"NOYB" wrote in message
nk.net...

"Tamaroak" wrote in message
...
I would take any of them over what we have now. All have more brainpower,
more ethics and are likely to lead our country in a better direction.

LOL. Thanks for Friday morning giggle.



The real giggle is how far these news organizations will go to slant the
polls to create the news they want to broadcast
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Pollsters from CBS News, AP/Ipsos, and ABC/Washington Post have come out
with their latest numbers -- all of which show President Bush's approval
rating at less than 40%. This of course does not appear to be good news for
Bush.

However, a closer look at the demographic and political breakdown of the
respondents in the three polls should bring into question the accuracy of
the polling data in all three polls.

For example, the CBS News poll, which shows that Bush's approval rating is
at 35%, reports that an unweighted sample shows that 34.8% of its
respondents self-identified as Democrats, while 27.6% said they were
Republicans. While the unweighted sample yielded a seven-point differential
favoring the Dems, a weighted sample had the spread at 11% points in favor
of the Dems. This represents at least a 10-11 point swing in the electorate
since the 2004 election (and perhaps as much as 14 points), when Bush won by
about three points and the Repubs won the aggregate House vote by about four
points.

The AP/Ipsos poll, which has Bush's approval rating at 37%, said its
respondents self-identified 49% Dem and 40% Repub, yielding a nine-point
differential favoring the Dems. This represents a 12-point swing in the
electorate since 2004.

Only 80% of the respondents in this poll were registered voters, while 13%
of the respondents reported that they were unemployed (the current
unemployment rate is about 5%-6%), and 31% said they were between the ages
of 18-34 (this was the only age group that Sen. John Kerry carried in the
last presidential election, and it actually voted in a much smaller
percentage than that represented in this poll).

The ABC/Washington Post poll, which shows that Bush's approval rating is at
39%, saw its respondents break down thusly: 52% said they leaned toward the
Dems, and 41% leaned toward the Repubs. That represents a 14-point swing
since last year's elections.

Will someone explain how the demographic breakdowns in these polls represent
accurate pictures of the electorate, given what we know about the 2004
election (and the 2002 mid-terms)?

As we've written before, these swings go against short-, mid-, and long-term
history. They are not realistic breakdowns of the electorate in any way,
shape, or form. This is at best sloppy work.

We wrote about this same phenomenon -- happening to varying degrees in
different polls -- back on October 14, September 23, September 15, August 5,
and July 2.

http://www.theneweditor.com/index.ph...un-With-Polls-...
..html