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First recorded activity by BoatBanter: May 2007
Posts: 13,347
Default Handicapping Iowa...

wrote:
On Wed, 02 Jan 2008 16:36:00 -0000,
wrote:

Voting for Bloomberg is like voting for Ralph Nader. It simply helps
elect a Republican. Bloomberg cannot win.

I'm not saying he would win, but he could win. He has the money, fully a
third of the electorate identify themselves as independent, and if he
could bring in some of the 30-40% of the apathetic, that don't vote, he
could win. Personally, I suspect that much of the apathy is caused by a
general disgust with what the Democrats and Republicans are offering.


Personally I think any strong 3d party candidate insures a Clinton
win. Isn't that the way Bill did it ... twice. (43% and 48% of the
vote)

About the only way Hillary can win is if a 3d party sucks away 15-20%
of the vote since over half of the people say they would vote for
anyone but her.


Oh, I dunno about that. I think Hillary can beat the hell out of *any*
of the GOP possibles, with the exception of McCain. The Republican
recruiter for this year's nomination must have looked for losers, first,
second, and third. One is worse than the other.