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#1
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Let's assume, for the sake of argument, that Al Gore's worst predictions are
absolutely correct, and that *at projected rates of increase* in CO2 levels, a major catastrophy looms on the horizon about 50-100 years from now. Is there any reason to believe that CO2 will actually increase at his projected rates? Clearly his model depends entirely upon a world which continues to exploit fossil fuels as its primary source of energy. But the fact is that the world is already seeking alternatives to fossil fuels for a variety of reasons, both socio-political and environmental. Geothermal, wind, solar and hydrogen are all currently being developed to replace hydrocarbon-based fossil fuels, with it being entirely likely that within a 50 year period most developed nations will no longer depend upon coal and oil to meet their energy demands. It is possible that some of this development is in response to cries of catastrophic Global Climate Change in our future. But equally important is the view that the world will run out of oil, so humanity is seeking alternatives. A world which does not rely upon the exploitation of oil reserves in highly-volatile regions where the West is not welcome will be not only cleaner, having less negative impact upon the environment, but also safer as we will have no reason to exploit those middle-eastern oil reserves. But just as important and significant is that as we shift away from hydrocarbon-based fuels, the impact of man-made CO2 will become virtually meaningless. And this is the direction in which we are already heading -- making Al Gore's demands of restricting, regulating and taxing CO2 emissions in order to reduce them, utterly redundant an unnecessary. |
#2
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On Mar 27, 9:43 am, "KLC Lewis" wrote:
Let's assume, for the sake of argument, that Al Gore's worst predictions are absolutely correct, and that *at projected rates of increase* in CO2 levels, a major catastrophy looms on the horizon about 50-100 years from now. Is there any reason to believe that CO2 will actually increase at his projected rates? Clearly his model depends entirely upon a world which continues to exploit fossil fuels as its primary source of energy. But the fact is that the world is already seeking alternatives to fossil fuels for a variety of reasons, both socio-political and environmental. Geothermal, wind, solar and hydrogen are all currently being developed to replace hydrocarbon-based fossil fuels, with it being entirely likely that within a 50 year period most developed nations will no longer depend upon coal and oil to meet their energy demands. It is possible that some of this development is in response to cries of catastrophic Global Climate Change in our future. But equally important is the view that the world will run out of oil, so humanity is seeking alternatives. A world which does not rely upon the exploitation of oil reserves in highly-volatile regions where the West is not welcome will be not only cleaner, having less negative impact upon the environment, but also safer as we will have no reason to exploit those middle-eastern oil reserves. But just as important and significant is that as we shift away from hydrocarbon-based fuels, the impact of man-made CO2 will become virtually meaningless. And this is the direction in which we are already heading -- making Al Gore's demands of restricting, regulating and taxing CO2 emissions in order to reduce them, utterly redundant an unnecessary. you might take a look at the amount of R&D money going to alturnative energy. the tiny amount is not going to amount to jack in time to keep the bottom 50% of the scale alive. so folks are gonna start burning anything to keep warm. plastic, tires, rubber, peat, lowgrade coal, and anything else you could imagine. think what Boston could look like on a bad winter. |
#3
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![]() "Two meter troll" wrote in message oups.com... you might take a look at the amount of R&D money going to alturnative energy. the tiny amount is not going to amount to jack in time to keep the bottom 50% of the scale alive. so folks are gonna start burning anything to keep warm. plastic, tires, rubber, peat, lowgrade coal, and anything else you could imagine. think what Boston could look like on a bad winter. And 50 years ago, how much was being spent on the development of hydrogen fuel cells? We know immensely more now than we did then -- I have every reason to expect that we will know exponentially more 50 years from now than we did then. Particularly when you take into account that the average desktop (or even laptop) computer today is more powerful than that which was possessed by even the largest financial corporations fifty years ago. Technology is growing so fast today that it's virtually impossible to keep up with it. 50 years ago, you could buy a color television and it wouldn't be obsolete for at least another 20 years. And as our technology improves -- particularly in the area of computers -- other advances that we cannot even imagine today will suddenly appear. Darwin Saves! Evolve or Perish! |
#4
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On Mar 27, 12:33 pm, "KLC Lewis" wrote:
"Two meter troll" wrote in ooglegroups.com... you might take a look at the amount of R&D money going to alturnative energy. the tiny amount is not going to amount to jack in time to keep the bottom 50% of the scale alive. so folks are gonna start burning anything to keep warm. plastic, tires, rubber, peat, lowgrade coal, and anything else you could imagine. think what Boston could look like on a bad winter. And 50 years ago, how much was being spent on the development of hydrogen fuel cells? We know immensely more now than we did then -- I have every reason to expect that we will know exponentially more 50 years from now than we did then. Particularly when you take into account that the average desktop (or even laptop) computer today is more powerful than that which was possessed by even the largest financial corporations fifty years ago. Technology is growing so fast today that it's virtually impossible to keep up with it. 50 years ago, you could buy a color television and it wouldn't be obsolete for at least another 20 years. And as our technology improves -- particularly in the area of computers -- other advances that we cannot even imagine today will suddenly appear. Darwin Saves! Evolve or Perish! yep and its burning oil in direct proportion; i am not so sure we are going to have 50 more years before conditions become unstopable. I dont argue that the models are wrong IMO they likely are; my argument is can we afford to make a bet at this point. since the effect is exponentual; our margen for error is very slim; I like to stack the odds in my favor. I think of it as an at sea problem; I cannot breathe water so my safe place is my boat. if my boat is burning either i put the fire out or i jump into the sea and die. this is what we have with GW; the question is no longer if its happening it is that it is happening and what do we do to fix it. |
#5
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posted to rec.boats.cruising
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![]() "Two meter troll" wrote in message oups.com... On Mar 27, 12:33 pm, "KLC Lewis" wrote: And 50 years ago, how much was being spent on the development of hydrogen fuel cells? We know immensely more now than we did then -- I have every reason to expect that we will know exponentially more 50 years from now than we did then. Particularly when you take into account that the average desktop (or even laptop) computer today is more powerful than that which was possessed by even the largest financial corporations fifty years ago. Technology is growing so fast today that it's virtually impossible to keep up with it. 50 years ago, you could buy a color television and it wouldn't be obsolete for at least another 20 years. And as our technology improves -- particularly in the area of computers -- other advances that we cannot even imagine today will suddenly appear. Darwin Saves! Evolve or Perish! yep and its burning oil in direct proportion; i am not so sure we are going to have 50 more years before conditions become unstopable. I dont argue that the models are wrong IMO they likely are; my argument is can we afford to make a bet at this point. since the effect is exponentual; our margen for error is very slim; I like to stack the odds in my favor. I think of it as an at sea problem; I cannot breathe water so my safe place is my boat. if my boat is burning either i put the fire out or i jump into the sea and die. this is what we have with GW; the question is no longer if its happening it is that it is happening and what do we do to fix it. Some are convinced that GW is happening and we are the primary cause; some are convinced that GW is happening and we are an ancillary cause; some are convinced that GW isn't happening at all. Even if we assume the worst, is it necessary for us to act TODAY, on imperfect data, promoting impossible goals with unforeseeable consequences, or would it be better to continue developing alternative energy sources while continuing to study GW for several more years and act upon better, more long-term data? I suggest that the latter is wiser than the former. |
#6
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posted to rec.boats.cruising
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In article ,
KLC Lewis wrote: Some are convinced that GW is happening and we are the primary cause; some are convinced that GW is happening and we are an ancillary cause; some are convinced that GW isn't happening at all. Even if we assume the worst, is it necessary for us to act TODAY, on imperfect data, promoting impossible goals with unforeseeable consequences, or would it be better to continue developing alternative energy sources while continuing to study GW for several more years and act upon better, more long-term data? I suggest that the latter is wiser than the former. Why not just act responsibly... increase the CAFE standards. Seems to me that 4 percent improvement in new car mileage per year for the next several years would do more than just about everything else to reduce our dependence on foreign oil and reduce greenhouse gasses, all the while being an example to other countries and perhaps bringing back the US auto industry. Unfortunately, the big car companies fight this tooth and nail and instead promote ethanol which will, at best, have minimal effect on our consuption of fossil fuel. -- Capt. JG @@ www.sailnow.com |
#7
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posted to rec.boats.cruising
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On Mar 27, 2:07 pm, "KLC Lewis" wrote:
"Two meter troll" wrote in ooglegroups.com... On Mar 27, 12:33 pm, "KLC Lewis" wrote: And 50 years ago, how much was being spent on the development of hydrogen fuel cells? We know immensely more now than we did then -- I have every reason to expect that we will know exponentially more 50 years from now than we did then. Particularly when you take into account that the average desktop (or even laptop) computer today is more powerful than that which was possessed by even the largest financial corporations fifty years ago. Technology is growing so fast today that it's virtually impossible to keep up with it. 50 years ago, you could buy a color television and it wouldn't be obsolete for at least another 20 years. And as our technology improves -- particularly in the area of computers -- other advances that we cannot even imagine today will suddenly appear. Darwin Saves! Evolve or Perish! yep and its burning oil in direct proportion; i am not so sure we are going to have 50 more years before conditions become unstopable. I dont argue that the models are wrong IMO they likely are; my argument is can we afford to make a bet at this point. since the effect is exponentual; our margen for error is very slim; I like to stack the odds in my favor. I think of it as an at sea problem; I cannot breathe water so my safe place is my boat. if my boat is burning either i put the fire out or i jump into the sea and die. this is what we have with GW; the question is no longer if its happening it is that it is happening and what do we do to fix it. Some are convinced that GW is happening and we are the primary cause; some are convinced that GW is happening and we are an ancillary cause; some are convinced that GW isn't happening at all. Even if we assume the worst, is it necessary for us to act TODAY, on imperfect data, promoting impossible goals with unforeseeable consequences, or would it be better to continue developing alternative energy sources while continuing to study GW for several more years and act upon better, more long-term data? I suggest that the latter is wiser than the former. respectfully the Some are a majority; that it is happening. the few who are not convinced are by and large not doing sciance in the field. we are a huge part of the cause looking at the data nothing else has the co2 and methane outputs of human industry and transportation. We have a debt we best start paying it now because we are going to be paying intrest for a long while. so yes starting today is better than letting the debt get bigger. How much long-term Data do you need we have almost 500 years of observed data that can be varified and another thousand in unvarified observation. and then we have Ice core data back 60.000 years. how much longer do you want to wait? I have kids and soon will have grand kids I figure taking care of this now means my grand kids have a chance. |
#8
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"KLC Lewis" wrote in
et: act upon better, more long-term data? I suggest that the latter is wiser than the former. We have long term data back several million years. But, alas, that data shows we are in one of the coldest eras of the planet's history, so that data MUST be ignored or someone is gonna cut off our government grand checks. That would be the REAL catastrophy, not global warming, which is a lie. Global Warming is an INDUSTRY, not a fact. Download "The Great Global Warming Swindle" from alt.binaries.multimedia.documentaries newsgroup. It was broadcast, I think, on ITN in the UK. Larry -- Alltel Axcess TV - 10 minutes of TV then it dumps you until you click to get 10 minutes more. It SUCKS! |
#9
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"Two meter troll" wrote in
oups.com: think what Boston could look like on a bad winter. There won't BE a "bad winter"! Boston will be 84F, according to the global warmers! This is not a downside....unless you're, like our President and his friends, in the ENERGY business. Larry -- Alltel Axcess TV - 10 minutes of TV then it dumps you until you click to get 10 minutes more. It SUCKS! |
#10
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"KLC Lewis" wrote in
: Is there any reason to believe that CO2 will actually increase at his projected rates? None. Download the movie from ITN in UK called "The Great Global Warming Swindle" and see the overwhelming truth, from the scientists not the people living off global warming terror. The CO2 in the atmosphere has risen from 0.52% to 0.54% since the industrial revolution. The most interesting graphics on the movie is when one of the professors, I forget which one, overlays the CO2 in the air with the temperature over the last X thousand years. When the temperature rises, CO2 in the air rises AFTERWARDS, not before. When the temperature falls, CO2 in the air falls AFTERWARDS, not before. This is caused by the oceans. As the top levels of the oceans warm with the air, the ocean animals rapidly multiply, filling the ocean with CO2, which the oceans' massive surfaces transfer into the air. When the oceans cool, as the planet cools, the opposite happens. This has been going on for millions of years.....not since man invented the 427 Chevy with dual exhausts and 6 carbs. Global warming, as you'll see from the Earth's many records in the movie...is caused by the SUN, that big thermonuclear bomb that's quite close, by astronomical standards, to the Earth. CO2 FOLLOWS its warming and cooling...not causes it! Of course, without "global warming" there is no "global warming government spending/grants" and all the trappings of $$$$ that goes with it. Once The Beast is convinced of something, The Beast throws billions at it, creating its own vacuum to consume everything The Beast throws at it. Oh, and HIV doesn't cause AIDS, either. HIV is an ancient virus humans have been passing on to each other for thousands of years. ALL AIDS patients don't have HIV, just some of them. ALL HIV carriers don't get AIDS, either, only a small percentage of them. So, HIV can't cause AIDS. But, just like Global Warming, we have this HIV/AIDS industry that DEPENDS on The Beast pouring money into it, so it doesn't matter whether HIV causes AIDS or not...as long as The Beast thinks it does...the money will flow, ad nauseum, for decades. Can we afford to find a cure for Cancer? Heart Diseases? Common Cold? or any of the other massive moneymakers that buy fancy cars, yachts, jets, beachfront mansions for doctors? What? Are you CRAZY?!! Anyone who finds a cure is DEAD MEAT! Larry -- Alltel Axcess TV - 10 minutes of TV then it dumps you until you click to get 10 minutes more. It SUCKS! |
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