Thread: global warming
View Single Post
  #26   Report Post  
posted to alt.sailing.asa
Jeff Jeff is offline
external usenet poster
 
First recorded activity by BoatBanter: Jul 2006
Posts: 1,301
Default global warming liars

Joe wrote:
I'm just tryiong to figure how to make more money off your fears.
like all the other global warming warriors.
You know more about hurricanes then the most honored hurricane
researcher in the Atlantic basin?

So, are you claiming that Dr. Landsea is denying global warming?-



No..I just posted his opinion that the global warming folks are using
hurricanes as the "global warming poster child."
It's a scare tactic, and the Hurricane expert says they are bald face
liar's. You should read the posting again.

I trust Dr. Landsea's opinion on Hurricanes more than some Yourapeein
pack of liars.


Dr. Landsea agrees that Global Warming is with us for the long haul.
His point has been that it is (or was, several years ago) premature to
blame increased hurricanes on global warming. His conclusion is
three-fold, that the science is only "suggestive" of a linkage, but
not definitive. Second, that the change in hurricane intensity will
be relatively small. And third, that the increased "dollar value" of
the hurricane damage is caused more by increased wealth and coastal
development than increased storm strength.


From his 2004 paper:

CONCLUSIONS. To summarize, claims of linkages
between global warming and hurricane impacts
are premature for three reasons. First, no connection
has been established between greenhouse gas
emissions and the observed behavior of hurricanes
(Houghton et al. 2001; Walsh 2004). Emanuel (2005)
is suggestive of such a connection, but is by no means
definitive. In the future, such a connection may be
established [e.g., in the case of the observations
of Emanuel (2005) or the projections of Knutson
and Tuleya (2004)] or made in the context of other
metrics of tropical cyclone intensity and duration
that remain to be closely examined. Second, the
peer-reviewed literature reflects that a scientific
consensus exists that any future changes in hurricane
intensities will likely be small in the context
of observed variability (Knutson and Tuleya 2004;
Henderson-Sellers et al. 1998), while the scientific
problem of tropical cyclogenesis is so far from being
solved that little can be said about possible changes
in frequency. And third, under the assumptions of
the IPCC, expected future damages to society of its
projected changes in the behavior of hurricanes are
dwarfed by the influence of its own projections of
growing wealth and population (Pielke et al. 2000).
While future research or experience may yet overturn
these conclusions, the state of the peer-reviewed
knowledge today is such that there are good reasons
to expect that any conclusive connection between
global warming and hurricanes or their impacts will
not be made in the near term.

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/Landsea...etalBAMS05.pdf