On Sun, 5 Apr 2020 13:07:37 -0400, "Mr. Luddite"
wrote:

On 4/5/2020 12:48 PM, John wrote:
On Sun, 5 Apr 2020 07:45:35 -0400, "Mr. Luddite" wrote:



John, take a look at this graph Sweden

https://funkyimg.com/i/33F4X.jpg

Here are some more. Maybe the 'new cases' is slowing down, or maybe it's an
anomaly. Don't know.

https://www.worldometers.info/corona...ountry/sweden/


According to Doctors Fauci and Birx, the daily rate of increase or
decrease is the most important data point used in their models to
try and predict if the curve has been flattened.

Might take a few more data points (days) to confirm but the graphs
shown on your worldometers link show a marked decrease over the
past three days in Sweden. Other graphs on that link support that
Sweden may be
"over the hump", especially the one entitled,
"Newly Infected vs. Newly Recovered in Sweden"


I saw some government official from North Dakota interviewed
this morning. ND is one of the few states without any kind
of shelter in place or lock down directive. The daily increase/decrease
of new cases is also going down there.

I don't know who's correct. It's just interesting trying to
create a common denominator out of the different approaches.

The problem with the flat curve is finding the end. As people start
venturing out, new cases will rise again. Whether that causes even
further lock downs is yet to be seen. If you look at some of the early
"Flat curves" they say this will be over by June (virtually zero).
Then they stopped putting a date in them.