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NOYB
 
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Default Newsweek Poll makes a sunny Sunday sunnier (OT)


"-rick-" wrote in message
...

"NOYB" wrote ...

" Half the respondents were asked party identification in this location,
the other half were asked at the end of the survey with the

other demographic questions. Results for the respondents who were asked
the question early were 40% Republican, 50%

Democrat. For the respondents asked later in the survey, the results were
39% Republican, 52% Democrat."

(In your opinion, party identification doesn't mean the same thing as
party affiliation? )


Not exactly. Expectations and performance vary over time. "Do your
beliefs tend to lean more toward the Democrats or the Republicans?" is not
equivalent to "what is your party affiliation" or "are you a registered
republican or democrat?" as you seem to imply. That was my point.

I don't mean to unreasonably split hairs but your premise that this
response invalidates the poll isn't obvious to me. If a statistically
significant random sample yields that result why is it not valid within
the probabilities of it's margin of error? Do you have evidence of
non-random sampling?


The sampling may be fine. It's the weighting that I have a problem with.