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Harry Krause October 6th 04 11:46 PM

OT Kerry pulling ahead in many state polls
 
http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news...0vb8&refer=us#
Kerry Pulls Ahead of Bush in State Polls After Presidential Debate


Oct. 6 (Bloomberg) -- Democratic presidential nominee John Kerry gained
ground at President George W. Bush's expense in polls taken in Florida,
New Jersey, Iowa, New Mexico and New Hampshire after last week's
presidential debate.

Kerry has a 2 percentage point edge in Florida and the candidates are
tied in New Hampshire, two states that were among those Bush won in
2000, according to the American Research Group.

In New Mexico and New Jersey, Kerry leads by 3 percentage points, within
the error margin, according to polls. Bush and Kerry are tied in Iowa.
The three states backed the Democratic nominee in 2000.

``Independent voters, who shifted to Bush from Kerry beginning just
prior to the Republican convention, seem to be shifting back to Kerry,
and that trend has intensified in the days following the first debate,''
American Research Group President Dick Bennett said in an e-mail.

Florida, New Hampshire, New Mexico and Iowa are among the 17 to 20
``battlegrounds'' regarded as key to the Nov. 2 election by both campaigns.

A review of state-by-state polls and historical voting data by Bloomberg
News shows Bush ahead in 21 states, including Texas and Utah, with 178
electoral votes. Kerry leads in 11 states, including New York and
Illinois, with 164 electoral votes. In 18 states that have 196 electoral
votes, including Pennsylvania and Florida, results of the most recent
polls are within the margin of error.

--
"...vice president (Cheney), I'm surprised to hear him talk about
records. When he was one of 435 members of the United States House, he
was one of 10 to vote against Head Start, one of four to vote against
banning plastic weapons that can pass through metal detectors. He voted
against the Department of Education. He voted against funding for
Meals on Wheels for seniors. He voted against a holiday for Martin
Luther King. He voted against a resolution calling for the release of
Nelson Mandela in South Africa. It's amazing to hear him criticize
either my record or John Kerry's."

- Senator John Edwards, 10/05/04

JimH October 6th 04 11:57 PM

You are too funny Krause. Posting selective polling results to suit your
political bias.. LMAO!!!!!!!!!!!



basskisser October 7th 04 12:38 PM

"JimH" wrote in message ...
You are too funny Krause. Posting selective polling results to suit your
political bias.. LMAO!!!!!!!!!!!


You would too, for the other side of the fence, IF you had the ability.

John Gaquin October 9th 04 10:23 PM


"Harry Krause" wrote in message

Kerry Pulls Ahead of Bush in State Polls After Presidential Debate


Oct. 6 (Bloomberg) -- Democratic presidential nominee John Kerry gained
ground......



Kerry has a 2 percentage point edge in Florida and the candidates are
tied in New Hampshire,.......



I've been in NH several times over the past couple of weeks, and had lunch
with a number of folks who live around the state. They all get hit by
pollsters regularly, and to a man they agree that it is a fun game to tease
the pollsters and manipulate the trends to keep the campaign dollars flowing
until they run out. Most folks I talk to up there seem to be Bush
supporters, but they vary their poll answers. The game is to keep the state
within a few percentage points so both campaigns will continue to spend big
bucks on local advertisers, hotels, restaurants, transportation, etc., etc.
All politics is local [Tip O'Neill], and enlightened self-interest shall
rule the day.



JimH October 9th 04 11:20 PM


"Harry Krause" wrote in message
...
John Gaquin wrote:
"Harry Krause" wrote in message

Kerry Pulls Ahead of Bush in State Polls After Presidential Debate


Oct. 6 (Bloomberg) -- Democratic presidential nominee John Kerry gained
ground......



Kerry has a 2 percentage point edge in Florida and the candidates are
tied in New Hampshire,.......



I've been in NH several times over the past couple of weeks, and had
lunch
with a number of folks who live around the state. They all get hit by
pollsters regularly, and to a man they agree that it is a fun game to
tease
the pollsters and manipulate the trends to keep the campaign dollars
flowing
until they run out. Most folks I talk to up there seem to be Bush
supporters, but they vary their poll answers. The game is to keep the
state
within a few percentage points so both campaigns will continue to spend
big
bucks on local advertisers, hotels, restaurants, transportation, etc.,
etc.
All politics is local [Tip O'Neill], and enlightened self-interest shall
rule the day.



Professional pollsters and professional poll employees anticipate such
folk, recognize when they have one, and discount them in the tallying.
A few "ringers" may slip through, but not many.



Exactly how?




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