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nom=de=plume nom=de=plume is offline
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First recorded activity by BoatBanter: Aug 2009
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Default Hillary in 2012?

wrote in message
...
On Sun, 15 Nov 2009 12:32:44 -0500, H the K
wrote:

On 11/15/09 12:25 PM, wrote:
On Sat, 14 Nov 2009 20:35:55 -0500, wrote:

In ,
says...

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/art...012_99101.html

President Obama hasn't even made it through his first year in office
and already talk about Hillary is starting up.

Heh - how about that.

Was Hillary smart to be suckered out of the Senate and into the Obama
administration? Can she resign in disgust and still run against Obama
successfully in 2012? Or, would she have been better off staying in the
Senate and being a loyal Democrat and then turning when Obama became a
failure as President?

What are the odds that she will serve out the full four years as Sec of
State? If not, will she be fired or resign?

My money is on her getting fired within 6 months.

She won't be fired but I still would not be surprised to see her leave
around 2011 "to spend more time with her family". (and perhaps get her
campaign back on track)
It really all depends on how successful Obama is by then.
If he is perceived as being unbeatable she will probably stay on.



Hillary isn't going to mount a campaign against a sitting US President
who is a member of her party.

What might happen is this, though:

Joe Biden is 67 and will be 70 in 2012. He may not want another term as
VP, or his health might deteriorate.

Hillary Clinton is 62 and will be 65 in 2012. She might be interested in
the VP seat. As far as I know, she has no significant health issues.


I think the only way it happens is if Obama ends up in "Carter"
trouble. (Malaise and stagflation, with foreign policy in shambles)
and if the GOP actually came up with a credible candidate. I haven't
seen that guy yet.
I still say the GOP threw away the last election, assuming they were
going to lose anyway and not wanting to sacrifice anyone good. McCain
was still going to be in the senate and Palin was just an experiment.
If she had stayed in Alaska she would still be a star.



Actually, the people in Alaska were pretty fed up with her, according to
polls just before she resigned. Her popularity had dropped considerably.

--
Nom=de=Plume