I think the August surprise may
be the dumping of Cheney from the ticket for "health" reasons.

If Kerry/Edwards takes off in the polls, GWB may be faced with trying to mend
fences with McCain.

"Yes, John, I know I told all those terrible lies about you in 2000 and I know
that John Kerry is one of your best friends in the Senate, but can't we let
by-gones be by-gones and ignore friendship for the good of the party?"

As a Democrat, you better hope they run with Cheney. Certain other choices,
(such as McCain), would all but guarantee the Republicans another four years.