Nevertheless, Bush still is leading by 38 Electoral college votes...which is
8 more than he led by last week...and a huge swing from 2 weeks ago when he
was behind by a bunch. I expect to see him with with an EC lead of 80-120
points by next Monday or Tuesday's electionprojection.com calculations.


You may indeed be right about the ElecProj lead early next week- as it will
reflect the understandably strong Bush ratings immediately after the
convention.

After that, you'll need to snuff out your victory cigar until November- *if*
you get to light it up again. :-)