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First recorded activity by BoatBanter: Jul 2015
Posts: 920
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Interesting NH Analysis..
Keyser Söze wrote:
Among the numerous factors which make the New Hampshire primary unique
and far from representative of what’s likely to happen in the remainder
of the race, residents of the state can show up and vote on either the
democratic or republican side without being registered for that party.
It means the unusually large number of antiestablishment independents in
the state can prop up an outsider candidate who isn’t popular with
voters in that party. It also means residents who belong to one party
can vote against the frontrunner in the other party’s primary just to
sabotage things. When you strip the hijinks away, it turns out
registered democrats in New Hampshire actually favored Hillary Clinton
and Bernie Sanders in equal measure last night.
According to respected political analyst site FiveThirtyEight, the
entire margin that Bernie Sanders won by in New Hampshire consisted of
non-democrats who voted for him. With those votes stripped away, the
site reports that Sanders and Clinton finished “tied” among actual
democrats. Furthermore, Sanders scored seventy percent of the vote in
the New Hampshire counties which directly border his home state of
Vermont. If you further remove those home-field voters, it turns out
Hillary Clinton received more votes from New Hampshire democrats than
Bernie Sanders did. And that’s before getting to the superdelegates,
which she dominated.
http://tinyurl.com/jfv6uuz
Spin, spin, spin. . .
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