"Gould 0738" wrote in message
...
Hold the presses. Seems the Newsweek poll may not have been properly
weighted.



Yopu don't suppose the news magazine polls were constructed to coincide
with
the
"George Bush" issues now on sale, do you? Announce something stunning,
like
"George Bush is walking away with the election", and a lot of people will
buy
magazines.

According to Election Projection, Bush has about a one-state electoral
vote
lead
coming out of the convention.

Not unexpected.

Electin Projection's map has Oregon leaning Bush in the latest projection-
and
that's unlikely. Also has Washington leaning Bush. If we measured cow
country
east of the mountains separately from the western side of the state, Bush
would
easily win Washington- but there aren't enough people over there to sway
the
state.

Are you subscribed to the *daily* updates? The electionprojection map that
I'm looking at is from 9/5...and Oregon and Washington are leaning Kerry on
that map. So is New Mexico and New Hampshire. However, Kerry's lead in all
of those is less than 1 point. And remember...the data doesn't refelct
Bush's full post-convention bounce because some of the polls used in the
calculations haven't been updated yet since before the convention began.