"Bruce" wrote in message
...
On Wed, 30 Mar 2011 16:33:41 -0700, Jessica B
wrote:
snip


Sorry for the confusion. I believe I also said somewhere that if there
was a window of 10 days, and you had the choice of being on a boat
that could easily do it in 7 vs 10, it would be safer to go on the
faster boat.

Your illustration is flawed, or at least not applicable to anyone with
a modicum of sense.

To use your example: A storm is coming, estimated to arrive in 10
days. to use my estimate that it will take you 7 days to reach
harbour. as I said, your estimate can be off by large factors due to
unforeseen reasons.

But it is immaterial anyway. Weather estimates are seldom perfectly
accurate and if you talk about weather severe enough to be of danger
no one sets out for a voyage knowing that he will encounter really bad
weather if he can't maintain his planned speed.



Good grief, just when I thought you couldn't possible get any more thick,
you do it.


Wilbur Hubbard