"Gould 0738" wrote in message
...
Hold the presses. Seems the Newsweek poll may not have been properly
weighted.



Yopu don't suppose the news magazine polls were constructed to coincide
with
the
"George Bush" issues now on sale, do you? Announce something stunning,
like
"George Bush is walking away with the election", and a lot of people will
buy
magazines.

According to Election Projection, Bush has about a one-state electoral
vote
lead
coming out of the convention.

Let's be fair, Chuck. Election Projection is using polling data from the
prior week...so it doesn't reflect Bush's actual post-convention bounce
(just a mid-convention bounce) . Newsweek's poll is the most current...and
shows the largest lead. Zogby's and Time's polls were taken on Thursday
*before* Bush's speech. American Research Group's and ABC/Washington Post's
polls were taken on 9/1 and 8/29, respectively. Fox's was taken before the
convention even began. Consequently, none of the last three polls reflect
just how large a lead Bush really has right now.

Nevertheless, Bush still is leading by 38 Electoral college votes...which is
8 more than he led by last week...and a huge swing from 2 weeks ago when he
was behind by a bunch. I expect to see him with with an EC lead of 80-120
points by next Monday or Tuesday's electionprojection.com calculations.