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jps jps is offline
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First recorded activity by BoatBanter: Jul 2006
Posts: 7,720
Default Sensible analysis


Despite the theatrics over health care reform, Andrew Sullivan says
President Obama will ultimately get a bill through Congress.

"Obama has a solid majority and can achieve all this with Democratic
votes alone. So why is he in such trouble? Partly it is that this kind
of reform rightly stirs scepticism, and Obama has allowed a hapless
and divided Congress to take the lead, muddying the message. Partly it
is that the hard right is becoming more and more extreme and its fears
have eclipsed the hopes of Obama's supporters. But the most critical
part, in my view, is the public understanding that after two massive
bank bailouts and a vast stimulus package, with two still-intractable
wars, the US cannot afford even the modest 10-year trilliondollar
package Obama is proposing. And Obama's inability to cut spending
while the economy is so fragile means he is constrained from offering
fiscal reassurance."

"So, tactically, Obama is on the defensive. Strategically? Again, he
is stronger than he now appears. When the health insurance bill is
passed and elderly Americans are not rounded up into concentration
camps and granny isn't subjected to euthanasia, and when many
uninsured people gain a peace of mind they have never felt before, and
people become able to change job without fearing loss of insurance,
the Republican scare tactics may come to seem absurd."