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Okay, for the few that still thinks global warming isn't man made:
Please read completely. Don't kill the messenger, don't give anecdotal
crap, but respond with good, solid science to refute each of the points. http://www.commondreams.org/headlines05/0219-01.htm |
Okay, for the few that still thinks global warming isn't man made:
"NotNow" wrote in message
... Please read completely. Don't kill the messenger, don't give anecdotal crap, but respond with good, solid science to refute each of the points. http://www.commondreams.org/headlines05/0219-01.htm Scientists? You're relying on scientists??? -- Nom=de=Plume |
Okay, for the few that still thinks global warming isn't man made:
On Wed, 04 Nov 2009 13:11:58 -0500, NotNow wrote:
Please read completely. Don't kill the messenger, don't give anecdotal crap, but respond with good, solid science to refute each of the points. http://www.commondreams.org/headlines05/0219-01.htm http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pacific...al_oscillation I'll condense it for you. 1750: PDO displays an unusually strong oscillation.[2] 1905: After a strong swing, PDO changed to a "warm" phase. 1946: PDO changed to a "cool" phase. [See the blue section of the graph on the right] 1977: PDO changed to a "warm" phase.[3] 1998: PDO index showed several years of "cool" values, but did not remain in that pattern.[4] 2008: The early stages of a cool phase of the basin-wide Pacific Decadal Oscillation |
Okay, for the few that still thinks global warming isn't man made:
On Wed, 04 Nov 2009 13:11:58 -0500, NotNow wrote:
Please read completely. Don't kill the messenger, don't give anecdotal crap, but respond with good, solid science to refute each of the points. http://www.commondreams.org/headlines05/0219-01.htm When have you responded to the myriad of postings presented to you? Besides, you present four year old garbage and call it science. Wake up, Loogy. -- Loogy says: Conservative = Good Liberal = Bad I agree. John H |
Okay, for the few that still thinks global warming isn't man made:
On Wed, 04 Nov 2009 13:11:58 -0500, NotNow wrote:
Please read completely. Don't kill the messenger, don't give anecdotal crap, but respond with good, solid science to refute each of the points. http://www.commondreams.org/headlines05/0219-01.htm Common dreams? You've got that right. -- Loogy says: Conservative = Good Liberal = Bad I agree. John H |
Okay, for the few that still thinks global warming isn't man
On Nov 4, 6:30 pm, John H. wrote:
On Wed, 04 Nov 2009 13:11:58 -0500, NotNow wrote: Please read completely. Don't kill the messenger, don't give anecdotal crap, but respond with good, solid science to refute each of the points. http://www.commondreams.org/headlines05/0219-01.htm Common dreams? You've got that right. -- Loogy says: Conservative = Good Liberal = Bad I agree. John H The only "evidence" they present for it being human caused is a model, that really is all they give there as evidence. By varying paramaters in a model, I can make it prove ANYTHING. |
Okay, for the few that still thinks global warming isn't man made:
On Wed, 4 Nov 2009 15:50:32 -0800 (PST), Frogwatch
wrote: On Nov 4, 6:30 pm, John H. wrote: On Wed, 04 Nov 2009 13:11:58 -0500, NotNow wrote: Please read completely. Don't kill the messenger, don't give anecdotal crap, but respond with good, solid science to refute each of the points. http://www.commondreams.org/headlines05/0219-01.htm Common dreams? You've got that right. -- Loogy says: Conservative = Good Liberal = Bad I agree. John H The only "evidence" they present for it being human caused is a model, that really is all they give there as evidence. By varying paramaters in a model, I can make it prove ANYTHING. By golly, maybe there IS a way to 'prove' pigs can fly! -- Loogy says: Conservative = Good Liberal = Bad I agree. John H |
Okay, for the few that still thinks global warming isn't man made:
On Wed, 04 Nov 2009 18:14:22 -0500, Tom Francis - SWSports
wrote: On Wed, 04 Nov 2009 13:11:58 -0500, NotNow wrote: Please read completely. Don't kill the messenger, don't give anecdotal crap, but respond with good, solid science to refute each of the points. http://www.commondreams.org/headlines05/0219-01.htm http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pacific...al_oscillation I'll condense it for you. 1750: PDO displays an unusually strong oscillation.[2] 1905: After a strong swing, PDO changed to a "warm" phase. 1946: PDO changed to a "cool" phase. [See the blue section of the graph on the right] 1977: PDO changed to a "warm" phase.[3] 1998: PDO index showed several years of "cool" values, but did not remain in that pattern.[4] 2008: The early stages of a cool phase of the basin-wide Pacific Decadal Oscillation Sorry dude - hit the send button a little fast. Click on the Senate Testimony link. http://windfarms.wordpress.com/2008/...tions-not-co2/ Here's another - a little more condensed, but fairly accurate. http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?p...=aU.evtnk6DPo# Here's a key point to keep in mind. The relationship between global temperature and solar activity is confused by the difference between global temperature and surface temperature. Global temperature is the average temperature of the oceans - simple fact because they are Earth's heat sink. As we've all know ocean temperatures are not evenly distributed. The Atlantic and Pacific oceans both experience oscillations, where unusually warm or cold waters take turns at the ocean surface. It's very similar to lake water turnover in fact. Lake Lanier, one that you're very familiar with, exhibits this effect as well. This surface water is a primary determinant of the earth's surface temperature, so the ocean oscillations cause surface temperature to oscillate with respect to the actual local and/or global temperature. We also need to account for the largest source of raw energy which is the Sun. It's no accident that, coincident with normal warm/cold cycles, that the increasedecrease in sunspots and solar prominences, mass coronal ejections and solar flares. The high magnetic energy components of these various solar events are very coincident with Earth weather and weather patterns. One of the more interesting studies done in 2007, which I can't find on the web but I'll keep looking - at the minimum I'll be glad to send you a copy of it, studied a solar event that occured in 1998 and it's effect on weather patterns. It was a major mass ejection that caused an unusual wet/dry pattern in the Northern Hemisphere. There is also some interest in what are called Milankovitch Cycles - basically eccentricities in Earth's orbit around the sun. Oddly, these cycles also seem to correspond to warm/cold cycles and long term Earth weather patterns. Ok, your turn - let's talk some science. |
Okay, for the few that still thinks global warming isn't man made:
On Wed, 4 Nov 2009 15:50:32 -0800 (PST), Frogwatch
wrote: On Nov 4, 6:30 pm, John H. wrote: On Wed, 04 Nov 2009 13:11:58 -0500, NotNow wrote: Please read completely. Don't kill the messenger, don't give anecdotal crap, but respond with good, solid science to refute each of the points. http://www.commondreams.org/headlines05/0219-01.htm Common dreams? You've got that right. -- Loogy says: Conservative = Good Liberal = Bad I agree. John H The only "evidence" they present for it being human caused is a model, that really is all they give there as evidence. By varying paramaters in a model, I can make it prove ANYTHING. Er..that's what a mathematical/statistical model is supposed to do. By manipulating variables, you obtain different results - that's why it's called a model. You're taking a given set of parameters and varying them to obtain a result. Now can you develop a model that will produce the results you want? Certainly - it's easy enough to do if the parameters and data sets are limited and confined to already established results. A good exampe is Dr Michael Mann's GRL paper (the infamous "hockey stick"), which, in one scientific coup, overturned the whole of climate history. It was an essentially overlaid "graph" based on past temperature max/mins and a set of tree ring data that was tightly controlled. Within these limited data sets, Mann purportedly used a standard analysis methodology called Principal Component Analysis which is a fairly standard type of evaluative tool. PCA utilizes a technique called normalization in which all data sets are normalized within certain parameters. What Mann did was supress the data that did not support his theory and enhanced the data that did. It was totally improper, unethical and unscientific. When the data used, even as limited as it was, is normalized within accepted parameters, the hockey stick goes away. So my point is that you can build a model using standard techniques that will produce a unknown result or you can build a model using parameters outside the accepted technique pool to produce a wanted result. |
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