Gould 0738 wrote:
Hold the presses. Seems the Newsweek poll may not have been properly
weighted.



Yopu don't suppose the news magazine polls were constructed to coincide with
the
"George Bush" issues now on sale, do you? Announce something stunning, like
"George Bush is walking away with the election", and a lot of people will buy
magazines.

According to Election Projection, Bush has about a one-state electoral vote
lead
coming out of the convention.

Not unexpected.

Electin Projection's map has Oregon leaning Bush in the latest projection- and
that's unlikely. Also has Washington leaning Bush. If we measured cow country
east of the mountains separately from the western side of the state, Bush would
easily win Washington- but there aren't enough people over there to sway the
state.


The latest daily Rasmussen Poll, a Republican poll, shows Bush with a
one point lead today. Kerry had a one to two point lead in the Rasmussen
polls just prior to the GOP convention.

One of the sites I looked at indicated either the Newsweek or Time poll,
or perhaps both, included a sample with more than 40% "military
families" in its sample. That would be one way to skew a poll so you can
sell magazines, eh?









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