"P. Fritz" wrote in message
...

"John S" wrote in message
...
On Sun, 17 Oct 2004 19:52:43 -0400, "P. Fritz"
wrote:


"NOYB" wrote in message
...

"thunder" wrote in message
...
On Sun, 17 Oct 2004 17:38:14 -0400, Harry Krause wrote:


HEre's an interesting data point: one of my relatives, someone
who
has
voted Republican since Dwight Eisenhower, is sitting out this
election.
He
cannot stomach George W. Bush.

I hope whatever ails him is spreading to other Republicans.

It has. I know of several Republicans that will not vote for
Bush
this
time. I also agree that the Democrats are fired up. At least
Bush
the
"uniter" has united one group, the Democrats.

Do either of you guys live in a Battleground state? If not, then
the
opinions of people you know in those states do not matter. There
are
three
people in my office (plus their spouses) who didn't vote for Bush
in
2000.
All have stated that they will be supporting him this year.

The fact is that the support for Kerry is shallow, more "anti Bush"
than
"pro Kerry" In past elections, the turn out is usually less when
there is
not the energy "for" a candidate. On the other hand, Bush's support
is
quite strong.

Which is probably why the dems are reving up the 'suppressed vote"
lie and
mobilizing the trial lawyers.



Judging from the posts in this newsgroup that seems to focus on
criticisms
of Bush rather than promote any substansive merit of Kerry and his
"plans",
I guess I tend to agree with you.

The dems have made the same mistake that the Repubs did in
1996.......there was a weakened incumbant, and they put up an even weaker
candidate.


In 1992, Clinton garnered only 43% of the vote. It's pathetic that a
President can be elected with such a low percentage of the population
supporting him. There was plenty of anti-Bush sentiment that year, but I
doubt many of the Perot supporters would have cast their votes for Clinton
if Perot wasn't in the race. Most would have either stayed home, or voted
for Bush as the lesser of two evils (at least in their minds). This year,
there is no viable alternative to the incumbent...and Kerry hasn't done
anything to help his own chances. I still predict a Bush win by 4 to 6
percentage points.