Riding the slide
"Harry Krause" wrote in message
...
NOYB wrote:
"Harry Krause" wrote in message
...
A new NY Times - CBS Poll, to be released tomorrow, shows Bush's job
approval dropping four more points in the last month, to 37%.
Delightful.
If news organizations could be sorted and filed like books on a shelf at
a library, CBS and the NY Times would certainly be in the fiction stacks.
Rasmussen has him at 47%. CBS/NY Times has him 10 points lower.
Rasmussen has the distinction of being the most accurate pollster in the
You've repeated that here at least 50 times.
The fact that Rasmussen was closer to the mark than other pollsters for a
single event is meaningless. Didn't you ever take stat courses?
The fact is this: A significant majority of Americans believe Bush is
doing a crappy job. Whether his exact favorable poll rating is 37% or 41%
or whatever, it is low...and that is good news.
Rasmussen has Bush's approval rating back up to 48%...or just 3 points shy
of where it was in November 2004 when 3 million more Americans voted for
him than the Democratic candidate.
He attributes the difference to sampling error:
" During 2004, reports on the President Job Approval were based upon surveys
of Likely Voters. Typically, a survey of Likely Voters would report a Job
Approval rating 2-3 points higher than a survey of all adults. "
48% + 3 points = 51%...or exactly where he was 11 1/2 months ago before the
election.
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