Ty Lenol wrote:
http://www.editorandpublisher.com/ea..._id=1003548744

If you want to know what Joe's going to do, look at what's in Joe's own
self interest. If he jumps ship now and the Dems pick up seats in 2008,
he's meat. Given the fact that the Republicans have 21 senate seats at
stake in 2008 and the Democrats have just 12, the odds don't look very
good for old Joe jumping.

But it is in his interest to *threaten* to bolt, cause everytime he does
it he wrings concessions out of the Dem leadership. So expect to see
lots of threats that are never carried out.

BTW, there's a subtle difference between the current hypothetical
situation and when Jeffords switched in 2001 - when Jeffords switched
they re-voted the leadership and re-structured the committee
assignments. Apparently that wouldn't happen if Lieberman switched.
(Why? Ask the senate parliamentarian.) So that's another disincentive
to switch.

//Walt