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				 New Obama Lead 
 
			
			On Oct 21, 3:20*am, "Eisboch"  wrote:"Boater"  wrote in message
 
 ...
 
 
 
 Eisboch wrote:
 Democrat pundits today are gleefully talking about Obama's 5-6 point lead
 over McCain.
 
 Only problem is, two weeks ago they were boasting of Obama's double digit
 lead.
 
 Is there "change" in the air?
 
 Eisboch
 The average poll difference a couple of weeks ago was five to eight
 points. Today, it is five to seven points, on the average. Perhaps the
 McPalin negativity is having an impact on the weak-minded GOP base?
 
 If you want a more realistic snapshot, take a look at the average of polls
 in the "swing states." At the moment, all the swing states are state the
 Republicans took in 2000 or 2004. McPalin is behind in most of these state
 polls. I believe he has to carry all the GOP swing states to win the
 election. Anything is possible, but the odds are strongly against him. All
 Obama has to do to win the election is hang onto the blue states and carry
 one of the larger red "swing" states. That will give him 270 electoral
 votes. Game over.
 
 If I were to bet, it would be on an Obama victory. *However, I agree, the
 election is now his to lose.
 I think the McCain camp is going to chip away at Obama's lead over the next
 couple of weeks. *How much is questionable.
 
 On the other hand, the media is predicting a record turnout this election
 cycle. *I suspect that bodes well for Obama.
 
 It's either going to be a blow-out or it's going to be very, very close.
 Amazing, when you consider all the BS being presented by both parties.
 
 Eisboch
 
 Mac has a lead in a couple states as of yesterday. Ohio being one.
 
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