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Harryk

wrote:
On Fri, 13 May 2011 13:21:39 -0400, wrote:

On Fri, 13 May 2011 12:58:50 -0400, wrote:

On Fri, 13 May 2011 12:29:20 -0400,
sent the following message
Ron Paul, the Texas congressman, declared his (third) candidacy for
president Friday on ‘Good Morning America.’ The ‘intellectual
grandfather’ of the tea party movement is a constitutional purist
who’s
as popular among his fervent followers as he is disliked by the GOP
establishment. He’s a dark horse pushing for an upset victory.
- - -

Ah, yes...Crazy Ron...about as much chance of winning the
presidency as,
say, Newt, the Donald, the Sara, the Michele, the Mitt, et cetera.
It seems everybody wants to get in on the movement to neuter BHO.
This is just making Obama stronger. If there is a split field he can
win with 40-45% (like Clinton in 92 with 43%)
I bet we see an establishment GOP candidate like Romney and a 3d party
running someone like Gary Johnson (NM).
Ron Paul will not be a serious candidate

I think the GOP has written this cycle off too, just like they did in
08.
They are still looking for a credible candidate.
They really need to find a Latino in 16 who can make the bankers happy
and still appeals to the redneck base. He will have to be able to
speak English without an accent and still be able to put commercials
on Univision/Telemundo in perfect Spanish.
The rednecks won't have a clue what he is telling them unless they can
figure out the SAP feature on their cable box.

Actually the more I think about this, it is more like 96. The GOP will
put up the next guy in line, not expecting him to win (again think
Romney) but much like Clinton, if you are a big money republican, you
won't do much better for yourself than the guy you have now.

Think about what the fat cats got out of Clinton in his second term.
They got tax cuts, an import treaty that was great for WalMart., a
booming stock market and shredded most of FDRs financial regulation.
They would not have gotten that out of Dole, Too many democrats would
fight it.
The fat cats are thrilled with Obama.
So far Obama has restored their tax cuts, cut the FICA tax, continued
the Bush bailout, kept the lucrative wars going, started a new war,
passed a financial regulation bill that didn't really regulate much
(we still have too big to fail) and passed health reform that will
make the health care industry a lot more money.

Why would they ever want to see him go?

The demographic changes coming in this country do not favor the
Republicans.