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Bill[_12_] Bill[_12_] is offline
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Default Excellent graph on coronavirus

Adorable Deplorable wrote:
On Wed, 11 Mar 2020 20:36:27 -0000 (UTC), Bill wrote:

Adorable Deplorable wrote:
On Wed, 11 Mar 2020 17:57:57 -0000 (UTC), Bill wrote:

Mr. Luddite wrote:


This is a simple and excellent graph that illustrates how
the response to the coronavirus issue is being handled.

The idea that it can be 100% contained is unrealistic.
It's going to spread .... as it has.

The goal is to control as much as possible the rate
that it spreads so the healthcare facilities and systems
are not overwhelmed.

The peak (in orange) is what happened in China.
The goal of the CDC is the second peak.

Despite all the hype, fears and finger-pointing
(political) this graph is spot on.


https://funkyimg.com/i/331q1.jpg


Heard this morning news that the death rate is 10x flu rate.

Based on what? There is no good estimate of the denominator. For many
folks, the symptoms are no
worse than a cold, and the illness never gets reported. Of course, those
facts don't assist in
Trump-bashing, so not mentioned.
--

Freedom Isn't Free!


Faux news? Was a news report. The flu this year seems to be nasty
version. Wife seems to have flu, and we had flu shots. Doctor on video
chat figured flu. COVID is a version of SARS, so most likely the death
rate is higher. And older people have more breathing problems anyway.


We're losing 4-10K per month to the flu. Doesn't make the news though. Not a good source of
Trump-bashing.

https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/burden...-estimates.htm
--

Freedom Isn't Free!


But look at the percentage. 34 million cases with 20 thousand deaths is
..05%. cOVID-19 is 1-8% deaths. 34 million at 2% would be 680,000 deaths.