On Sun, 14 Sep 2003 03:34:53 GMT, "John Gaquin"
wrote:
NHC 120 hour projection at 14/0300Z has an eye location of N36.5 W75, or
about 50 miles offshore near Elizabeth City.
==================
Most models show it going up Chesapeake Bay late in the week.

http://maps.wunderground.com/data/im...0313_model.gif

The navy wave height forecast is interesting:

http://152.80.49.210/PUBLIC/WAM/all_natl.html

Here's the latest from Accuweather, 5:00AM Sunday:

Hurricane Isabel, a powerful category five storm on the Saffir-Simpson
scale, continues to churn westward across the tropical Atlantic
Sunday. As of 5 a.m., the center of Isabel was located near latitude
23.3 north and longitude 65.2 west, centering the storm about 340
miles to the north of San Juan, Puerto Rico. The maximum sustained
winds are near 160 mph with higher wind gusts of around 195 mph
possible. Isabel is moving to the west-northwest at 13 mph, and this
movement should continue for at least the next 12 to 24 hours.
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 85 miles to the north of
the storm. The storm may make a gradual turn to the northwest and slow
in its forward speed beyond 24 hours as it nears the eastern coast of
the United States. The storm may also lose some of its intensity
beyond 24 hours as it enters a less favorable wind sheared environment
near the southeastern U.S. However, for now, Hurricane Isabel
continues to benefit from a ventilating outflow as the upper levels
all around the storm allow it to maintain its current strength. On its
current path, the hurricane should pass north of Hispaniola on Sunday,
and by Tuesday Isabel, may be located east of the Bahamas. The two
main synoptic features that will play a key role in the track of
Isabel are an upper-level high pressure ridge over the western
Atlantic, which is now nosing into New England, and an upper-level
trough that will approach the eastern U.S. early next week. A
weakening of the Western Atlantic ridge may cause the hurricane to
turn more northwest. If the ridge does not weaken, the storm will
likely to continue on its west-northwest course. The longer Isabel
tracks west before turning to the north, the greater the chance that
the hurricane will significantly impact interests along the East Coast
of the U.S. Either way, Isabel is still several days away from
affecting the U.S. mainland. The current forecast track for Isabel
takes the storm near the Outer Banks of North Carolina and then up the
Chesapeake Bay late in the week. However, all of the residents of the
East Coast should keep abreast of the latest information concerning
this very powerful hurricane.