unlike New Orleans which is mostly below. About
once every ten years or so lower Manhattan near the Wall Street area
gets flooded by a combination of high tides and strong north easterly
winds but there is little long term impact. Probably the biggest
property risk to to the south shores of both Long Island and
Conecticut. They are highly developed with a lot of expensive real
estate.


Maybe FEMA should force them to leave!

I bet you FEMA forces them to follow the datum plane rules.
These people also have easy evacuation routes to high ground and the
resources to rebuild their houses in a code conforming way.


Better yet, FEMA should move them to one of their concentration/reeducation
camps.



nom=de=plume[_2_] August 25th 10 08:58 AM

OT La Migra redux
 

wrote in message
...
On Tue, 24 Aug 2010 22:06:05 -0700, "nom=de=plume"
wrote:


wrote in message
. ..
On Tue, 24 Aug 2010 15:55:35 -0700, "nom=de=plume"
wrote:


wrote in message
m...
On Tue, 24 Aug 2010 14:17:32 -0700, "nom=de=plume"
wrote:

Sure... the EDF and the NWF don't know what they're talking about.
Sure.


Expand those abbreviations and get back to me. Do you think there is
an agenda there?



Umm... environmental concern? Hard to tell from the names. LOL


They make their money (the F stands for "fund") getting people to do
things like restoring wetlands. They were saying the loss of wetlands
would endanger NOLA years before Katrina. The reality is the real
danger is the lake, not the bayou. That bay below Mississippi acts
like a funnel and pipes the water straight into the lake if the storm
goes that way.
We watch hurricanes around here like people watch football games and
we saw guys like Jim Cantore explaining exactly what ended up
happening a day before the storm hit. It becomes very easy to
understand as soon as you draw that cyclone over a map of the area.
I bet I can find one if you want to see it.
They have been talking abut this exact storm for decades before it
happened. They have a similar scenario for New York City with Long
Island Sound acting the same way.
The History Channel even did a show on it.


Sure. All environmental organizations are motivated by profit. All big
corporations are motivated by altruism. I get it.

They are both motivated by money, that is just a fact.
Most "non-profits" have directors who make plenty of money. They just
don't have to share anything with stockholders.


Come on. You're trying to compare Exxon-Mobile with the Environmental
Defense Fund? Continually making false equivalencies isn't much of an
argument.

I didn't start this. I was just pointing out that EDF is a
contribution driven organization with an agenda. You are the one who
started comparing them to for profit corporations.
They may know all there is to know about saving sea turtles and
spotted owls but I am not going to trust what they say about wetlands
destruction causing Katrina when it goes against the facts.
The wetlands were not in the path of the water that came into the
lower 9th ward. It came in from the north east
There is a great radar loop of the storm, here

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Hu...fall_radar.gif

See how that circulation is pushing the water along the coast of
Mississippi and into lake Pontchartrain.
For New Orleans it was the perfect storm. That circulation could not
have had a worse path.
The wet lands are on that peninsula you see popping up in the eye
right at the end of the loop (AKA the delta). If the eye was 70-80
miles to the west and the circulation was pushing water up into the
delta from the 3 o'clock position they might have had a case about the
wetlands but it would have been the river levees on the south side of
the city that would have failed because the wind would have been south
to north, not east to west as it was.

I have been in several of these things and the place you are in that
circulation determines which way the wind blows and makes all the
difference between whether you get lots of water or it blows the water
out. We had one here where the Estero River bed was virtually dry.


You said they had an agenda. I'd rather have the agenda be the public good
than stockholder value. I'm pretty sure that the non-profits in question
have a bit more credibility than an Exxon. Feel free to think otherwise.



nom=de=plume[_2_] August 25th 10 08:59 AM

OT La Migra redux
 

wrote in message
...
On Tue, 24 Aug 2010 22:06:42 -0700, "nom=de=plume"
wrote:


wrote in message
. ..
On Tue, 24 Aug 2010 17:09:49 -0700, "nom=de=plume"
wrote:


"Wayne.B" wrote in message
m...
On Tue, 24 Aug 2010 18:11:51 -0400, wrote:

They have a similar scenario for New York City with Long
Island Sound acting the same way.
The History Channel even did a show on it.

The risk to NYC is much less because the vast majority of the land is
well above sea level, unlike New Orleans which is mostly below. About
once every ten years or so lower Manhattan near the Wall Street area
gets flooded by a combination of high tides and strong north easterly
winds but there is little long term impact. Probably the biggest
property risk to to the south shores of both Long Island and
Conecticut. They are highly developed with a lot of expensive real
estate.


Maybe FEMA should force them to leave!

I bet you FEMA forces them to follow the datum plane rules.
These people also have easy evacuation routes to high ground and the
resources to rebuild their houses in a code conforming way.


Better yet, FEMA should move them to one of their
concentration/reeducation
camps.


You are just getting silly now.
BTW I understand you have a similar problem around Sacramento
with an ancient levee system that is likely to fail and flood a huge
area.


Really? Silly? How can you tell? Yet this is an actual claim by some on the
right.

So, should all those people who live behind levees in the delta have to have
their land filled with dirt?



nom=de=plume[_2_] August 25th 10 09:00 AM

OT La Migra redux
 

wrote in message
...
On Wed, 25 Aug 2010 01:01:29 -0400, Wayne.B
wrote:

On Tue, 24 Aug 2010 23:58:16 -0400, wrote:

On Tue, 24 Aug 2010 19:24:52 -0400, Wayne.B
wrote:

On Tue, 24 Aug 2010 18:11:51 -0400,
wrote:

They have a similar scenario for New York City with Long
Island Sound acting the same way.
The History Channel even did a show on it.

The risk to NYC is much less because the vast majority of the land is
well above sea level, unlike New Orleans which is mostly below. About
once every ten years or so lower Manhattan near the Wall Street area
gets flooded by a combination of high tides and strong north easterly
winds but there is little long term impact. Probably the biggest
property risk to to the south shores of both Long Island and
Conecticut. They are highly developed with a lot of expensive real
estate.


That is not really true Wayne. Certainly the streets are above sea
level but there are several floors below sea level in most of the
buildings in Manhattan. Of course you also have the subway system and
all the utility tunnels that are not real tolerant of salt water and
link the city together
If water ever goes over the battery and gets into the subway in
quantities the pumps can't handle, the place is screwed. There are
lots of building with direct subway access, even if the water never
gets above the road in mid town it could still flood plenty of
buildings, wipe out underground utilities, flood the sewers and
contaminate the water supply.
These people are saying a 10-15 foot storm surge is not unreasonable
if a cat 3 hit in L.I. Sound. Basically a Katrina storm


Most of Manhattan has fairly good elevation except for the Wall Street
area. I worked on Wall Street for many years and saw a few floods
along the way. The subways are amazingly resilient once power is
restored and things get pumped out. Fresh water comes down from the
Catskill Mountains north of the city and is quite resistent to
contamination on Wall St.

The hurricane of 1938 was similar to the scenario you are describing.
It came into eastern LIS as a Cat 3 and did enormous damage throughout
Long Island and southern New England. The storm surge in NYC knocked
out power and subways, flooded a bunch of sub-basements, etc, but
things were running again in fairly short order. Not true further
east however; places like Block Island still have very few large trees
as a result of that storm, and many coastal towns have hurricane
barriers and gates as a result. There are pictures in the lobby of
Edgartown Yacht Club on Martha's Vineyard that show incredible
devastation to the town and harbor.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Eng...ricane_of_1938


I am just going on what I have heard. They say New York is more
vulnerable than it was in 1938 and the hurricane could be more of a
direct hit.
You would certainly have a very low evacuation rate so there could be
10 million people trapped in the city.


I have a feeling that those living in the low-lands of Wall Street are
probably going to get all the protection and help they can buy.



BAR[_2_] August 25th 10 12:24 PM

OT La Migra redux
 
In article ,
says...

On Tue, 24 Aug 2010 11:44:16 -0400,
wrote:

Allowing a half million people to live below sea level is criminal
negligence.


Does anyone in the Netherlands know that?


They are in it for the agriculture. Those mean nasty people trying to
feed their population.


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