Perfect Storm
 

Look at the symmetry and the nice eye on this baby!

http://www.weather.com/maps/maptype/..._animated.html

I'm glad the thing is going to head up to the New York area.

S.Simon

Perfect Storm
 

that could change real fast.... I hope it just stays out to sea

NH_/)_

"Simple Simon" wrote in message
...
Look at the symmetry and the nice eye on this baby!


http://www.weather.com/maps/maptype/..._animated.html

I'm glad the thing is going to head up to the New York area.

S.Simon

Perfect Storm
 

"Shen44" wrote in message ...
Subject: Perfect Storm
From: "Simple Simon"
Date: 09/12/2003 10:23 Pacific Standard Time
Message-id:

Look at the symmetry and the nice eye on this baby!

True, but only a fool or amateur like yourself, would try to estimate it's
final direction at this stage.
For all we know, lucky fool that you are, you'll be right.....but not for the
right reasons.


You live up there in the New York area, don't you?
Bwahahahahaha! Better batten down the hatches.

Some people have such limited intellects that they see
most everything as 'luck' simply because they don't have
the understanding it requires to see cause and effect and
correlations betweens systems and physical forces.

It doesn't take a rocket scientist to look at weather maps
and project highly likely long-term paths for hurricanes.
The weather service would have people believe they have
some sort of magical lock on understanding. This is just
not the case. Anyone with an above average mind who
lives and studies the weather on a daily basis can do
just as well as the so-called professionals and better than
they can provided one has highly superior intellect like
I do.

S.Simon - knows his stuff - beats the tugboat captains
at their own game.

Perfect Storm
 

Subject: Perfect Storm
From: "Simple Simon"


You live up there in the New York area, don't you?
Bwahahahahaha! Better batten down the hatches.

Some people have such limited intellects that they see
most everything as 'luck' simply because they don't have
the understanding it requires to see cause and effect and
correlations betweens systems and physical forces.

Whereas others, such as yourself, have such over inflated opinions of their
supposed intellect, that they make foolish predictions based on scanty
information.

It doesn't take a rocket scientist to look at weather maps
and project highly likely long-term paths for hurricanes.
The weather service would have people believe they have
some sort of magical lock on understanding. This is just
not the case. Anyone with an above average mind who
lives and studies the weather on a daily basis can do
just as well as the so-called professionals and better than
they can provided one has highly superior intellect like
I do.

LOL More like .... provided you guess better than than they do.


Shen

Perfect Storm
 

Shenn44,

You're a real 'tard! It's a fact that even imbeciles realize
a prediction is nothing but an educated guess. I'd say
this puts you below imbecile on the intelligence scale.

Look at the weather maps, fool! You will see a high
pressure blocking Isabel from hitting the mainland.
You will also note that it's proceeding east at a pace
which will move it out of Isabel's way just in time for
her to slam into Long Island Sound by going up the
back side of the system. The only thing New York
has going for it is there's another system in the Midwest
and moving east that might just get to New York a day
sooner than Isabel in which case this system will push
Isabel out to sea. I'm betting (and hoping) the Midwest
system will arrive just a little too late. I want Booby to
experience some REAL wind and seas for once.

I could be wrong but I rarely am. I'm not bragging -
just stating facts.

S.Simon - amateur weather prognosticator who's better
than all the professionals with the possible
exception of Joe *******i.

"Shen44" a stupid idiot,fat fool, liar and wife beater who falsely \claims
being an Unlimited Master wrote in message ...
Subject: Perfect Storm
From: "Simple Simon"


You live up there in the New York area, don't you?
Bwahahahahaha! Better batten down the hatches.

Some people have such limited intellects that they see
most everything as 'luck' simply because they don't have
the understanding it requires to see cause and effect and
correlations betweens systems and physical forces.

Whereas others, such as yourself, have such over inflated opinions of their
supposed intellect, that they make foolish predictions based on scanty
information.

It doesn't take a rocket scientist to look at weather maps
and project highly likely long-term paths for hurricanes.
The weather service would have people believe they have
some sort of magical lock on understanding. This is just
not the case. Anyone with an above average mind who
lives and studies the weather on a daily basis can do
just as well as the so-called professionals and better than
they can provided one has highly superior intellect like
I do.

LOL More like .... provided you guess better than than they do.


Shen

Perfect Storm
 

Subject: Perfect Storm
From: "Simple Simon"
Date: 09/13/2003 14:16 Pacific Standard Time
Message-id:


Shenn44,

You're a real 'tard! It's a fact that even imbeciles realize
a prediction is nothing but an educated guess. I'd say
this puts you below imbecile on the intelligence scale.

ROFL Fools such as yourself think that one degree in English, makes them an
educated guesser in all subjects.

Look at the weather maps, fool! You will see a high
pressure blocking Isabel from hitting the mainland.
You will also note that it's proceeding east at a pace
which will move it out of Isabel's way just in time for
her to slam into Long Island Sound by going up the
back side of the system. The only thing New York
has going for it is there's another system in the Midwest
and moving east that might just get to New York a day
sooner than Isabel in which case this system will push
Isabel out to sea. I'm betting (and hoping) the Midwest
system will arrive just a little too late. I want Booby to
experience some REAL wind and seas for once.

We must be looking at different weather maps. I'm seeing a string of lows,
beginning to march across the country, which puts the direction it will finally
take still up for grabs.

I could be wrong and normally, am. I'm not bragging -
just stating facts.

S.Simon - amateur weather prognosticator with little or no experience.


Shen

Perfect Storm
 

wrote in message ...

Anyone who has seriously studied the science knows that anything beyond 3 days
is pretty much a WAG. 5 days is no better than reading tea leaves.

Billy Boy, Bobsprit is right about you. You're just plain dumb!

Clean the wax (being kind calling feces wax) out of your ears.
The National Weather Services this year started giving four and
five day track forecasts for hurricanes.

S.Simon - aware of many things about which the majority of this
group remains unaware.

Perfect Storm
 

They can't help it if they don't have my remote viewing
abilities but at least they made educated guesses based
on computer projections. Some of these programs are
very sophisticated. They are not the sort of thing one
can run on a home computer. You need a Cray!

What amazes me is I, with only my trained brain, can
look at a weather map and satellite images, give it a
few minutes thought, do some work with my dividers
and look at the big picture and in less time than it takes
the models, by far, I can match or beat their predictions
the majority of the time. When things are a bit uncertain
they hedge and say a storm is too far from land to predict
while I predict by what I see not caring how many days
from land the storm may be. I'm that confident and that
GOOD!

S.Simon - almost as good at weather prognostication as
sailing safely and sanely while teaching even
the professionals how it should be done.


wrote in message ...
On Sun, 14 Sep 2003 10:17:59 -0400, "Simple Simon" wrote:


wrote in message ...

Anyone who has seriously studied the science knows that anything beyond 3 days
is pretty much a WAG. 5 days is no better than reading tea leaves.

Billy Boy, Bobsprit is right about you. You're just plain dumb!

Clean the wax (being kind calling feces wax) out of your ears.
The National Weather Services this year started giving four and
five day track forecasts for hurricanes.


And they are WAG's. All they can say is that IF conditions stay exactly as they
are at this moment, this is what MAY happen. That's commonly called speculation.

BB

Perfect Storm
 

Look at the weather maps, fool! You will see a high
pressure blocking Isabel from hitting the mainland.

That's a pretty heady prediction Bud since all the weather gerus say there's
nothing coming that will prevent it from hitting.


S/V Express 30 "Ringmaster"
Trains are a winter sport

Perfect Storm
 

Hey Neal,

Doug and his wife just started a three week cruise up to the Chesapeak.
It looks like they and the storm are going to meet a Hatteras. I hope
they find a hole to tuck into.

I really hope they get thru it. Even hope they change their vacation
plans.

Ole Thom

Perfect Storm
 

Doug King? Bwahahahahahaha! It couldn't happen to
a bigger moron than Doug. There's very little protection
around Capt Hatteras. I believe they could turn and
go west up the Peace river quite a ways and be a little safter
up there but there's nothing but lowland around - nothing
to stop those heavy winds. I hope they get caught in
Chesapeake Bay and try to anchor. If the center of
Isabel goes right up the Bay like several of the models
show it doing then they will get horrendous winds from
reversing directions and will drag - hopefully so far up
the mud flats that they need a Sikorski Sky Crane
to get them off afterwards if there's anything worth
salvaging.

S.Simon - Trawlers deserve an awful fate.


"Thom Stewart" wrote in message ...
Hey Neal,

Doug and his wife just started a three week cruise up to the Chesapeak.
It looks like they and the storm are going to meet a Hatteras. I hope
they find a hole to tuck into.

I really hope they get thru it. Even hope they change their vacation
plans.

Ole Thom

Perfect Storm
 

Put the rest of the quote in, weenie, and then
go prepare for the biggest storm you've seen.
I doubt your flimsy boat will come through without
major damage and it'll serve you right for not taking
me seriously.

Here's the entire quote:

"Look at the weather maps, fool! You will see a high
pressure blocking Isabel from hitting the mainland.
You will also note that it's proceeding east at a pace
which will move it out of Isabel's way just in time for
her to slam into Long Island Sound by going up the
back side of the system."

That qoute was posted two days ago on 9-13. The
high has since moved almost out of the area like I said
and now, also like I said, the road is clear until the next
low pressure area passes and the high behind it gets
established. This is gonna be too late to recurve Isabel
out to sea but I do think it's gonna get there a little sooner
than the forecasters think thus pushing Isabel a little more
towards Booby's dock where it will slam him senseless.
I do hope he puts his boat out on a mooring like he's claiming
he might. With Isabell it'll be bye bye mooring and bye
bye Alien - or should I say good riddance.

Bwahahahahahaahhahahahahaha

S.Simon - hurricanes are a summer sport

"SAIL LOCO" wrote in message ...
Look at the weather maps, fool! You will see a high
pressure blocking Isabel from hitting the mainland.

That's a pretty heady prediction Bud since all the weather gerus say there's
nothing coming that will prevent it from hitting.

Perfect Storm
 

Shen44 wrote:

Subject: Perfect Storm
From: "Simple Simon"
Date: 09/12/2003 10:23 Pacific Standard Time
Message-id:

Look at the symmetry and the nice eye on this baby!

True, but only a fool or amateur like yourself, would try to estimate it's
final direction at this stage.

Fool or not, official predictions ignore the 3rd derivative - the rate
at which the rate of course changes if you will. That's why their
"updates" keep moving the landfall farther north. Factor it in and the
eye goes right up Lon Gyland sound, across Conn and Mass Bay and into
the Atlantic

Perfect Storm
 

"Vito" wrote in message ...
Shen44 wrote:

Subject: Perfect Storm
From: "Simple Simon"
Date: 09/12/2003 10:23 Pacific Standard Time
Message-id:

Look at the symmetry and the nice eye on this baby!

True, but only a fool or amateur like yourself, would try to estimate it's
final direction at this stage.

Fool or not, official predictions ignore the 3rd derivative - the rate
at which the rate of course changes if you will. That's why their
"updates" keep moving the landfall farther north. Factor it in and the
eye goes right up Lon Gyland sound, across Conn and Mass Bay and into
the Atlantic

So much depends upon timing. Projections are all based on
where a storm is and when it's there. This includes forward
progress as well as direction. Right now Isabel is putzing around
and slowing down more than was accounted for in earlier
weather service forecasts. If it keeps going as slow or
slows down even more then tracks will change even more the
further it's projected into the future. . .

You're correct in your assessment that the longer Isabel takes
to follow the projected track the more the track will have to
be adjusted north. The majority of the tacks take Isabel right
up the Chesapeake Bay. If Isabel doesn't start speeding up
these tracks will all be shown more east from their present
positions. I think BAM -M is beginning to be more and
more viable even though it is the only one out of the 'norm'

http://maps.wunderground.com/data/im...0313_model.gif


S.Simon

Perfect Storm
 

Simple Simon wrote:

...... I think BAM -M is beginning to be more and
more viable even though it is the only one out of the 'norm'

Oooops! A few high pressure ridges moving SW out on No Europe and oy!
there it goes across West Va.