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On Sat, 8 Dec 2007 19:06:07 -0500, "Eisboch"
wrote: Here's the "what comes first, the chicken or the egg" question though: Does the technology produce the vulnerability or does the ever expanding services made available by the technology make themselves vulnerable? In my view it's the technology itself that produces the vulnerability. Complexity follows the rules of unintended consequences - for every intended expansion or result, you get four unintended consequences. The problem is that you can't define what those unintended results will be and that's where the exploitation or fault exists. I don't think you can reign in technology or it's application. We may be required to rethink what and how much of what we want to make dependent on it. That's a good point and something that I think is missing from the equation of technological advance. Access to information is instant. There isn't time to absorb and process the information - to think and/or ask questions. Last week, for example, there was a pipeline fire in Michigan which was reported as "major" - the implication was that all four of the lines from Canada were involved - the price of oil jumped $3 bucks and change in seconds. Couple of hours later it was only two involved and finally, one and it turned out not to be "major" at all - the line was down for a day. Prices returned down, but the settlement for the day was about ..80¢ higher - restablishing an up trend instead of the prior down trend based on lack of news. Back when, it would have taken time to react. Questions would have been asked, calls made, etc. The event wouldn't have impacted because time would have been taken to find out what happened. That has completely changed and is one unintended consequence of instant access which speculators can exploit to their advantage. Those of us that are getting long in the tooth will be satisfied with less, but imagine explaining to a 16 year old that they really don't need a cell phone. Agreed. Which, I guess, is exactly what your point is. I doesn't matter though. The genie is out of the lamp and there's no turning back. I agree with that, but you still have to at least try to anticipate the results if the Endless Knot we have created dissolves or breaks in multiple places. |
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