Doesn't look good, it was all broken into easily followed baby steps.
Are you taking lessons from Nobby in "Ignoring The Obvious 101"

NOYB wrote:
What I *did* learn in my engineering program was to approach every problem
the same way:

Problem
Knowns
Unknowns
Assumptions
Proof
Solution

Sounds like fairly good methodology. Where have you gone wrong?


Problem: Did Saddam have WMD and was he working with al Qaeda?

Here's the first thing wrong with your methodology- you are trying to
work out two problems at once. Bzzt...

Knowns: He once had WMD and used 'em on his own people.

Agreed.

... Every intelligence
agency in the World said he still had 'em.

Except for the ones who said that he had most likely disposed of them.

Here's the second place you're going wrong... ignoring obvious and
readily available data. Even Dick Cheney agrees that he was given intel
data showing that Saddam's WMD programs were either feeble or
nonexistent... he just ignored the data...

In other words, you are letting ideology trump observable facts. Leads
to bad results every time. Just ask any Politburo officer from the
former USSR.
(further examples of similar muddy thinking snipped for brevity)

DSK